NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	96		Excitement	5.8 [672]		MVP	Richard Hamilton (DET): +23.9%
New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	86		Comeback	2.0 [335]		LVP	Desmond Mason (NOK): -9.0%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Hamilton	0.24	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.13	0.09	-0.01	21	62%	0.24	1	-0.00	6	100%	0.05
Chauncey Billups	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.02	-0.03	11	67%	0.18	4	-0.09	5	100%	0.03
Carlos Arroyo	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.06	-0.00	4	100%	0.15	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	-0.00	-0.03	7	57%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.03	0.02	9	67%	0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Carlos Delfino	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.01	0.02	17	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Ben Wallace	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	12%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kirk Snyder	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.08	0.02	10	65%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	3	83%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.08,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.03	0.00	11	64%	0.19	6	-0.20	6	67%	0.04
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	5	27%	-0.02	2	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	14	39%	-0.03	0	0.00	5	100%	0.04
David West	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.01	-0.05	0.04	17	53%	-0.01	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.01
Desmond Mason	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	12	42%	-0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	0.8	28.2	14.8	23.4	1.0	30.6	125.8
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +42.1%

NOK -5.8%

DET +1.3%

DET +12.1%

DET +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	NOK	NBA	DET	NOK	NBA
this game	16.3	18.0	15.6	114.3	102.4	104.4
season	16.9	16.3		108.3	101.2
opponent	15.3	15.8		104.1	101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	17.7	15.3	15.4	16.7	16.3
NOK	16.6	18.1	21.4	16.0	18.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tayshaun Prince	71	72	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.22	18	-8	26	16.5	15.2	1.37	18.1	17.0	1.14
Ben Wallace	64	63	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.25	16	-6	22	17.3	13.0	4.34	18.5	16.3	2.25
Chauncey Billups	55	56	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.03	15	-5	20	16.2	16.4	-0.21	19.8	14.3	5.54
Richard Hamilton	74	75	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.21	7	3	4	16.7	13.4	3.30	17.7	20.4	-2.76
Rasheed Wallace	73	71	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.06	5	5	0	16.0	18.4	-2.36	18.6	14.3	4.34
Carlos Arroyo	25	26	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.20	-4	14	-18	16.6	16.2	0.36	14.8	19.4	-4.64
Carlos Delfino	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	11	-12	14.3	16.4	-2.05	8.0	18.2	-10.22
Antonio McDyess	33	34	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.07	-3	13	-16	15.5	16.8	-1.26	15.5	19.6	-4.11
Maurice Evans	22	21	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.01	-3	13	-16	13.6	17.3	-3.62	18.5	17.8	0.67

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasual Butler	29	28	0.18	-0.68	0.87	-0.02	7	-17	24	17.1	18.4	-1.28	14.9	17.0	-2.18
Chris Andersen	33	32	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.17	4	-14	18	15.3	19.7	-4.35	16.6	16.2	0.41
Kirk Snyder	38	39	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.02	-5	-5	0	19.4	16.8	2.64	15.8	16.7	-0.86
J.R. Smith	14	15	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.13	-2	-8	6	13.9	18.8	-4.86	16.8	16.2	0.60
Chris Paul	60	59	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.11	-7	-3	-4	18.4	16.8	1.66	16.8	15.1	1.69
P.J. Brown	60	60	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.04	-11	1	-12	19.6	14.0	5.57	16.0	17.0	-1.02
Speedy Claxton	56	55	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.20	-6	-4	-2	17.5	18.9	-1.43	16.0	17.0	-1.00
David West	75	76	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.21	-13	3	-16	17.9	18.9	-1.02	16.4	15.1	1.31
Desmond Mason	55	56	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.19	-17	7	-24	18.4	17.1	1.28	17.0	14.9	2.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.44,0.4,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.24,0.23,0.36,0.35,0.17,0.03,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 106, GSW 89	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.19,0.16,0.08,0.09,0.23,0.31,0.24,0.13,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	93.3%
DET 101, MEM 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.27,0.21,0.31,0.22,0.03,0,0,0,0	93.1%
SAS 100, DET 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.3,0.26,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.33,0.21,0.31,0.35,0.13,0.1,0.04,0.06,0,0	92.8%