NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	114		Excitement	11.3 [37]		MVP	Kirk Hinrich (CHI): +34.4%
Chicago Bulls	108		Comeback	31.6 [33]		LVP	Pau Gasol (CHI): -28.4%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tristan Thompson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0,0,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.02	13	57%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.03,-0.04,-0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.02,0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	17	52%	0.24	4	-0.21	10	100%	0.08
Anderson Varejao	0.03	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.01	8	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
LeBron James	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.19,-0.16,-0.09,0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.01	30	52%	0.24	3	-0.23	9	78%	0.02
Joe Harris	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dion Waiters	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	10	37%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Kevin Love	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	17	40%	-0.10	0	0.00	6	83%	0.04

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.38,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.34	0.34	0.14	0.20	-0.00	11	74%	0.37	1	-0.03	5	60%	0.01
Derrick Rose	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.01	16	57%	0.08	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.02	9	56%	0.06	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Mirotic	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	8	56%	0.07	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.03
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	8	61%	0.21	4	-0.25	2	50%	-0.02
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.04	-0.08	0.01	10	70%	0.11	3	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15	-0.15	-0.07	-0.07	0.01	7	50%	-0.01	4	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.11,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.10	-0.16	0.02	18	38%	-0.15	3	-0.13	3	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.4	3.4	28.6	16.0	26.1	2.7	37.0	2.5	21.1	162.8
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	2.0	17.8	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI -80.3%

CLE +43.5%

CLE +41.7%

CLE +43.2%

CLE +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	CHI	NBA	CLE	CHI	NBA
this game	15.7	14.6	15.1	109.6	101.9	104.2
season	15.9	15.5		108.7	105.4
opponent	15.2	14.9		102.5	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CLE	18.3	16.1	13.7	14.4	16.6	15.7
CHI	16.0	13.4	16.2	15.0	10.6	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Love	84	84	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.51	7	-1	8	15.0	18.7	-3.75	14.6	14.9	-0.30
Tristan Thompson	72	73	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.25	3	3	0	16.2	14.5	1.74	13.6	16.8	-3.23
LeBron James	83	82	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.33	-3	9	-12	15.6	16.1	-0.53	14.7	14.5	0.21
Matthew Dellavedova	45	47	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.02	9	-3	12	16.0	15.5	0.50	15.9	13.6	2.28
Shawn Marion	29	32	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.05	5	1	4	16.4	15.4	1.03	13.2	15.2	-2.01
Kyrie Irving	70	71	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.24	-2	8	-10	15.3	16.4	-1.10	14.4	15.2	-0.82
Dion Waiters	53	54	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	6	-6	14.2	17.2	-3.07	15.0	14.2	0.84
Mike Miller	21	21	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.05	3	3	0	19.0	14.8	4.11	15.7	14.4	1.30
Joe Harris	0	1	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	6	-6	0.0	15.7	-15.67	2.0	14.7	-12.74
Anderson Varejao	52	54	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.12	2	4	-2	16.1	15.2	0.85	16.3	12.9	3.45

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joakim Noah	74	77	0.20	-0.70	0.89	-0.16	12	-18	30	14.7	14.5	0.22	15.1	17.4	-2.39
Derrick Rose	51	52	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.15	8	-14	22	14.6	14.6	-0.03	15.4	15.9	-0.46
Nikola Mirotic	8	7	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	0	-6	16.0	14.5	1.49	19.1	15.4	3.72
Doug McDermott	32	28	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.11	-10	4	-14	15.7	14.1	1.61	17.5	15.0	2.45
Aaron Brooks	39	35	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.02	-9	3	-12	14.8	14.5	0.35	17.4	14.8	2.56
Pau Gasol	74	70	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.29	0	-6	6	15.0	13.8	1.16	15.9	15.2	0.74
Kirk Hinrich	70	71	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.40	2	-8	10	14.3	15.3	-1.03	14.9	17.2	-2.30
Tony Snell	46	45	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.15	-8	2	-10	14.5	14.7	-0.14	15.1	16.1	-0.95
Mike Dunleavy	80	81	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.38	-1	-5	4	14.4	15.2	-0.81	15.4	16.6	-1.20
Taj Gibson	56	54	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.25	-18	12	-30	13.9	15.5	-1.58	15.8	15.5	0.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.31,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.26,0.3,0.35,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.26,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.37,0.25,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.38,0.37,0.47,0.41,0.33,0.53,0.54,0.45,0.92,0.46,0.32,0.1,0.23,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 103, PHI 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.35,0.23,0.3,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.28,0.37,0.31,0.39,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.77,0.96,0.46,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.04,0	90.1%
MIL 109, WAS 105	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.16,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.24,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.23,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.43,0.58,0.59,0.46,0.53,0.38,0.71,0.69,0.91,0.46,0.31,0.22,0.09,0.05,0	89.8%
DET 129, ATL 124	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.23,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.45,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.32,0.28,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.47,0.34,0.4,0.39,0.55,0.43,0.28,0.54,0.25,0.22,0.23,0.02,0	88.8%