inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 113 Excitement11.7 [30] MVPJeff Green (BOS): +63.8%
Washington Wizards 111 Comeback4.1 [183] LVPJohn Wall (WAS): -36.2%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jeff Green0.640,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.27,0.23,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.29,0.51,0.38,0.38,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.640.230.39-0.012668%0.651-0.01560%-0.03
Gerald Wallace0.320,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.320.010.29-0.02464%0.392-0.08683%0.04
Phil Pressey0.020,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,-0.16,-0.16,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,0.020.09-0.040.021091%0.295-0.26250%-0.03
Joel Anthony-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Kelly Olynyk-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.02-0.00633%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Chris Johnson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.01945%0.022-0.062100%0.01
Vander Blue-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.070.00-0.02233%-0.012-0.0320%-0.02
Brandon Bass-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.05-0.031040%-0.012-0.0700%0.00
Jared Sullinger-0.090,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.06,-0.09-0.04-0.07-0.021154%0.324-0.41475%0.02
Kris Humphries-0.240,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.11,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24-0.03-0.22-0.011036%-0.2400.002100%0.01

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Martell Webster0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.21,0.210.210.010.20-0.01953%0.322-0.101100%0.01
Trevor Ariza0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.090.130.03887%0.272-0.0800%0.00
Trevor Booker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.070.060.01669%0.1200.001100%0.01
Marcin Gortat0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.060.060.020.050.01852%0.081-0.02560%-0.13
Garrett Temple0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.000.03-0.001100%0.072-0.042100%0.01
Kevin Seraphin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.01367%0.0200.0000%0.00
Bradley Beal0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.07-0.05-0.011644%-0.053-0.0600%0.00
Nene0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.18,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38,-0.32,-0.24,-0.14-0.140.00-0.15-0.001452%-0.042-0.10560%-0.01
John Wall0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19,-0.19,-0.25,-0.13,-0.27,-0.1,-0.1,-0.22,-0.16,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.36-0.36-0.18-0.20-0.022939%-0.196-0.181377%0.05
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game24.42.331.315.424.31.638.21.514.3153.3
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.41.917.6136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +98.9%
WAS -22.9%
BOS +6.2%
WAS -34.3%
BOS +2.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSWASNBABOSWASNBA
this game15.013.815.1102.7100.0105.2
season15.415.1101.2103.8
opponent15.515.0102.7106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
BOS13.713.916.214.918.915.0
WAS15.112.813.114.513.013.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jeff Green97980.70-0.200.900.4110-81814.220.7-6.4613.714.1-0.33
Gerald Wallace82830.310.190.120.55-810-1815.712.92.8313.913.50.33
Brandon Bass46480.310.190.110.60-1012-2215.614.60.9713.314.1-0.79
Kris Humphries76740.300.200.100.184-2614.017.3-3.2814.113.10.97
Chris Johnson62610.250.250.000.40-57-1215.614.31.2913.314.3-0.98
Phil Pressey70720.220.28-0.060.017-51215.015.1-0.1214.213.11.09
Joel Anthony10110.210.29-0.090.036-41014.815.0-0.2213.213.8-0.67
Jared Sullinger67690.130.37-0.230.053-1415.314.50.8814.013.50.49
Vander Blue10100.110.39-0.29-0.076-41011.715.3-3.6314.113.80.35
Kelly Olynyk3029-0.040.54-0.570.05-35-816.514.42.1113.214.0-0.73

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Garrett Temple1717-0.01-0.490.470.02-1-1015.413.51.9216.414.71.67
Kevin Seraphin1415-0.08-0.420.34-0.02-20-215.613.52.1316.114.81.24
Trevor Booker4242-0.10-0.400.290.01-42-614.713.21.5015.015.0-0.00
Bradley Beal6463-0.14-0.360.230.01-53-814.113.40.7015.114.80.33
Marcin Gortat9494-0.24-0.260.03-0.354-61013.117.4-4.2815.015.00.00
Trevor Ariza9090-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.556-81413.813.50.3214.616.8-2.26
John Wall9493-0.49-0.01-0.47-0.46-1-1013.515.4-1.9214.716.4-1.67
Nene7269-0.510.01-0.52-0.45-20-213.713.9-0.1414.815.4-0.62
Martell Webster6867-0.560.06-0.63-0.42-53-813.414.3-0.9215.414.31.07


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.27,0.21,0.15,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.19,0.3,0.32,0.35,0.25,0.27,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.37,0.36,0.47,0.33,0.45,0.37,0.43,0.47,0.54,0.55,0.29,0.23,0.42,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 112, PHI 1070.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.32,0.36,0.23,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.2,0.15,0.24,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.4,0.3,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.46,0.45,0.21,0.06,0.01,090.9%
BOS 112, MIL 1080.5,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.19,0.23,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.17,0.14,0.2,0.14,0.1,0.15,0.27,0.33,0.26,0.22,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.19,0.22,0.34,0.28,0.23,0.36,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.28,0.22,0.26,0.5,0.45,0.22,0.03,0.59,089.9%
DAL 119, SAS 1110.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.38,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.26,0.34,0.3,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.35,0.17,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.42,0.54,0.39,0.29,0.1,0.09,089.6%