NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	93		Excitement	8.4 [176]		MVP	Yao Ming (HOU): +36.8%
Portland Trail Blazers	85		Comeback	9.4 [75]		LVP	Zach Randolph (POR): -51.0%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Yao Ming	0.37	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.16,0.05,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.37,0.37,0.37	0.09	0.28	-0.00	19	65%	0.44	2	-0.07	5	80%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.00	4	87%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jim Jackson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	13	35%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.07	-0.00	11	45%	-0.00	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	5	40%	-0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	9	44%	0.06	4	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19	-0.05	-0.13	0.01	18	55%	-0.07	5	-0.12	4	75%	-0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.06	0.00	7	64%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.34,0.34,0.26,0.26,0.15,0.15,0.11	0.11	-0.00	0.07	-0.04	15	59%	0.35	4	-0.24	2	100%	0.02
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	80%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Eddie Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.00	4	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	0.02	-0.02	12	32%	-0.05	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	2	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.08	0.01	15	44%	-0.13	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Zach Randolph	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.35,-0.47,-0.47,-0.47,-0.47,-0.51,-0.51	-0.51	-0.22	-0.28	0.00	20	38%	-0.28	4	-0.23	13	46%	-0.09

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	21.6	1.7	29.1	15.8	28.3	2.7	32.0	1.6	15.1	147.8
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	2.0	17.4	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +53.1%

POR -10.8%

POR -2.9%

HOU +4.8%

HOU +5.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	POR	NBA	HOU	POR	NBA
this game	18.4	16.7	15.7	102.2	94.4	100.5
season	16.5	17.1		98.8	101.5
opponent	15.7	15.6		103.2	97.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
HOU	14.3	18.6	22.4	20.8	15.3	18.4
POR	17.7	16.6	15.5	17.1	16.3	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Taylor	52	53	1.08	-0.58	1.65	0.31	26	-18	44	15.5	22.3	-6.80	17.2	16.1	1.15
Steve Francis	77	77	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.26	12	-4	16	18.0	20.6	-2.66	16.4	18.7	-2.29
Yao Ming	76	75	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.28	10	-2	12	18.7	17.1	1.59	16.5	18.1	-1.60
Cuttino Mobley	87	87	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.23	9	-1	10	18.2	22.7	-4.55	16.6	21.7	-5.10
Eric Piatkowski	10	9	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	7	-6	19.7	18.2	1.47	19.4	16.4	3.01
Jim Jackson	75	75	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.01	-2	10	-12	18.9	16.2	2.68	16.7	17.1	-0.48
Charles Oakley	7	6	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	12	-16	21.4	18.1	3.29	19.2	16.6	2.61
Mark Jackson	14	13	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.01	-4	12	-16	20.6	18.0	2.66	18.7	16.4	2.29
Clar. Weatherspoon	47	46	-0.55	1.05	-1.60	-0.08	-16	24	-40	20.7	15.9	4.86	16.3	17.2	-0.88

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ruben Patterson	43	43	0.21	-0.71	0.92	0.21	0	-8	8	17.3	16.3	1.00	18.8	18.0	0.79
Eddie Gill	6	6	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-9	10	17.8	16.7	1.18	19.0	18.4	0.65
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	26	29	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.19	5	-13	18	16.9	16.7	0.27	17.4	18.9	-1.49
Dale Davis	12	13	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.11	-4	-4	0	19.6	16.3	3.29	20.2	18.1	2.05
Theo Ratliff	61	59	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.01	-10	2	-12	16.5	17.2	-0.75	18.7	17.8	0.95
Damon Stoudamire	82	84	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.12	-7	-1	-6	16.8	15.9	0.94	18.3	19.4	-1.12
Derek Anderson	84	86	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.31	-2	-6	4	16.6	18.5	-1.89	18.4	17.8	0.63
Zach Randolph	74	73	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.24	-13	5	-18	16.3	18.7	-2.38	17.9	20.3	-2.35
Darius Miles	62	62	-0.81	0.31	-1.11	-0.51	-10	2	-12	16.4	17.4	-0.96	18.5	18.3	0.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.21,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.17,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.3,0.35,0.53,0.81,0.79,0.57,0.73,0.46,0.25,0.29,0.14,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 112, PHI 107	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.32,0.36,0.23,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.2,0.15,0.24,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.4,0.3,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.46,0.45,0.21,0.06,0.01,0	89.1%
IND 98, POR 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.23,0.13,0.09,0.18,0.26,0.36,0.34,0.19,0.29,0.38,0.47,0.41,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.63,0.71,0.58,0.46,0.45,0.28,0.16,0.15,0	88.8%
MIL 109, WAS 105	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.16,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.24,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.23,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.43,0.58,0.59,0.46,0.53,0.38,0.71,0.69,0.91,0.46,0.31,0.22,0.09,0.05,0	88.8%