inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 119 Excitement8.0 [268] MVPDirk Nowitzki (DAL): +41.3%
San Antonio Spurs 111 Comeback8.7 [122] LVPBruce Bowen (SAS): -8.9%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki0.410,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.410.240.210.042066%0.4100.001694%0.10
Jerry Stackhouse0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.13,0.130.010.11-0.021348%0.151-0.021100%0.01
DeSagana Diop0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.060.060.01387%0.1100.00250%-0.00
Josh Howard0.100,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.040.070.011264%0.203-0.10475%0.00
Jason Terry0.090,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.09,0.090.11-0.010.012059%0.111-0.026100%0.05
Keith Van Horn0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.040.050.00764%0.101-0.0200%0.00
Erick Dampier0.050,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.060.000.012100%0.0500.002100%0.01
Adrian Griffin0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Darrell Armstrong-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Devin Harris-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.12-0.00-0.05333%0.025-0.0900%0.00

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Manu Ginobili0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.35,0.350.350.100.24-0.021174%0.464-0.109100%0.08
Michael Finley0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.080.110.01871%0.201-0.021100%0.00
Tony Parker0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.080.000.011857%0.091-0.026100%0.02
Robert Horry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nick Van Exel0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Tim Duncan0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.26,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.17,0.08,0.02,0.04,-0.03-0.030.13-0.130.032458%0.133-0.162374%-0.06
Brent Barry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.0020%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Bruce Bowen0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.090.02-0.090.02950%-0.0900.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game31.03.631.320.430.33.542.22.521.2186.1
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.01.817.8144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +13.7%
DAL +26.7%
DAL +7.1%
DAL +5.1%
SAS -2.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALSASNBADALSASNBA
this game16.915.415.6120.2113.3104.4
season16.416.3109.0106.0
opponent15.615.699.4102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
DAL14.618.317.518.015.416.9
SAS16.714.516.015.413.115.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jerry Stackhouse77760.66-0.160.820.4671616.717.4-0.6415.016.9-1.88
DeSagana Diop19170.63-0.130.760.5144019.316.33.0313.315.9-2.56
Jason Terry91910.57-0.070.640.1913-51816.224.4-8.1715.613.32.29
Dirk Nowitzki92910.330.170.170.3308-817.212.34.9315.317.3-2.02
Josh Howard64660.280.220.050.0771617.615.52.1815.415.40.05
Devin Harris64590.140.36-0.23-0.0771617.515.61.9215.215.8-0.60
Keith Van Horn23240.030.47-0.430.12-311-1417.016.80.2315.715.30.34
Adrian Griffin220.000.50-0.49-0.0626-42.017.2-15.185.515.6-10.11
Darrell Armstrong1515-0.000.50-0.51-0.0626-415.517.1-1.5717.515.02.43
Erick Dampier4849-0.140.64-0.78-0.1717-615.717.9-2.2116.714.12.53

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nick Van Exel1515-0.14-0.360.22-0.02-4-4018.114.93.2214.117.4-3.22
Robert Horry2018-0.22-0.280.07-0.16-2-6416.315.21.1812.617.8-5.20
Tony Parker8283-0.24-0.260.01-0.13-4-4014.818.3-3.4717.613.24.32
Bruce Bowen8587-0.26-0.24-0.03-0.20-2-6415.415.8-0.4217.710.86.87
Manu Ginobili7779-0.32-0.18-0.15-0.24-3-5215.415.5-0.0917.315.31.90
Michael Finley8788-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.25-5-3-215.117.8-2.7117.114.92.20
Brent Barry3332-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.06-135-1816.414.91.4914.418.1-3.68
Tim Duncan9193-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.26-7-1-615.317.3-2.0217.014.32.70


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.38,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.26,0.34,0.3,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.35,0.17,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.42,0.54,0.39,0.29,0.1,0.09,0
GameSimilarity Score
NJN 86, NOH 850.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.23,0.24,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.18,0.13,0.16,0.23,0.15,0.14,0.24,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.24,0.17,0.31,0.37,0.1,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.15,0.08,091.3%
ORL 112, SAS 1090.5,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.34,0.32,0.27,0.33,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.2,0.18,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.11,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.3,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.11,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.14,0.04,0.15,0.16,0.54,0.47,0.28,0.15,0.15,090.7%
WAS 114, MIL 1090.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.35,0.34,0.26,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.2,0.22,0.26,0.28,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.16,0.18,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.35,0.33,0.47,0.16,0.23,0.73,0.54,0.31,0.28,0.06,0.01,089.8%