inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 112 Excitement10.0 [54] MVPMike Miller (ORL): +28.3%
San Antonio Spurs 109 Comeback1.5 [222] LVPDavid Robinson (SAS): -39.4%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike Miller0.280,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.280.040.24-0.001653%0.301-0.0200%0.00
Michael Doleac0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.10.040.06-0.011165%0.182-0.071100%0.01
Troy Hudson0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.060.00-0.025100%0.122-0.0300%0.00
Darrell Armstrong0.020,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.020.010.020.01856%0.0200.009100%0.14
Tracy McGrady0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,0.01-0.03-0.01-0.043347%0.0100.001486%-0.01
Bo Outlaw-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00250%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Don Reid-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.01250%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Monty Williams-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.01333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Andrew DeClercq-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.02-0.00125%-0.042-0.05250%-0.01
Pat Garrity-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.03-0.12-0.03737%-0.1200.0020%-0.02
John Amaechi-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.12-0.02-0.01728%-0.082-0.05475%-0.01

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Steve Kerr0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.270.270.080.190.004100%0.2700.0000%0.00
Danny Ferry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.010.00580%0.081-0.0200%0.00
Terry Porter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.010.01-0.040.05-0.00536%0.0100.00475%-0.00
Derrick Dial00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ira Newble0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.050.00-0.00525%-0.0500.0020%-0.02
Samaki Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.020.00460%-0.002-0.052100%0.01
Derek Anderson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.12-0.00-0.02822%-0.072-0.04250%-0.01
Tim Duncan0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13-0.13-0.08-0.030.012055%-0.045-0.081338%-0.22
Antonio Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.25,-0.23,-0.23,-0.2-0.20-0.04-0.150.011846%-0.142-0.063100%0.04
David Robinson0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.39-0.39-0.02-0.360.011460%-0.362-0.041974%-0.32
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game27.82.731.217.325.62.332.31.726.7167.5
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.11.717.2139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +8.0%
ORL +21.8%
ORL +13.3%
ORL +10.5%
SAS -3.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLSASNBAORLSASNBA
this game15.415.815.5109.8106.9100.9
season14.615.9101.6103.4
opponent15.515.896.5100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
ORL11.416.617.918.111.515.4
SAS16.716.914.815.314.515.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Troy Hudson26250.53-0.030.560.298-51314.515.7-1.2016.315.60.66
Michael Doleac48490.460.040.430.1112-92115.915.00.9116.615.01.63
Monty Williams19210.290.210.080.068-51315.815.30.4918.015.22.73
Tracy McGrady85840.210.29-0.080.35-58-1315.216.4-1.1515.517.2-1.75
Darrell Armstrong78790.200.30-0.100.26-25-715.315.6-0.3015.317.4-2.13
John Amaechi45450.190.31-0.120.1903-316.814.32.4415.516.0-0.45
Andrew DeClercq29290.190.31-0.130.36-69-1515.215.5-0.2617.715.02.71
Mike Miller70680.140.36-0.230.0821115.515.20.2515.516.3-0.76
Pat Garrity36370.120.38-0.250.21-36-914.515.9-1.3415.615.9-0.30
Bo Outlaw44430.110.39-0.280.22-47-1116.714.42.3915.615.9-0.39
Don Reid30300.060.44-0.37-0.085-2712.916.4-3.5814.216.4-2.20

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Derek Anderson65670.05-0.550.590.16-41-515.815.80.0015.515.20.34
Steve Kerr3030-0.00-0.500.49-0.3311-142517.015.31.7718.314.24.17
Derrick Dial01-0.10-0.400.30-0.04-2-1-10.015.8-15.782.015.5-13.52
Samaki Walker3029-0.10-0.400.30-0.07-1-2116.915.31.5814.215.9-1.66
Danny Ferry5757-0.17-0.340.17-0.222-5716.315.11.2415.115.7-0.57
Tim Duncan9897-0.24-0.260.02-0.302-5715.913.02.9015.612.03.57
Ira Newble2021-0.26-0.24-0.020.01-96-1515.715.8-0.1013.915.8-1.93
Antonio Daniels8987-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.34-1-2115.517.5-1.9215.912.33.59
Terry Porter3434-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.26-63-914.616.4-1.7913.516.4-2.88
David Robinson7577-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.29-63-915.317.0-1.7015.814.21.63


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.34,0.32,0.27,0.33,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.2,0.18,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.11,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.3,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.11,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.14,0.04,0.15,0.16,0.54,0.47,0.28,0.15,0.15,0
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 119, SAS 1110.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.38,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.26,0.34,0.3,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.35,0.17,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.42,0.54,0.39,0.29,0.1,0.09,090.7%
DET 112, CLE 1100.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.23,0.16,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.24,0.35,0.26,0.23,0.14,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.18,0.29,0.15,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.16,090.0%
NJN 86, NOH 850.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.23,0.24,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.18,0.13,0.16,0.23,0.15,0.14,0.24,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.24,0.17,0.31,0.37,0.1,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.15,0.08,090.0%