NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	81		Excitement	5.4 [711]		MVP	Tim Hardaway (MIA): +21.3%
Miami Heat	94		Comeback	1.0 [1033]		LVP	Mookie Blaylock (ATL): -28.4%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Christian Laettner	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.11	-0.02	0.03	15	76%	0.14	3	-0.08	11	91%	0.02
Ivano Newbill	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tyrone Corbin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	4	60%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Eldridge Recasner	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Steven Smith	-0.07	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	14	46%	-0.05	1	-0.02	9	78%	0.00
Jon Barry	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	7	50%	-0.04	4	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Ken Norman	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	0.00	6	25%	-0.07	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Mookie Blaylock	-0.28	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.28,-0.28	-0.26	-0.08	-0.05	17	28%	-0.13	7	-0.16	2	100%	0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.14	0.08	0.00	10	83%	0.23	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Keith Askins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Majerle	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.03	0.00	10	64%	0.08	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Gary Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	5	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Sasha Danilovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	0.03	12	50%	-0.03	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	0.01	-0.02	8	25%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Mourning	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	19	58%	0.04	6	-0.12	7	57%	-0.02
Ike Austin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.02	-0.03	7	43%	0.02	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.5	29.0	14.8	27.0	1.8	31.2	131.5
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +43.7%

ATL -9.3%

MIA +8.6%

MIA +7.6%

ATL -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	MIA	NBA	ATL	MIA	NBA
this game	15.2	15.6	15.6	86.2	101.1	104.4
season	16.4	15.8		105.3	103.1
opponent	16.3	16.0		98.3	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	16.0	13.9	15.7	15.4	15.2
MIA	14.6	14.9	15.7	17.3	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jon Barry	24	24	0.02	-0.53	0.55	0.02	0	-13	13	14.0	15.7	-1.71	15.7	15.5	0.13
Eldridge Recasner	9	8	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.03	-4	-9	5	15.9	15.2	0.72	17.9	15.4	2.52
Ivano Newbill	25	26	-0.13	-0.38	0.25	0.08	-7	-6	-1	13.5	15.9	-2.39	15.7	15.5	0.17
Tyrone Corbin	51	52	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	-9	5	15.9	14.5	1.37	14.3	17.1	-2.82
Ken Norman	46	44	-0.31	-0.20	-0.11	-0.01	-10	-3	-7	14.1	16.3	-2.16	16.8	14.4	2.37
Steven Smith	74	74	-0.41	-0.10	-0.31	-0.12	-10	-3	-7	15.5	14.3	1.12	15.9	14.3	1.58
Christian Laettner	86	85	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.23	-7	-6	-1	15.6	11.4	4.22	15.4	17.6	-2.25
Dikembe Mutombo	74	72	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.11	-11	-2	-9	15.7	13.6	2.01	15.9	14.5	1.41
Mookie Blaylock	81	80	-0.54	0.03	-0.57	-0.19	-12	-1	-11	15.3	14.7	0.63	15.0	19.0	-3.99

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dan Majerle	83	84	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.12	18	-5	23	15.0	20.7	-5.75	15.3	14.4	0.93
Tim Hardaway	77	77	0.46	0.05	0.41	0.19	9	4	5	15.4	16.4	-0.97	15.0	16.2	-1.15
Alonzo Mourning	69	71	0.39	0.12	0.27	-0.02	14	-1	15	15.7	15.2	0.49	15.9	13.1	2.84
Sasha Danilovic	74	74	0.38	0.13	0.25	0.11	9	4	5	15.9	14.3	1.64	15.1	15.8	-0.78
P.J. Brown	39	40	0.36	0.15	0.21	0.12	8	5	3	17.0	14.6	2.42	13.1	16.8	-3.76
Kurt Thomas	47	46	0.20	0.31	-0.11	0.05	5	8	-3	13.8	17.4	-3.56	16.5	14.0	2.52
Ike Austin	31	31	0.07	0.44	-0.37	0.10	-1	14	-15	16.2	15.3	0.94	14.5	15.6	-1.07
Gary Grant	16	17	0.05	0.46	-0.41	-0.07	4	9	-5	16.4	15.4	0.97	16.2	15.0	1.15
Keith Askins	29	30	-0.01	0.52	-0.53	0.02	-1	14	-15	16.5	15.2	1.33	15.4	15.2	0.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.77,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.92,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.93,0.96,0.96,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 84, DEN 94	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.59,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.83,0.96,0.95,0.95,1,1	95.1%
SAS 87, MEM 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.91,0.9,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.83,0.89,0.98,0.99,1,1	95.1%
IND 89, NYK 91	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.7,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.89,0.89,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.75,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.82,0.93,0.93,0.99,0.99,1	94.7%