inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 104 Excitement9.8 [90] MVPNazr Mohammed (SAS): +25.2%
Chicago Bulls 95 Comeback3.0 [296] LVPManu Ginobili (SAS): -43.0%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nazr Mohammed0.250,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.250.100.160.01888%0.352-0.101100%0.01
Tim Duncan0.150,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.150.080.100.031567%0.223-0.076100%0.09
Michael Finley0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11-0.090.18-0.021429%0.121-0.0200%0.00
Tony Parker0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,0,-0.05,-0.07,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.06-0.030.100.011455%0.285-0.221283%0.10
Rasho Nesterovic0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00367%0.0200.0000%0.00
Robert Horry0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.05-0.020.01570%0.0200.0000%0.00
Bruce Bowen0.010,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.010.04-0.03-0.00753%0.0100.0010%-0.02
Brent Barry0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nick Van Exel-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.02-0.00425%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Manu Ginobili-0.430,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.29,-0.29,-0.42,-0.42,-0.42,-0.42,-0.43,-0.43-0.11-0.300.021640%-0.254-0.18333%-0.04

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Luol Deng0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.1,0.23,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.140.140.040.10-0.001456%0.181-0.04683%0.04
Andres Nocioni0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.040.01671%0.122-0.062100%0.01
Tyson Chandler0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.010.02958%0.061-0.041100%0.00
Othella Harrington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.01167%0.0200.00450%-0.02
Eddie Basden0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.000.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Eric Piatkowski00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Michael Sweetney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.02-0.050.01756%-0.001-0.044100%0.04
Darius Songaila0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.030.02757%0.002-0.0600%0.00
Ben Gordon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.1,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.09-0.00-0.021739%0.063-0.14250%-0.01
Chris Duhon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24-0.24-0.07-0.170.01922%-0.2400.0000%0.00
Kirk Hinrich0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36-0.36-0.16-0.21-0.011930%-0.292-0.07683%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game22.12.536.30.226.82.535.22.613.0141.2
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.01.817.8144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +67.1%
SAS +14.1%
CHI -17.1%
CHI -14.4%
SAS +0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASCHINBASASCHINBA
this game16.614.015.6102.089.6104.4
season16.314.4106.0102.6
opponent16.115.6102.199.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
SAS17.216.916.816.514.616.6
CHI15.614.412.213.515.414.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tony Parker73760.70-0.200.900.2316-72316.217.7-1.5614.313.21.14
Bruce Bowen74770.53-0.030.550.2690916.516.8-0.2515.011.43.54
Manu Ginobili74750.490.010.490.2972516.018.1-2.1214.113.80.35
Tim Duncan81820.480.020.460.1910-11115.919.2-3.3115.010.74.33
Michael Finley56600.480.020.460.3354117.715.22.4913.115.2-2.16
Rasho Nesterovic42430.260.240.020.0672516.316.8-0.5915.113.31.77
Brent Barry550.070.43-0.36-0.0545-111.816.9-5.0614.814.00.82
Nick Van Exel2930-0.200.70-0.900.01-716-2317.716.21.5613.214.3-1.14
Nazr Mohammed3639-0.220.72-0.95-0.13-312-1517.816.01.8112.115.2-3.11
Robert Horry3437-0.230.73-0.96-0.09-514-1917.716.01.6912.215.0-2.73

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andres Nocioni49480.30-0.801.100.184-131715.612.63.0015.817.3-1.50
Eddie Basden22200.25-0.751.01-0.019-18279.915.1-5.1918.916.02.91
Othella Harrington1312-0.04-0.460.420.02-2-7513.314.1-0.8115.716.7-0.97
Darius Songaila4139-0.18-0.320.13-0.01-6-3-316.112.73.4315.917.0-1.15
Eric Piatkowski67-0.22-0.280.07-0.10-4-5112.314.1-1.7915.116.7-1.57
Ben Gordon6561-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.02-90-913.115.4-2.2816.916.20.65
Michael Sweetney3837-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.11-90-914.213.90.2616.416.7-0.32
Luol Deng7369-0.47-0.03-0.45-0.21-90-913.116.1-2.9617.215.31.88
Tyson Chandler6563-0.48-0.02-0.45-0.27-7-2-514.014.1-0.0916.816.40.40
Chris Duhon7168-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.46-1-8714.313.40.9716.217.4-1.12
Kirk Hinrich8786-0.500.00-0.51-0.18-112-1314.511.82.7216.716.30.35


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.26,0.32,0.33,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.38,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.29,0.31,0.21,0.22,0.44,0.46,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.52,0.57,0.27,0.54,0.39,0.12,0.1,0.02,0
GameSimilarity Score
DET 129, ATL 1240.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.23,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.45,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.32,0.28,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.47,0.34,0.4,0.39,0.55,0.43,0.28,0.54,0.25,0.22,0.23,0.02,091.6%
LAC 112, PHI 1070.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.32,0.36,0.23,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.2,0.15,0.24,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.4,0.3,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.46,0.45,0.21,0.06,0.01,090.4%
IND 98, POR 930.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.23,0.13,0.09,0.18,0.26,0.36,0.34,0.19,0.29,0.38,0.47,0.41,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.63,0.71,0.58,0.46,0.45,0.28,0.16,0.15,090.4%