NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	117		Excitement	11.3 [34]		MVP	Matt Harpring (UTA): +41.0%
Golden State Warriors	108		Comeback	62.3 [15]		LVP	Milt Palacio (UTA): -24.8%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Harpring	0.41	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.41	0.00	0.37	-0.04	19	56%	0.48	4	-0.07	12	58%	-0.19
Mehmet Okur	0.28	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.27,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.13	0.15	-0.01	16	68%	0.32	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.00
Jarron Collins	0.00	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	62%	0.03	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Kris Humphries	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.08	-0.02	10	62%	-0.00	2	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.08	-0.01	9	48%	-0.03	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.01
Keith McLeod	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	7	50%	0.06	5	-0.20	4	75%	-0.00
Devin Brown	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.18,-0.16	-0.02	-0.12	0.02	9	42%	-0.14	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.07
Milt Palacio	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,0.07,-0.05,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25,-0.25	-0.05	-0.18	0.02	11	42%	-0.21	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.26,0.26,0.32,0.37,0.42,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.4	0.40	0.20	0.21	0.01	23	70%	0.49	2	-0.09	4	75%	-0.02
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.09	0.03	8	67%	0.14	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.06
Calbert Cheaney	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zarko Cabarkapa	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.03	-0.02	13	41%	0.02	3	-0.05	3	33%	-0.05
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	2	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.07	0.02	15	46%	-0.08	1	-0.03	16	69%	-0.05
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	7	29%	-0.08	2	-0.05	7	57%	-0.08
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.14	-0.01	-0.03	5	0%	-0.07	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ike Diogu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	0.05	-0.18	0.00	9	67%	0.00	3	-0.14	6	67%	-0.19

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	29.3	1.8	26.2	16.4	29.4	0.3	47.1	2.5	16.4	169.5
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	1.8	17.8	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +1.2%

UTA +13.1%

UTA +25.6%

UTA +1.7%

UTA +8.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	GSW	NBA	UTA	GSW	NBA
this game	15.9	13.0	15.6	106.4	98.2	104.4
season	17.0	14.8		101.7	102.9
opponent	15.5	15.0		104.0	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
UTA	18.5	14.6	16.0	14.3	18.0	15.9
GSW	14.9	13.7	11.3	12.4	13.3	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mehmet Okur	97	98	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.10	22	-13	35	16.2	14.0	2.20	13.3	10.2	3.06
Milt Palacio	47	46	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.43	10	-1	11	15.1	16.5	-1.37	11.3	14.2	-2.83
Devin Brown	63	63	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.41	6	3	3	16.9	14.7	2.23	13.5	12.3	1.22
Matt Harpring	83	83	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.37	7	2	5	15.5	17.4	-1.95	12.5	14.4	-1.90
CJ Miles	0	1	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.37	3	6	-3	0.0	15.9	-15.94	1.0	13.1	-12.08
Jarron Collins	43	43	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.27	3	6	-3	18.0	14.6	3.31	14.5	12.0	2.56
Andrei Kirilenko	17	16	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.12	8	1	7	16.5	15.8	0.70	15.3	12.6	2.74
Carlos Boozer	61	62	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.07	0	9	-9	15.1	16.9	-1.77	12.5	13.5	-1.01
Greg Ostertag	13	12	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.01	-3	12	-15	13.8	16.2	-2.46	8.3	13.5	-5.21
Kris Humphries	4	3	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.01	-3	12	-15	8.2	16.2	-7.98	5.3	13.2	-7.85
Deron Williams	77	78	-0.39	0.89	-1.27	-0.39	0	9	-9	16.2	15.4	0.77	13.7	11.2	2.56
Keith McLeod	45	45	-0.43	0.93	-1.35	-0.19	-8	17	-25	15.6	16.2	-0.61	13.1	12.9	0.16

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andris Biedrins	51	53	0.48	-0.98	1.46	-0.05	18	-27	45	13.2	12.8	0.34	16.3	15.6	0.67
Ike Diogu	50	51	0.28	-0.78	1.05	0.04	8	-17	25	11.7	14.1	-2.41	15.1	16.7	-1.64
Calbert Cheaney	11	10	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.02	0	-9	9	13.2	12.9	0.23	12.6	16.3	-3.67
Zarko Cabarkapa	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-9	9	6.0	13.0	-7.04	8.0	16.0	-8.01
Monta Ellis	65	65	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.31	8	-17	25	11.8	14.6	-2.83	16.0	15.9	0.12
Troy Murphy	47	44	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.08	-14	5	-19	14.0	12.2	1.83	16.6	15.5	1.05
Jason Richardson	96	96	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.18	-7	-2	-5	13.0	12.9	0.05	15.9	16.2	-0.32
Derek Fisher	102	101	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.31	-7	-2	-5	13.1	11.6	1.45	16.5	9.7	6.83
Mike Dunleavy	53	54	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.24	-10	1	-11	12.5	13.5	-1.00	15.2	16.6	-1.37
Adonal Foyle	31	31	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	0.01	-24	15	-39	14.7	12.3	2.46	18.4	15.0	3.41
Mickael Pietrus	43	44	-0.73	0.23	-0.97	-0.24	-17	8	-25	14.1	12.3	1.84	14.7	16.8	-2.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.2,0.22,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.26,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.47,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.57,0.45,0.74,0.46,0.36,0.22,0.1,0.03,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 127, BKN 122	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.45,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.3,0.27,0.34,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.18,0.11,0.16,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.25,0.29,0.42,0.59,0.65,0.54,0.75,0.63,0.67,0.58,0.46,0.38,0.46,0.32,0.28,0	89.4%
HOU 93, POR 85	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.21,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.17,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.3,0.35,0.53,0.81,0.79,0.57,0.73,0.46,0.25,0.29,0.14,0.05,0	88.0%
ORL 88, CHI 86	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.2,0.24,0.25,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.21,0.23,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.46,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.55,0.74,0.46,0.55,0.36,0.23,0.42,0	87.7%