NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	112		Excitement	6.6 [495]		MVP	Eric Piatkowski (LAC): +34.2%
Los Angeles Clippers	102		Comeback	1.8 [900]		LVP	Charles R. Jones (LAC): -12.2%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hubert Davis	0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.16,0.28,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.13	0.19	-0.00	9	83%	0.32	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17	0.11	0.06	0.00	13	71%	0.19	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Shawn Bradley	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.01	0.05	-0.02	7	57%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.00	10	64%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.03	0.01	9	65%	0.09	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.03
Erick Strickland	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.01	14	53%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Sean Rooks	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	20	45%	0.00	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.34	0.34	0.25	0.14	0.04	16	85%	0.34	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.01	-0.04	19	60%	0.19	3	-0.11	7	100%	0.04
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.06	0.00	17	54%	0.12	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Tyrone Nesby	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	6	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Closs	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Avent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Etdrick Bohannon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	75%	-0.00	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	14	50%	0.02	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Pete Chilcutt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Charles R. Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	6	0%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.8	2.3	25.4	16.6	22.2	1.5	33.5	122.3
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +25.4%

LAC -0.4%

DAL +13.6%

DAL +9.6%

DAL +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	LAC	NBA	DAL	LAC	NBA
this game	16.7	15.9	15.2	125.8	115.9	101.7
season	14.8	15.6		104.2	95.5
opponent	14.3	14.8		107.1	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	17.3	15.6	16.0	17.7	16.7
LAC	17.0	15.7	15.3	15.7	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Buckner	49	49	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.20	22	-12	34	15.2	18.5	-3.31	16.1	15.7	0.39
Steve Nash	74	74	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.20	11	-1	12	16.7	16.4	0.30	16.2	14.3	1.90
Hubert Davis	54	52	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.20	10	0	10	17.1	16.0	1.12	14.9	17.4	-2.50
Dirk Nowitzki	57	59	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.17	5	5	0	18.0	14.2	3.85	16.3	15.1	1.22
Michael Finley	81	80	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.16	5	5	0	17.1	11.9	5.25	15.4	21.1	-5.76
Sean Rooks	25	25	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	7	-4	14.5	17.5	-3.02	17.9	15.1	2.84
Shawn Bradley	40	38	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	11	-12	16.5	16.8	-0.28	14.7	16.8	-2.12
Erick Strickland	65	63	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.07	-5	15	-20	16.5	17.1	-0.65	16.4	14.5	1.96

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Avent	16	15	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.09	9	-19	28	16.9	15.7	1.21	14.1	17.2	-3.03
Pete Chilcutt	18	17	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.05	-2	-8	6	14.8	16.2	-1.32	16.1	16.8	-0.66
Tyrone Nesby	20	20	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.07	-7	-3	-4	16.4	15.7	0.73	17.4	16.4	1.03
Keith Closs	8	8	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.07	-3	-7	4	16.0	15.9	0.12	14.1	16.9	-2.78
Etdrick Bohannon	18	20	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.12	-4	-6	2	16.0	15.9	0.14	19.5	15.8	3.67
Eric Piatkowski	72	72	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.16	-6	-4	-2	15.9	15.9	-0.06	17.3	13.7	3.64
Charles R. Jones	33	36	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.21	-6	-4	-2	15.4	16.2	-0.84	17.2	16.3	0.91
Michael Olowokandi	86	86	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.12	-11	1	-12	15.9	13.5	2.44	16.2	29.7	-13.47
Derek Anderson	81	82	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.18	-10	0	-10	15.9	15.6	0.34	16.2	21.9	-5.65
Jeff McInnis	88	89	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.21	-10	0	-10	15.9	0.0	15.89	16.7	0.0	16.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.34,0.48,0.36,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.47,0.35,0.42,0.1,0.05,0.06,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 101, MEM 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.27,0.21,0.31,0.22,0.03,0,0,0,0	92.9%
POR 98, SAC 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.4,0.38,0.22,0.34,0.24,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.39,0.24,0.11,0.04,0,0	92.5%
LAL 105, UTA 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.35,0.48,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.28,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0	92.3%