inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 129 Excitement12.7 [8] MVPJason Terry (ATL): +18.0%
Atlanta Hawks 124 Comeback4.5 [319] LVPCorliss Williamson (DET): -19.5%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chucky Atkins0.090,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.06,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.08,0.09-0.080.16-0.011848%0.173-0.08887%0.09
Joe Smith0.050,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.030.030.021160%0.101-0.053100%0.01
Kornel David0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.01-0.02560%0.061-0.0200%0.00
Dana Barros0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.020.00456%0.051-0.041100%0.01
Jud Buechler0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mateen Cleaves-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.050.01-0.03737%0.021-0.022100%0.02
Jerry Stackhouse-0.040,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04-0.01-0.05-0.032658%0.115-0.151283%0.12
Ben Wallace-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.020.00460%0.022-0.062100%0.02
Brian Cardinal-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.010.00257%0.012-0.06367%-0.01
Mikki Moore-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.07-0.03-0.00437%-0.0900.00850%-0.04
Corliss Williamson-0.200,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.13,-0.14,-0.34,-0.27,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.20.02-0.21-0.001362%0.052-0.251182%-0.14

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jason Terry0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.000.16-0.021957%0.273-0.09667%0.13
Brevin Knight0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.150.15-0.030.17-0.011154%0.222-0.07683%0.01
Hanno Mottola0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.01-0.00375%0.0400.002100%0.01
Alan Henderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.00-0.01-0.00450%-0.0000.00250%-0.02
Matt Maloney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.050.00-0.0220%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Cal Bowdler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.01714%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Dion Glover0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.03-0.030.011248%-0.022-0.0610%-0.03
Lorenzen Wright0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11-0.110.04-0.140.021963%0.053-0.161182%0.04
Nazr Mohammed0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.14,-0.12-0.12-0.03-0.090.001259%-0.013-0.111080%0.05
DerMarr Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.09,0.01,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.06-0.08-0.02850%0.334-0.4500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game24.01.829.715.628.21.839.21.717.0158.9
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.11.717.2139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL -18.3%
DET +37.4%
DET +7.7%
DET +22.1%
DET +1.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETATLNBADETATLNBA
this game13.313.115.5108.4101.6100.9
season14.315.497.996.0
opponent15.115.4101.699.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
DET12.612.111.815.916.213.3
ATL12.712.314.412.913.813.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Corliss Williamson88880.62-0.120.740.427-2914.011.32.7013.312.60.68
Chucky Atkins81840.51-0.010.510.3941313.213.5-0.2813.512.31.19
Jerry Stackhouse1031060.440.060.390.3050513.114.2-1.1113.013.9-0.96
Mikki Moore35350.350.150.200.176-1712.713.5-0.8512.913.2-0.23
Joe Smith71730.300.200.100.126-1713.912.31.6313.911.91.95
Ben Wallace971010.220.28-0.070.33-49-1313.313.30.0213.212.70.47
Jud Buechler21220.160.34-0.180.0250512.113.5-1.3913.013.1-0.07
Kornel David14140.110.39-0.28-0.0041311.513.5-2.0211.413.3-1.90
Dana Barros26270.010.49-0.490.09-38-1112.813.4-0.5612.813.2-0.42
Mateen Cleaves3838-0.010.51-0.51-0.0314-313.513.20.2812.313.5-1.19
Brian Cardinal2122-0.210.71-0.92-0.03-611-1712.713.4-0.6911.813.4-1.63

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Hanno Mottola2120-0.03-0.470.44-0.030-5512.013.3-1.3411.013.7-2.69
Dion Glover6463-0.04-0.460.42-0.195-101513.312.90.4013.513.00.47
Nazr Mohammed9288-0.10-0.400.30-0.4010-152512.913.8-0.9214.110.93.27
Jason Terry9591-0.13-0.370.24-0.04-3-2-113.212.90.3313.113.9-0.79
Lorenzen Wright9290-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.363-81113.412.21.2514.310.14.16
Cal Bowdler2021-0.32-0.18-0.140.03-127-1914.212.91.3110.613.9-3.30
Alan Henderson2323-0.34-0.16-0.170.02-127-1912.913.2-0.2410.713.9-3.16
Brevin Knight10198-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.350-5513.411.51.9114.19.34.80
Matt Maloney3737-0.43-0.07-0.37-0.17-94-1312.413.4-1.0810.914.4-3.47
DerMarr Johnson6564-0.48-0.02-0.47-0.28-72-912.713.6-0.8513.313.20.09


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.23,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.45,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.32,0.28,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.47,0.34,0.4,0.39,0.55,0.43,0.28,0.54,0.25,0.22,0.23,0.02,0
GameSimilarity Score
DET 102, MIA 1000.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.36,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.35,0.25,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.28,0.36,0.4,0.6,0.45,0.63,0.33,0.27,0.46,0.45,0.28,0.15,0.17,092.1%
SAS 104, CHI 950.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.26,0.32,0.33,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.38,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.29,0.31,0.21,0.22,0.44,0.46,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.52,0.57,0.27,0.54,0.39,0.12,0.1,0.02,091.6%
OKC 116, PHI 1090.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.33,0.32,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.5,0.49,0.37,0.25,0.17,0.19,0.29,0.29,0.38,0.31,0.23,0.36,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.32,0.45,0.41,0.46,0.25,0.29,0.22,0.47,0.54,0.45,0.22,0.06,0.02,090.4%