inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 88 Excitement11.8 [20] MVPCorey Benjamin (CHI): +9.8%
Chicago Bulls 86 Comeback7.6 [168] LVPRon Mercer (ORL): -55.9%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Pat Garrity0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.02-0.01757%0.061-0.0100%0.00
Darrell Armstrong0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0,0,0.18,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02-0.050.05-0.021553%0.153-0.128100%0.25
Corey Maggette0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00862%0.041-0.025100%0.03
John Amaechi-0.040,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.000.011244%-0.031-0.02367%-0.01
Michael Doleac-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.03-0.00430%-0.0600.00250%-0.02
Chucky Atkins-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.07-0.02-0.01714%-0.0900.0000%0.00
Anthony Johnson-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12-0.05-0.07-0.01644%-0.061-0.05425%-0.10
Bo Outlaw-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.03-0.090.00244%-0.1200.00540%-0.08
Ben Wallace-0.140,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.16-0.00-0.0240%-0.083-0.0620%-0.02
Ron Mercer-0.560,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.11,-0.2,-0.42,-0.67,-0.67,-0.73,-0.73,-0.73,-0.56-0.07-0.490.001845%-0.392-0.17683%-0.09

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Corey Benjamin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.020.07-0.01750%0.1000.0000%0.00
Dickey Simpkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.020.05-0.00370%0.072-0.04475%0.01
Hersey Hawkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.020.01757%0.191-0.2000%0.00
Metta World Peace0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.000.00859%0.033-0.0610%-0.02
Randy Brown0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.0130%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Chris Anstey0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.10-0.07-0.001146%-0.064-0.114100%0.03
B.J. Armstrong0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.06,-0.19-0.19-0.11-0.09-0.01530%0.104-0.2900%0.00
Matt Maloney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.03,-0.09,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.19-0.01-0.18-0.00675%0.104-0.2900%0.00
Elton Brand0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.2,-0.2,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.39-0.39-0.12-0.27-0.001938%-0.341-0.05944%-0.16
Chris Carr0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.25,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.42-0.42-0.13-0.280.011635%-0.293-0.132100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game24.52.424.615.728.61.838.51.720.9158.6
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.71.718.2137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI -56.7%
ORL +45.4%
CHI -47.0%
ORL +91.9%
ORL +16.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLCHINBAORLCHINBA
this game13.817.715.288.084.3101.7
season13.616.5100.491.8
opponent14.915.4102.399.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
ORL13.614.613.413.813.913.8
CHI17.720.414.819.016.117.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Darrell Armstrong67690.93-0.431.370.5812-102213.813.70.1417.817.30.48
Ron Mercer72740.69-0.200.890.526-41013.614.4-0.7917.418.4-1.06
Ben Wallace69710.58-0.080.670.2312-102213.913.50.3517.817.30.48
Anthony Johnson30320.270.230.050.33-24-613.913.70.2017.217.9-0.68
Bo Outlaw50510.230.27-0.040.1720213.414.2-0.7417.417.9-0.49
John Amaechi65640.130.37-0.230.024-2614.512.42.1418.216.81.38
Pat Garrity32330.060.44-0.370.27-79-1613.214.1-0.9317.417.8-0.39
Chucky Atkins3333-0.030.53-0.560.14-68-1413.713.8-0.1417.317.8-0.48
Michael Doleac3233-0.080.58-0.650.07-57-1213.014.1-1.1217.817.60.24
Corey Maggette5050-0.310.81-1.11-0.13-68-1414.213.40.7417.817.50.36

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Corey Benjamin35330.34-0.841.170.108-101819.216.92.3112.814.3-1.45
Matt Maloney51500.05-0.550.59-0.229-112016.718.6-1.9413.314.2-0.90
Chris Anstey6264-0.04-0.460.420.05-31-417.917.30.5013.514.2-0.68
Randy Brown1010-0.08-0.420.330.06-53-820.217.42.8211.914.0-2.10
Dickey Simpkins5752-0.22-0.280.06-0.282-4618.117.01.1013.813.8-0.04
B.J. Armstrong4040-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.17-42-618.217.30.8514.813.11.72
Metta World Peace4546-0.40-0.10-0.29-0.25-53-817.218.0-0.7415.712.13.61
Chris Carr5653-0.41-0.09-0.33-0.410-2217.018.5-1.5012.515.2-2.64
Elton Brand8483-0.720.22-0.93-0.57-53-817.319.2-1.9014.112.12.09
Hersey Hawkins7069-0.720.22-0.95-0.52-75-1217.617.8-0.2313.713.9-0.21


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.2,0.24,0.25,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.21,0.23,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.46,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.55,0.74,0.46,0.55,0.36,0.23,0.42,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 109, WAS 1050.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.16,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.24,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.23,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.43,0.58,0.59,0.46,0.53,0.38,0.71,0.69,0.91,0.46,0.31,0.22,0.09,0.05,088.3%
MIL 113, PHX 1070.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.19,0.3,0.35,0.41,0.52,0.37,0.44,0.28,0.15,0.26,0.43,0.63,0.58,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.55,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.46,0.39,0.29,0.43,0.27,088.2%
IND 98, POR 930.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.23,0.13,0.09,0.18,0.26,0.36,0.34,0.19,0.29,0.38,0.47,0.41,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.63,0.71,0.58,0.46,0.45,0.28,0.16,0.15,088.2%