NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	82		Excitement	5.5 [747]		MVP	Stephon Marbury (NYK): +13.4%
New York Knicks	90		Comeback	2.2 [817]		LVP	Pau Gasol (MEM): -19.7%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.02	4	112%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	11	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	4	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Lorenzen Wright	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.02	11	55%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	9	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bonzi Wells	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	12	53%	0.01	3	-0.08	6	67%	0.00
Earl Watson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	5	8%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Stromile Swift	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	7	37%	-0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Pau Gasol	-0.20	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.15	-0.07	-0.02	12	39%	-0.04	5	-0.16	4	75%	-0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephon Marbury	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.01	-0.03	14	79%	0.24	5	-0.11	5	100%	0.03
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.00	7	62%	0.10	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	69%	0.03	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.05
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.07	8	31%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Sweetney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	10	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	47%	-0.03	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	14	32%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-0.05	-0.01	14	25%	-0.17	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.7	25.3	16.7	28.6	0.8	27.6	124.0
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +30.8%

MEM -4.9%

NYK +10.2%

NYK +11.6%

NYK +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	NYK	NBA	MEM	NYK	NBA
this game	16.6	16.1	15.5	93.2	102.3	104.0
season	16.4	15.8		103.7	103.9
opponent	15.3	15.5		106.5	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	17.1	17.9	15.3	16.2	16.6
NYK	16.3	14.2	16.0	18.0	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lorenzen Wright	51	51	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.18	3	-11	14	15.9	17.7	-1.84	16.5	15.5	0.95
Shane Battier	57	57	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.25	4	-12	16	16.0	17.8	-1.86	17.0	14.4	2.68
Jason Williams	57	57	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.25	4	-12	16	16.0	17.8	-1.86	17.0	14.4	2.68
Jake Tsakalidis	21	22	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.03	-7	-1	-6	17.6	16.3	1.23	14.5	16.6	-2.18
Bonzi Wells	53	53	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.15	-2	-6	4	16.2	17.4	-1.22	16.7	15.2	1.48
Stromile Swift	33	32	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	-4	0	16.9	16.5	0.44	15.1	16.7	-1.57
Mike Miller	43	42	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.18	-5	-3	-2	17.1	16.2	0.85	16.0	16.1	-0.08
Earl Watson	31	31	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.02	-12	4	-16	17.8	16.0	1.86	14.4	17.0	-2.68
James Posey	37	38	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.10	-10	2	-12	17.5	16.0	1.42	14.9	17.0	-2.11
Pau Gasol	57	57	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.13	-11	3	-14	17.1	15.8	1.23	16.3	15.8	0.49

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trevor Ariza	47	47	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.08	14	-6	20	15.6	16.7	-1.11	17.8	15.3	2.56
Stephon Marbury	71	71	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.19	9	-1	10	15.4	19.0	-3.61	16.7	16.5	0.21
Michael Sweetney	39	38	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.00	15	-7	22	14.8	17.1	-2.33	18.2	15.5	2.68
Jerome Williams	32	33	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.17	6	2	4	16.7	15.8	0.89	17.8	16.0	1.79
Jamal Crawford	70	70	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.22	3	5	-2	16.6	14.0	2.63	16.2	18.2	-1.99
Anfernee Hardaway	44	44	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.21	2	6	-4	16.4	15.7	0.68	16.9	16.4	0.50
Kurt Thomas	65	65	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.21	-1	9	-10	16.5	15.0	1.42	16.1	18.1	-1.96
Nazr Mohammed	40	40	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.15	-4	12	-16	16.3	15.9	0.38	15.1	17.9	-2.82
Tim Thomas	32	32	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.10	-4	12	-16	16.7	15.7	1.04	15.3	17.4	-2.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.87,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 109, DAL 126	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.48,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.69,0.63,0.68,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
ATL 94, CHA 108	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.62,0.74,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
CHH 76, UTA 87	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.41,0.47,0.36,0.43,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.75,0.72,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%