NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	101		Excitement	6.2 [616]		MVP	Jaren Jackson Jr. (MEM): +29.9%
Memphis Grizzlies	94		Comeback	1.7 [330]		LVP	Mike Conley (MEM): -23.7%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luke Kennard	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.18	0.01	0.15	-0.02	11	46%	0.18	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.00
Langston Galloway	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.08	0.10	-0.00	8	69%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.06	-0.01	11	73%	0.20	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Bullock	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.01	8	72%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.01	0.04	23	51%	0.05	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.03
Jose Calderon	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jon Leuer	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Stanley Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bruce Brown	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	4	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	13	35%	-0.01	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.03

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.21	0.11	0.02	11	87%	0.33	2	-0.03	8	100%	0.06
Dillon Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.07	-0.00	10	64%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Wayne Selden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	83%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Joakim Noah	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.07	-0.01	0.06	9	75%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	10	50%	-0.00	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaMychal Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	8	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	8	37%	-0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	10	36%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.19	-0.06	-0.01	8	0%	-0.16	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.5	29.3	14.8	27.3	2.3	34.3	132.6
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +70.6%

MEM -23.5%

DET +2.7%

MEM -0.4%

DET +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	MEM	NBA	DET	MEM	NBA
this game	16.3	14.8	14.3	107.4	103.3	109.3
season	15.3	15.4		107.5	105.4
opponent	14.2	14.0		107.4	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	14.8	15.8	17.9	17.0	16.3
MEM	13.4	16.3	17.2	13.0	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Drummond	77	74	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.24	13	-6	19	15.6	19.5	-3.87	14.8	14.9	-0.16
Blake Griffin	75	73	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.20	13	-6	19	16.3	16.3	-0.02	15.3	12.7	2.68
Reggie Jackson	63	60	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.16	11	-4	15	15.7	17.6	-1.96	15.3	13.9	1.43
Luke Kennard	54	53	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.32	2	5	-3	16.1	16.5	-0.40	13.9	16.1	-2.17
Bruce Brown	40	38	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.06	13	-6	19	15.5	16.9	-1.30	16.4	13.7	2.72
Langston Galloway	35	35	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.17	3	4	-1	17.3	15.7	1.66	15.2	14.6	0.67
Reggie Bullock	56	54	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.07	3	4	-1	15.6	17.3	-1.71	14.5	15.3	-0.82
Jose Calderon	31	31	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.13	-4	11	-15	17.6	15.7	1.96	13.9	15.3	-1.43
Stanley Johnson	11	10	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.06	-7	14	-21	20.4	15.8	4.60	14.4	14.9	-0.46
Jon Leuer	28	27	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.17	-12	19	-31	18.1	15.5	2.58	13.3	15.5	-2.16

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wayne Selden	8	9	0.14	-0.64	0.77	-0.04	6	-13	19	13.2	15.0	-1.71	21.8	15.7	6.06
Joakim Noah	9	9	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.01	4	-11	15	10.7	15.3	-4.60	13.9	16.6	-2.66
Omri Casspi	11	10	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.01	1	-8	9	13.2	15.0	-1.86	13.3	16.7	-3.35
Mike Conley	52	52	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.04	-6	-1	-5	15.1	14.4	0.66	17.6	14.7	2.91
Garrett Temple	71	72	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.22	-1	-6	5	14.7	15.2	-0.50	16.5	15.7	0.80
Jaren Jackson Jr.	67	69	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.26	0	-7	7	14.9	14.5	0.37	16.7	15.1	1.60
JaMychal Green	46	48	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.38	4	-11	15	13.5	16.2	-2.70	16.5	16.0	0.50
Shelvin Mack	45	47	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.29	-3	-4	1	14.8	14.9	-0.11	15.2	17.4	-2.21
Dillon Brooks	33	34	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.18	-9	2	-11	15.2	14.6	0.53	16.3	16.3	-0.01
Marc Gasol	54	57	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.11	-20	13	-33	16.3	12.6	3.65	15.7	17.2	-1.56
Kyle Anderson	59	63	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.16	-11	4	-15	15.3	14.0	1.30	15.8	17.4	-1.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.27,0.21,0.31,0.22,0.03,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 100, DET 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.3,0.26,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.33,0.21,0.31,0.35,0.13,0.1,0.04,0.06,0,0	93.7%
SAS 98, DEN 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.64,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.17,0.23,0.1,0.19,0.17,0.07,0.02,0,0,0	93.1%
DET 96, NOK 86	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.44,0.4,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.24,0.23,0.36,0.35,0.17,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	93.1%