inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Charlotte Hornets 76 Excitement5.2 [761] MVPDonyell Marshall (UTA): +16.3%
Utah Jazz 87 Comeback1.9 [813] LVPJamal Mashburn (CHH): -15.8%


Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jamaal Magloire0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.080.00-0.10355%0.033-0.00540%0.00
Doug Overton-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.000.002100%0.052-0.0600%0.00
Baron Davis-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.010.00858%0.042-0.06367%-0.01
Lee Nailon-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.01-0.01743%-0.002-0.0300%0.00
P.J. Brown-0.030,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.020.00650%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Eddie Robinson-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.00217%-0.0500.00250%-0.01
Elden Campbell-0.060,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.02-0.001150%-0.012-0.05667%-0.01
David Wesley-0.060,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.03-0.011254%0.024-0.08475%-0.00
Otis Thorpe-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.0010%-0.013-0.0700%0.00
Jamal Mashburn-0.160,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.03-0.041832%-0.073-0.094100%0.03

Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Donyell Marshall0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.100.070.011074%0.1600.00786%0.01
John Stockton0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.030.01769%0.091-0.03250%-0.01
Greg Ostertag0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.03-0.000.00560%0.0200.0000%0.00
DeShawn Stevenson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Scott Padgett0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Karl Malone0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.021257%0.083-0.084100%0.02
John Starks0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.01-0.01656%0.042-0.05475%0.00
John Crotty0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.000.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Danny Manning0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.050.00-0.02940%-0.001-0.022100%0.01
Bryon Russell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.080.02-0.03917%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Olden Polynice0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.070.02-0.011338%0.012-0.0500%0.00
Jacque Vaughn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.09-0.01-0.03520%-0.032-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.21.729.216.625.21.826.4126.0
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
UTA +29.0%
UTA +2.4%
CHH -1.1%
UTA +18.4%
UTA +1.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHHUTANBACHHUTANBA
this game15.116.815.584.495.6100.9
season15.816.099.7105.3
opponent15.515.6100.597.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHH14.813.416.016.515.1
UTA20.113.816.817.016.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jamaal Magloire32330.08-0.580.67-0.2411-223313.216.1-2.8018.515.82.66
Lee Nailon28290.03-0.530.56-0.156-172310.217.2-7.0316.217.0-0.76
P.J. Brown5355-0.13-0.370.23-0.130-111115.314.70.5518.214.53.69
Doug Overton2223-0.14-0.360.22-0.11-1-10913.115.7-2.6019.016.02.94
David Wesley6464-0.21-0.290.09-0.12-3-8515.813.22.6716.517.4-0.92
Eddie Robinson2627-0.29-0.21-0.09-0.06-8-3-513.215.8-2.6717.416.50.92
Baron Davis6868-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.06-10-1-915.713.12.6016.019.0-2.94
Otis Thorpe3736-0.37-0.13-0.23-0.04-110-1114.715.3-0.5514.518.2-3.69
Elden Campbell4848-0.500.00-0.500.08-209-2917.612.15.5517.116.40.73
Jamal Mashburn7272-0.610.11-0.72-0.05-198-2716.011.24.7916.019.8-3.83

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bryon Russell58570.56-0.060.63-0.0220-92915.818.4-2.5215.314.70.61
John Stockton50480.340.160.170.0792716.217.4-1.1514.515.6-1.10
Karl Malone56560.300.200.100.1847-316.018.0-1.9714.915.3-0.43
John Crotty19190.290.210.08-0.0612-11313.917.5-3.6212.115.8-3.74
Donyell Marshall66660.280.220.060.1456-117.016.20.7115.414.21.21
Greg Ostertag35350.240.26-0.020.0183516.616.9-0.3015.714.71.03
Danny Manning35340.200.30-0.10-0.0174318.016.01.9715.314.90.43
Jacque Vaughn41420.160.34-0.170.1129-717.416.21.1515.614.51.10
Olden Polynice43410.080.42-0.350.16-314-1718.615.13.5015.514.70.79
John Starks42430.050.45-0.410.16-415-1917.216.40.8515.914.31.59
DeShawn Stevenson540.000.50-0.500.06-213-1517.016.70.267.515.4-7.91
Scott Padgett550.000.50-0.500.09-314-1717.016.70.2610.415.3-4.93


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.41,0.47,0.36,0.43,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.75,0.72,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 82, NYK 900.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.87,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,194.7%
HOU 74, IND 850.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.82,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.7%
CHI 85, CHA 1000.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.68,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,194.7%