inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 120 Excitement10.2 [41] MVPSteve Nash (DAL): +40.0%
Sacramento Kings 114 Comeback16.5 [55] LVPPeja Stojakovic (SAC): -29.8%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Steve Nash0.400,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.27,0.27,0.51,0.51,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.40.210.19-0.001784%0.422-0.023100%0.01
Dirk Nowitzki0.350,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.26,0.21,0.28,0.29,0.35,0.350.030.27-0.042357%0.372-0.031090%0.20
Evan Eschmeyer0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.01283%0.0300.00250%-0.01
Shawn Bradley0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.040.000.022100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Michael Finley-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.041945%-0.011-0.02475%0.00
Tim Hardaway-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.02-0.00542%-0.0400.00250%-0.02
Johnny Newman-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.01-0.050.01150%-0.0700.002100%0.00
Juwan Howard-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.05-0.04-0.01744%-0.032-0.05250%-0.02
Adrian Griffin-0.090,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19,-0.19,-0.09,-0.09-0.02-0.08-0.02370%0.122-0.21450%-0.00
Danny Manning-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.10.02-0.110.01850%-0.1000.0000%0.00

Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Lawrence Funderburke0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.09-0.020.110.001040%0.0900.0000%0.00
Hedo Turkoglu0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,0.09,0.07,0.070.070.040.050.021556%0.081-0.01250%-0.02
Vlade Divac0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,00.00-0.01-0.00-0.021853%0.091-0.091182%0.02
Scot Pollard0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.000.00545%-0.0100.001100%0.00
Doug Christie0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.08-0.00-0.011331%-0.0700.003100%0.01
Bobby Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1-0.10-0.02-0.020.061648%-0.032-0.081100%0.00
Mike Bibby0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.13-0.02-0.04520%-0.064-0.0600%0.00
Peja Stojakovic0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.3,-0.3-0.300.03-0.33-0.002058%-0.272-0.031377%-0.25
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game23.62.028.315.727.02.635.62.514.6151.9
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.01.716.7149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +48.1%
DAL +8.5%
SAC -0.8%
SAC -7.4%
DAL +1.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALSACNBADALSACNBA
this game15.915.215.6116.5111.8102.3
season14.814.2109.6106.6
opponent15.515.599.6105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
DAL13.614.818.020.611.315.9
SAC15.217.111.319.412.815.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Steve Nash84860.77-0.271.040.3016-102616.114.91.1114.816.9-2.10
Adrian Griffin67660.61-0.110.720.5233015.516.6-1.0813.717.9-4.25
Michael Finley91900.60-0.100.700.368-21015.518.7-3.2814.519.8-5.29
Dirk Nowitzki98970.54-0.040.570.308-21015.816.8-0.9915.018.0-2.98
Johnny Newman21190.210.29-0.090.1233012.216.8-4.6012.815.7-2.92
Shawn Bradley25250.200.30-0.11-0.1010-41414.716.2-1.5513.315.8-2.50
Tim Hardaway2321-0.020.52-0.550.27-1016-2616.715.61.0319.214.15.07
Danny Manning4041-0.070.57-0.64-0.2251417.115.12.0418.313.05.31
Evan Eschmeyer1413-0.110.61-0.720.09-713-2014.316.1-1.8215.615.10.51
Juwan Howard5252-0.220.72-0.93-0.04-612-1817.913.74.1816.513.82.72

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lawrence Funderburke41420.11-0.610.72-0.2412-183017.613.54.0418.314.24.11
Vlade Divac93940.04-0.540.58-0.084-101414.521.9-7.3716.113.03.13
Doug Christie5555-0.27-0.23-0.040.02-104-1414.116.4-2.3715.516.3-0.86
Hedo Turkoglu7979-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.444-101415.713.32.3516.414.02.47
Scot Pollard2626-0.33-0.17-0.160.11-159-2417.114.52.6213.016.8-3.77
Bobby Jackson5962-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.525-111614.615.9-1.2816.515.01.50
Peja Stojakovic9595-0.560.06-0.63-0.30-93-1215.215.10.0315.816.5-0.70
Mike Bibby6262-0.780.28-1.06-0.17-2115-3614.516.1-1.6214.118.5-4.46


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.28,0.2,0.24,0.19,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.25,0.38,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.37,0.41,0.65,0.33,0.47,0.37,0.67,0.92,0.46,0.46,0.31,0.45,0.04,0
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 127, BKN 1220.5,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.45,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.3,0.27,0.34,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.18,0.11,0.16,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.25,0.29,0.42,0.59,0.65,0.54,0.75,0.63,0.67,0.58,0.46,0.38,0.46,0.32,0.28,087.8%
MEM 100, OKC 990.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.26,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.28,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.11,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.33,0.32,0.11,0.31,0.42,0.54,0.38,0.28,0.23,0.27,087.3%
UTA 117, GSW 1080.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.2,0.22,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.26,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.47,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.57,0.45,0.74,0.46,0.36,0.22,0.1,0.03,086.9%