NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	112		Excitement	9.0 [118]		MVP	Marreese Speights (PHI): +28.3%
Philadelphia 76ers	107		Comeback	4.3 [219]		LVP	Jrue Holiday (PHI): -10.5%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasual Butler	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.12	0.16	0.01	11	75%	0.28	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.12	0.06	-0.01	17	65%	0.21	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Al Thornton	0.16	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	-0.03	0.23	0.04	13	44%	0.22	3	-0.07	1	0%	-0.05
Sebastian Telfair	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.00	0.07	-0.00	2	67%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
Marcus Camby	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.00	7	69%	0.09	1	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Mardy Collins	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	6	43%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Baron Davis	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.08	-0.03	19	48%	-0.04	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Eric Gordon	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	0.02	-0.14	-0.02	12	65%	0.13	4	-0.22	2	100%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.08,0.18,0.07,0.26,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.09	0.19	-0.00	20	57%	0.39	1	-0.10	9	67%	-0.06
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.06	0.00	13	52%	0.10	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	7	71%	0.09	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.07	-0.10	0.02	17	56%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.09	-0.01	14	56%	0.06	3	-0.13	8	87%	-0.03
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	4	33%	-0.01	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	9	30%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	6	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.5	2.0	28.1	15.7	25.3	2.5	35.2	3.6	11.4	148.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	2.0	39.8	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +65.1%

PHI -11.2%

PHI -7.8%

PHI -10.6%

LAC +14.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	PHI	NBA	LAC	PHI	NBA
this game	17.2	15.0	15.3	113.1	109.2	106.0
season	15.5	15.1		101.9	104.2
opponent	15.8	15.2		108.4	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAC	15.7	17.5	16.6	21.4	14.0	17.2
PHI	14.3	14.4	15.4	15.0	17.8	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Thornton	72	73	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.33	12	-7	19	17.7	15.9	1.80	15.3	14.2	1.18
Baron Davis	75	74	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.25	8	-3	11	16.1	20.7	-4.64	15.3	14.2	1.16
Rasual Butler	51	50	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.31	2	3	-1	17.4	17.0	0.37	15.3	14.7	0.57
Marcus Camby	82	80	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.44	-3	8	-11	17.5	16.0	1.49	14.4	17.8	-3.42
Sebastian Telfair	20	20	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.18	4	1	3	19.7	16.6	3.09	14.3	15.2	-0.93
Eric Gordon	80	78	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.30	-1	6	-7	16.7	19.6	-2.90	14.9	15.7	-0.83
Chris Kaman	66	68	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.05	5	0	5	17.8	16.2	1.58	15.2	14.6	0.59
Mardy Collins	49	47	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.01	-2	7	-9	16.8	17.6	-0.82	15.2	14.9	0.37

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jrue Holiday	43	45	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.10	2	-7	9	13.8	16.0	-2.19	17.7	16.9	0.80
Jason Kapono	13	14	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.05	0	-5	5	13.2	15.3	-2.18	18.2	17.1	1.14
Samuel Dalembert	22	23	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-3	1	14.7	15.1	-0.46	16.0	17.6	-1.66
Lou Williams	42	41	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-4	3	15.5	14.7	0.89	17.0	17.4	-0.44
Willie Green	57	58	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.07	-7	2	-9	14.8	15.3	-0.47	16.8	17.9	-1.06
Elton Brand	64	64	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.33	-2	-3	1	15.6	14.0	1.55	17.3	17.2	0.09
Thaddeus Young	82	82	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.23	-6	1	-7	15.7	11.7	3.93	17.2	17.2	0.07
Marreese Speights	64	63	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.30	-4	-1	-3	14.9	15.3	-0.43	18.0	15.9	2.07
Andre Iguodala	94	95	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.42	0	-5	5	14.8	21.7	-6.99	17.4	13.7	3.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.32,0.36,0.23,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.2,0.15,0.24,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.4,0.3,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.46,0.45,0.21,0.06,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 123, GSW 117	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.36,0.35,0.41,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.27,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.23,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.3,0.29,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.19,0.26,0.33,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.37,0.1,0.01,0	92.3%
BOS 113, WAS 111	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.27,0.21,0.15,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.19,0.3,0.32,0.35,0.25,0.27,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.37,0.36,0.47,0.33,0.45,0.37,0.43,0.47,0.54,0.55,0.29,0.23,0.42,0	90.9%
IND 98, POR 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.23,0.13,0.09,0.18,0.26,0.36,0.34,0.19,0.29,0.38,0.47,0.41,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.63,0.71,0.58,0.46,0.45,0.28,0.16,0.15,0	90.9%