inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 98 Excitement6.4 [546] MVPMichael Finley (SAS): +13.7%
Denver Nuggets 88 Comeback1.8 [374] LVPAndre Miller (DEN): -15.2%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Finley0.140,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.070.05-0.021158%0.1400.002100%0.01
Tim Duncan0.130,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.120.050.041661%0.1300.009100%0.04
Robert Horry0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.040.050.00762%0.111-0.022100%0.02
Brent Barry0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.01-0.00650%0.0300.00475%-0.01
Beno Udrih0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.02-0.00450%0.0300.0000%0.00
Manu Ginobili0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.04-0.010.011067%0.144-0.121070%-0.01
Bruce Bowen0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.00550%0.0100.0000%0.00
Sean Marks0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Fabricio Oberto-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.010.00250%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Nazr Mohammed-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Rasho Nesterovic-0.040,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.01633%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Tony Parker-0.100,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.01-0.00930%-0.042-0.0620%-0.02

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Earl Boykins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.040.030.00955%0.0700.004100%0.03
Earl Watson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.05-0.02-0.01392%0.112-0.07683%0.02
Julius Hodge0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Linas Kleiza0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.01425%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Greg Buckner0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.010.01350%-0.001-0.0300%0.00
Eduardo Najera0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.01544%0.022-0.06683%0.01
Francisco Elson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.010.01233%-0.021-0.022100%0.01
Kenyon Martin0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.04-0.030.031335%-0.1000.00560%-0.04
Carmelo Anthony0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.10-0.04-0.002244%0.024-0.161369%-0.01
Andre Miller0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.12-0.030.001539%-0.005-0.15862%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.22.433.515.426.52.335.6141.9
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +57.9%
DEN -12.8%
DEN -10.1%
SAS +18.7%
DEN -3.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASDENNBASASDENNBA
this game17.414.215.6107.796.7104.4
season16.314.4106.0103.5
opponent15.915.6103.599.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS17.018.416.517.817.4
DEN15.012.915.513.514.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Manu Ginobili50480.390.110.280.101001016.418.7-2.3314.114.3-0.16
Tim Duncan65660.380.120.260.1191818.016.11.8914.613.21.41
Robert Horry42420.360.140.210.1573418.516.51.9913.914.5-0.54
Michael Finley66660.340.160.190.2346-217.816.31.5314.314.00.30
Tony Parker67670.300.200.110.1655017.317.7-0.3814.014.9-0.89
Nazr Mohammed15140.280.220.06-0.011001015.717.8-2.0315.114.11.01
Brent Barry26260.260.240.020.0573418.517.01.4514.114.3-0.20
Beno Udrih24240.200.30-0.110.0555017.717.30.3814.914.00.89
Fabricio Oberto21190.130.37-0.240.13010-1014.818.2-3.4012.114.8-2.67
Bruce Bowen39410.010.49-0.490.04-111-1217.517.40.1014.514.00.49
Sean Marks110.000.50-0.500.00010-1013.017.5-4.485.014.3-9.32
Rasho Nesterovic3941-0.150.65-0.790.03-616-2217.417.40.0114.613.90.67

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Julius Hodge110.00-0.500.500.000-10105.014.3-9.3213.017.5-4.48
Linas Kleiza1111-0.10-0.400.31-0.01-3-7414.814.10.6820.017.12.92
Kenyon Martin6262-0.10-0.400.29-0.08-1-9813.915.0-1.1517.517.30.12
Greg Buckner3737-0.12-0.380.260.02-5-5013.914.4-0.5517.417.40.01
Earl Watson3433-0.19-0.310.13-0.16-1-9814.014.3-0.3017.117.6-0.48
Andre Miller7878-0.32-0.18-0.15-0.15-6-4-214.512.42.1417.417.8-0.40
Francisco Elson5354-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.09-9-1-814.713.61.0616.718.5-1.83
Earl Boykins4950-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.23-5-5014.314.10.1418.116.61.49
Eduardo Najera5655-0.42-0.08-0.33-0.21-7-3-414.114.4-0.3417.617.20.43
Carmelo Anthony7474-0.510.01-0.53-0.13-133-1614.214.20.0517.218.3-1.06


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.64,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.17,0.23,0.1,0.19,0.17,0.07,0.02,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 100, MIA 990.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.28,0.41,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.01,0.04,0,093.4%
WAS 105, BOS 910.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.29,0.19,0.08,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,093.2%
DET 101, MEM 940.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.27,0.21,0.31,0.22,0.03,0,0,0,093.1%