NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	74		Excitement	4.9 [852]		MVP	Metta World Peace (IND): +14.0%
Indiana Pacers	85		Comeback	1.9 [894]		LVP	Yao Ming (HOU): -20.6%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Moochie Norris	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	1	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Luther Head	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	8	44%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	10	52%	0.01	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Jon Barry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	45%	0.03	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Derek Anderson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	14	46%	0.06	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.04	0.02	9	67%	0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	-0.21	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.21,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.05	-0.07	0.08	21	47%	-0.05	4	-0.15	9	89%	0.03

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.05	-0.01	20	51%	0.14	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	10	77%	0.15	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Sarunas Jasikevicius	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	7	39%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.04	5	67%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	3	60%	0.02	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
David Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	3	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.06	-0.02	10	48%	-0.03	1	-0.03	11	45%	-0.07
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.15	-0.02	-0.08	10	20%	-0.07	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.5	30.6	16.0	28.2	2.6	29.2	133.6
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +26.8%

HOU -11.1%

IND +12.9%

IND +20.6%

IND +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	IND	NBA	HOU	IND	NBA
this game	17.2	16.3	15.6	86.0	98.8	104.4
season	16.1	16.0		99.9	102.3
opponent	15.5	16.1		100.8	101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	18.4	18.6	16.0	16.0	17.2
IND	17.6	17.4	14.0	16.7	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dikembe Mutombo	9	9	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.06	-5	-6	1	14.2	17.5	-3.30	17.7	16.2	1.51
Ryan Bowen	35	33	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-8	5	18.2	16.5	1.73	17.0	15.9	1.06
Moochie Norris	17	16	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.19	1	-12	13	16.7	17.3	-0.58	14.2	16.8	-2.54
Jon Barry	13	15	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.03	-7	-4	-3	17.0	17.2	-0.21	16.3	16.3	-0.06
Juwan Howard	55	56	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	-6	1	18.5	14.8	3.65	16.7	15.5	1.20
Luther Head	60	60	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.25	-2	-9	7	16.9	17.9	-1.02	16.3	16.3	-0.05
Stromile Swift	30	29	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.08	-14	3	-17	15.8	17.9	-2.11	16.6	16.2	0.41
David Wesley	72	73	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.10	-8	-3	-5	16.9	18.5	-1.58	16.2	16.8	-0.54
Yao Ming	75	75	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.30	-2	-9	7	17.5	15.2	2.28	16.3	16.7	-0.47
Derek Anderson	64	64	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.13	-10	-1	-9	16.9	17.9	-0.93	16.0	17.2	-1.23

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	62	63	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.21	11	0	11	17.5	13.3	4.13	17.7	15.8	1.90
Austin Croshere	41	41	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.07	10	1	9	16.8	15.9	0.94	15.7	18.5	-2.76
Fred Jones	42	41	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.01	11	0	11	14.5	18.0	-3.50	16.7	17.6	-0.99
Jermaine O'Neal	68	68	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.04	9	2	7	16.9	14.3	2.58	17.3	16.7	0.64
Sarunas Jasikevicius	34	33	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.01	9	2	7	14.4	17.5	-3.10	17.1	17.2	-0.18
David Harrison	24	24	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.09	5	6	-1	13.8	17.3	-3.50	15.8	17.7	-1.86
Jamaal Tinsley	52	53	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.17	2	9	-7	17.5	14.4	3.10	17.2	17.1	0.18
Stephen Jackson	68	68	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.15	0	11	-11	16.4	16.1	0.26	17.0	17.8	-0.76
Scot Pollard	39	39	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.16	-2	13	-15	16.4	16.2	0.18	19.3	15.4	3.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.82,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 89, DET 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.56,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	95.0%
CHH 76, UTA 87	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.41,0.47,0.36,0.43,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.75,0.72,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
SAC 93, ORL 112	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.64,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.85,0.88,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%