NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	98		Excitement	6.4 [496]		MVP	Nicolas Batum (POR): +28.2%
Sacramento Kings	87		Comeback	1.5 [842]		LVP	Tyreke Evans (SAC): -27.0%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nicolas Batum	0.28	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.17,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.18	0.12	0.02	11	81%	0.28	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Andre Miller	0.20	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.10	0.10	-0.00	15	64%	0.23	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Brandon Roy	0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.08	0.09	-0.01	14	67%	0.29	3	-0.11	8	87%	0.03
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.01	0.02	17	52%	0.04	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.05	-0.00	4	50%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Fernandez	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	5	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.04	0.00	12	69%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Andres Nocioni	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.05	-0.01	9	55%	0.11	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Beno Udrih	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.05	-0.01	16	65%	0.23	4	-0.13	2	50%	-0.00
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.05	-0.01	9	62%	0.18	2	-0.08	3	67%	-0.03
Jon Brockman	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean May	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	11	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	6	67%	0.00
Donte Greene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ime Udoka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	1	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.18	-0.09	0.00	12	22%	-0.18	4	-0.09	3	33%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	1.6	28.5	15.8	25.3	2.4	33.3	135.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +33.7%

POR +6.9%

SAC -5.8%

POR +14.0%

POR +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	SAC	NBA	POR	SAC	NBA
this game	16.8	15.2	15.3	108.9	96.7	106.0
season	16.7	15.2		108.8	103.7
opponent	15.0	15.6		108.5	106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.3	15.5	16.5	20.1	16.8
SAC	15.3	14.5	18.6	12.6	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Camby	69	70	0.87	-0.37	1.24	0.17	24	-13	37	16.3	18.4	-2.05	16.1	11.9	4.23
Nicolas Batum	54	54	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.13	22	-11	33	16.6	17.1	-0.45	15.8	14.3	1.47
Brandon Roy	72	72	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.07	20	-9	29	16.6	17.5	-0.86	16.1	11.7	4.33
LaMarcus Aldridge	79	79	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.20	10	1	9	17.2	13.8	3.41	14.8	18.3	-3.51
Andre Miller	61	62	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.15	11	0	11	17.1	16.1	0.99	15.0	15.7	-0.76
Jerryd Bayless	26	26	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	9	-7	16.5	16.9	-0.44	15.4	15.1	0.33
Rudy Fernandez	36	36	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.18	-9	20	-29	16.2	17.2	-1.03	14.6	15.6	-0.92
Dante Cunningham	32	31	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	-0.01	-12	23	-35	16.8	16.8	0.00	14.2	15.7	-1.57
Martell Webster	21	20	-0.37	0.87	-1.24	0.01	-13	24	-37	18.4	16.3	2.05	11.9	16.1	-4.23

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ime Udoka	31	31	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.17	8	-19	27	14.0	15.8	-1.86	17.2	16.6	0.63
Andres Nocioni	58	60	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.07	3	-14	17	14.9	15.7	-0.77	15.8	18.9	-3.13
Sean May	8	7	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.04	1	-12	13	18.1	14.9	3.22	11.3	17.3	-5.99
Jon Brockman	5	6	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-11	11	13.0	15.3	-2.32	14.5	17.0	-2.48
Donte Greene	22	22	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	-7	3	17.9	14.3	3.60	17.3	16.6	0.67
Omri Casspi	50	49	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.20	-5	-6	1	14.3	16.3	-2.09	18.1	15.3	2.74
Jason Thompson	63	63	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.18	-8	-3	-5	14.1	17.8	-3.70	17.6	15.0	2.59
Beno Udrih	78	78	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.12	-12	1	-13	14.7	18.2	-3.44	16.9	16.5	0.36
Tyreke Evans	63	63	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	0.01	-18	7	-25	16.3	12.6	3.76	16.4	17.7	-1.28
Carl Landry	72	71	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.08	-20	9	-29	16.1	11.7	4.33	16.8	16.7	0.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.4,0.38,0.22,0.34,0.24,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.39,0.24,0.11,0.04,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 112, LAC 102	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.34,0.48,0.36,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.47,0.35,0.42,0.1,0.05,0.06,0.01,0	92.5%
NOH 96, GSW 85	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.26,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.25,0.15,0.1,0.01,0	92.3%
SAS 83, NJN 73	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.52,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.21,0.22,0.3,0.34,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.33,0.2,0.11,0,0,0	92.3%