NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	127		Excitement	11.4 [34]		MVP	Amir Johnson (TOR): +65.7%
Brooklyn Nets	122		Comeback	7.6 [244]		LVP	Kyle Lowry (TOR): -27.4%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amir Johnson	0.66	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.21,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.66	0.18	0.48	0.00	11	92%	0.72	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.08
Lou Williams	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.19	0.09	-0.01	12	71%	0.31	1	-0.02	11	91%	0.04
DeMar DeRozan	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.26,0.26,0.39,0.32,0.32,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.1,0.26,0.18	0.13	0.04	-0.00	17	60%	0.20	1	-0.02	9	89%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.01	0.01	7	100%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	0	75%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Patrick Patterson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.18,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	13	46%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	-0.02	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.01	8	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Ross	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	7	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.27,-0.27	-0.17	-0.16	-0.05	17	28%	-0.21	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.19,0.25,0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.13	0.12	0.01	28	56%	0.28	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.14	0.14	0.04	0.10	0.00	8	55%	0.14	0	0.00	4	100%	0.08
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.07	-0.01	7	50%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.04	0.01	5	75%	0.18	2	-0.16	6	33%	-0.11
Darius Morris	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	0.03	16	53%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.08	-0.03	30	51%	0.03	2	-0.04	8	100%	0.05
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	4	10%	-0.04	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.7	1.8	27.2	15.8	22.5	0.1	43.7	0.6	14.5	150.8
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	2.0	17.8	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +38.8%

TOR +5.9%

BKN -6.7%

TOR +5.2%

TOR +6.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	BKN	NBA	TOR	BKN	NBA
this game	15.8	14.3	15.1	121.0	115.1	104.2
season	15.6	15.3		109.1	102.9
opponent	15.3	15.0		105.8	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
TOR	15.7	14.5	16.7	15.7	17.3	15.8
BKN	14.9	14.3	12.6	14.9	16.0	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Lowry	86	89	0.79	-0.29	1.09	0.35	15	-10	25	15.6	16.8	-1.20	14.6	13.1	1.46
Amir Johnson	68	68	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.30	16	-11	27	15.4	16.6	-1.25	14.8	13.4	1.39
DeMar DeRozan	79	80	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.36	9	-4	13	16.1	14.8	1.33	14.5	13.8	0.70
Lou Williams	59	61	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.53	-4	9	-13	15.7	15.9	-0.22	13.7	15.2	-1.53
Jonas Valanciunas	67	65	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.10	12	-7	19	16.0	15.4	0.57	14.7	13.8	0.95
Patrick Patterson	63	66	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.51	-12	17	-29	15.9	15.7	0.20	13.7	15.3	-1.58
Greivis Vasquez	49	47	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.08	2	3	-1	16.4	15.2	1.20	14.6	14.1	0.46
Tyler Hansbrough	12	13	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	-0.01	-6	11	-17	16.7	15.7	1.06	12.9	14.5	-1.61
Terrence Ross	42	41	-0.30	0.80	-1.11	-0.10	-7	12	-19	15.0	16.3	-1.31	14.2	14.4	-0.28

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cory Jefferson	36	37	0.59	-1.09	1.67	0.03	19	-24	43	12.9	15.1	-2.15	16.8	15.2	1.59
Darius Morris	10	10	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.01	-6	1	-7	16.0	14.2	1.83	12.0	16.2	-4.21
Bojan Bogdanovic	80	79	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.58	13	-18	31	13.7	16.2	-2.45	16.3	14.5	1.79
Kevin Garnett	20	19	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.19	-16	11	-27	15.7	14.0	1.74	14.7	16.0	-1.31
Mason Plumlee	70	66	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.07	-8	3	-11	15.2	12.6	2.66	16.7	14.4	2.31
Jarrett Jack	103	103	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.38	-1	-4	3	14.3	16.3	-2.05	16.0	6.5	9.49
Brook Lopez	82	85	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.44	1	-6	7	14.0	15.6	-1.66	15.3	17.8	-2.52
Alan Anderson	37	36	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.01	-15	10	-25	15.0	14.0	1.06	14.9	16.3	-1.40
Joe Johnson	92	90	-0.86	0.36	-1.22	-0.51	-12	7	-19	14.4	14.1	0.23	15.6	16.9	-1.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.45,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.3,0.27,0.34,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.18,0.11,0.16,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.25,0.29,0.42,0.59,0.65,0.54,0.75,0.63,0.67,0.58,0.46,0.38,0.46,0.32,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 117, GSW 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.2,0.22,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.26,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.47,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.57,0.45,0.74,0.46,0.36,0.22,0.1,0.03,0	89.4%
LAC 105, DET 103	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.26,0.31,0.28,0.2,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.18,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.46,0.61,0.45,0.33,0.72,0	88.7%
CHA 111, MIA 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.12,0.22,0.24,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.22,0.38,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.53,0.61,0.75,0.72,0.55,0.26,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.43,0.15,0	88.7%