NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	109		Excitement	9.9 [80]		MVP	Brandon Knight (MIL): +23.0%
Washington Wizards	105		Comeback	26.6 [27]		LVP	Chris Singleton (WAS): -39.3%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Knight	0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.23	-0.04	0.28	0.01	16	50%	0.36	4	-0.13	8	87%	0.07
John Henson	0.22	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.13	0.10	0.01	10	76%	0.24	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Khris Middleton	0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.24,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06	0.13	-0.05	0.02	22	62%	0.10	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	6	46%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Ekpe Udoh	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	64%	0.07	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.04	-0.01	8	35%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Luke Ridnour	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nate Wolters	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	8	25%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
O.J. Mayo	-0.28	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.26,-0.28	-0.06	-0.19	0.03	16	47%	-0.03	4	-0.25	4	50%	-0.03

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.05	0.15	0.00	7	67%	0.24	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.04
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.00	0.10	-0.01	6	50%	0.12	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.02
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.05,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.02	0.02	12	73%	0.25	3	-0.14	6	83%	0.04
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.01	7	57%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Maynor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	33%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	8	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.07
Glen Rice Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.04,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.01	23	51%	0.14	5	-0.17	13	92%	0.10
Jan Vesely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Singleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.33,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39	-0.39	-0.10	-0.29	-0.00	10	29%	-0.28	2	-0.12	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.0	1.8	31.2	15.6	24.9	1.8	34.3	1.8	18.8	156.1
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	1.9	17.6	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +55.2%

WAS -24.7%

MIL +14.2%

WAS -4.2%

MIL +9.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	WAS	NBA	MIL	WAS	NBA
this game	15.8	15.4	15.1	106.9	102.9	105.2
season	15.7	15.1		101.4	103.8
opponent	15.5	15.1		102.7	109.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIL	13.5	14.7	18.0	16.3	19.2	15.8
WAS	14.2	16.0	16.2	15.7	14.1	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ersan Ilyasova	52	56	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.45	8	-4	12	16.2	15.4	0.79	14.8	16.0	-1.14
John Henson	89	85	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.35	11	-7	18	15.6	17.1	-1.44	15.9	12.6	3.25
Brandon Knight	61	61	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.40	8	-4	12	16.1	15.3	0.81	15.8	14.7	1.08
Khris Middleton	92	92	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.35	7	-3	10	15.4	19.8	-4.41	15.2	17.2	-2.05
O.J. Mayo	73	73	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.44	4	0	4	16.5	14.0	2.55	15.8	14.2	1.65
Nate Wolters	35	35	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.09	4	0	4	14.9	16.3	-1.43	14.2	16.0	-1.80
Giannis Antetokounmpo	39	39	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.03	-3	7	-10	15.5	16.0	-0.54	14.9	15.6	-0.65
Luke Ridnour	6	7	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.05	-7	11	-18	18.0	15.7	2.31	16.7	15.3	1.46
Ekpe Udoh	63	62	-0.37	0.87	-1.25	-0.02	-12	16	-28	15.8	15.9	-0.16	15.2	15.6	-0.49

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Otto Porter	28	28	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.00	-1	-3	2	14.2	15.8	-1.52	16.3	15.6	0.64
Nene	49	49	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.03	-1	-3	2	15.8	15.0	0.77	15.3	16.3	-0.96
Glen Rice Jr.	0	1	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.10	0	-4	4	0.0	15.4	-15.35	2.0	16.0	-13.96
Martell Webster	26	26	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	0	-4	14.2	15.7	-1.56	13.5	16.6	-3.12
Garrett Temple	3	3	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	-1	-2	11.3	15.5	-4.14	14.3	15.9	-1.54
Eric Maynor	9	11	-0.15	-0.34	0.19	0.02	-6	2	-8	14.1	15.5	-1.36	11.0	16.4	-5.41
John Wall	90	88	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.34	5	-9	14	15.6	13.4	2.19	16.5	11.7	4.76
Jan Vesely	31	34	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.09	-10	6	-16	15.4	15.4	0.00	14.1	16.7	-2.51
Trevor Booker	49	49	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.33	0	-4	4	14.9	15.8	-0.88	16.1	15.5	0.61
Trevor Ariza	88	86	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.43	2	-6	8	15.3	15.6	-0.25	16.5	12.1	4.46
Marcin Gortat	75	72	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.49	3	-7	10	15.4	15.3	0.13	16.7	13.6	3.10
Chris Singleton	62	63	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.26	-5	1	-6	16.4	13.7	2.64	15.8	15.8	0.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.16,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.24,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.23,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.43,0.58,0.59,0.46,0.53,0.38,0.71,0.69,0.91,0.46,0.31,0.22,0.09,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 114, CHI 108	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.31,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.26,0.3,0.35,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.26,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.37,0.25,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.38,0.37,0.47,0.41,0.33,0.53,0.54,0.45,0.92,0.46,0.32,0.1,0.23,0.05,0	89.8%
DET 103, PHI 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.35,0.23,0.3,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.28,0.37,0.31,0.39,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.77,0.96,0.46,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.04,0	89.6%
LAC 112, PHI 107	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.32,0.36,0.23,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.2,0.15,0.24,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.4,0.3,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.46,0.45,0.21,0.06,0.01,0	89.3%