NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	105		Excitement	7.3 [370]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +8.6%
Utah Jazz	101		Comeback	1.6 [732]		LVP	Karl Malone (UTA): -19.6%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.04	0.01	22	62%	0.16	2	-0.08	19	84%	0.04
Samaki Walker	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Devean George	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.02	4	67%	0.06	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Jelani McCoy	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0	-0.05	0.07	0.03	22	53%	0.08	3	-0.08	14	64%	0.01
Lindsey Hunter	-0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	13	46%	0.04	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Rick Fox	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	7	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	3	37%	-0.02	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Mitch Richmond	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	5	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Stockton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	12	70%	0.15	4	-0.12	3	100%	0.02
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	5	75%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0	0.00	0.03	-0.00	0.03	11	64%	0.05	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.01	10	56%	0.03	1	-0.03	7	57%	-0.06
Quincy Lewis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	6	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
John Amaechi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	5	42%	0.01	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	5	37%	-0.07	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
John Crotty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	0.01	5	37%	-0.08	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.03
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.12	-0.05	-0.00	8	11%	-0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.2	-0.20	-0.10	-0.11	-0.01	13	48%	-0.07	4	-0.12	7	86%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.8	32.2	15.7	27.2	2.4	47.2	151.8
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +22.9%

LAL +17.7%

LAL +0.7%

LAL +8.4%

LAL +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	UTA	NBA	LAL	UTA	NBA
this game	14.6	14.4	15.6	106.1	101.0	102.3
season	15.3	16.1		106.9	102.9
opponent	15.1	15.4		101.9	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.6	13.5	13.2	15.3	14.6
UTA	15.4	14.8	15.6	11.9	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lindsey Hunter	84	84	0.84	-0.34	1.17	0.45	13	-9	22	14.4	15.7	-1.36	14.6	13.2	1.33
Shaquille O'Neal	78	77	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.29	13	-9	22	14.4	15.3	-0.96	15.2	11.7	3.47
Kobe Bryant	90	91	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.30	8	-4	12	14.6	14.0	0.63	14.2	16.3	-2.16
Devean George	31	32	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.08	15	-11	26	14.6	14.6	0.05	12.4	15.3	-2.89
Rick Fox	78	78	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.43	-5	9	-14	14.6	14.4	0.19	14.6	13.5	1.12
Robert Horry	58	59	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.31	-10	14	-24	14.4	14.8	-0.43	13.2	16.1	-2.97
Jelani McCoy	1	2	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.03	-1	5	-6	16.0	14.6	1.44	15.0	14.4	0.64
Samaki Walker	43	44	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.02	-1	5	-6	14.7	14.5	0.13	15.3	13.6	1.69
Slava Medvedenko	6	6	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	-0.03	-2	6	-8	16.7	14.4	2.23	20.5	14.0	6.52
Mitch Richmond	26	27	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.03	-10	14	-24	15.2	14.3	0.89	13.4	14.7	-1.32

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Stockton	63	63	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.20	4	-8	12	14.3	14.6	-0.31	14.7	14.4	0.21
Quincy Lewis	28	28	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	0	-4	16.0	13.7	2.26	15.5	14.2	1.29
John Amaechi	34	35	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.08	-1	-3	2	14.7	14.2	0.46	15.5	14.1	1.41
Andrei Kirilenko	49	45	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.48	12	-16	28	12.4	16.3	-3.89	14.7	14.5	0.21
Bryon Russell	62	60	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.39	9	-13	22	12.9	16.8	-3.90	14.3	14.9	-0.57
John Starks	34	35	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-1	-2	16.4	13.3	3.14	14.1	14.9	-0.80
Greg Ostertag	33	32	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.04	-12	8	-20	16.4	13.4	3.07	15.3	14.2	1.09
John Crotty	37	36	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.18	-8	4	-12	14.6	14.3	0.31	14.4	14.7	-0.21
Karl Malone	91	91	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.38	-2	-2	0	14.2	16.1	-1.91	14.3	17.7	-3.45
Donyell Marshall	69	70	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.21	-15	11	-26	14.5	14.0	0.49	14.2	15.6	-1.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.35,0.48,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.28,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 83, NJN 73	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.52,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.21,0.22,0.3,0.34,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.33,0.2,0.11,0,0,0	93.1%
DAL 112, LAC 102	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.34,0.48,0.36,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.47,0.35,0.42,0.1,0.05,0.06,0.01,0	92.3%
BOS 90, DET 81	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.37,0.48,0.55,0.45,0.31,0.44,0.33,0.24,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.27,0.27,0.19,0.11,0.02,0,0	92.2%