inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Cleveland Cavaliers 109 Excitement6.4 [523] MVPDirk Nowitzki (DAL): +21.0%
Dallas Mavericks 126 Comeback1.8 [846] LVPAntoine Walker (DAL): -12.4%


Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LeBron James0.010,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.03-0.010.002258%0.073-0.06450%-0.05
Kedrick Brown0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
DeSagana Diop-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas-0.020,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.04-0.020.031370%0.083-0.101155%-0.06
Carlos Boozer-0.020,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.00-0.020.011753%0.001-0.02978%0.01
Ira Newble-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.04-0.01-0.0210%-0.0210.0000%0.00
Eric Williams-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00125%-0.0300.00250%-0.01
Dajuan Wagner-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.07-0.02-0.05420%-0.001-0.042100%0.00
Tony Battie-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.0030%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Mateen Cleaves-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.02-0.00540%-0.032-0.0300%0.00
Lee Nailon-0.070,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.070.03-0.020.091859%0.003-0.083100%-0.00
Kevin Ollie-0.100,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.09-0.01-0.00520%-0.062-0.0400%0.00

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.210.160.05-0.002367%0.221-0.016100%0.03
Steve Nash0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.150.030.031776%0.232-0.08786%0.02
Josh Howard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.05-0.000.031263%0.041-0.02650%-0.03
Antawn Jamison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.01-0.00262%0.0200.00475%0.01
Shawn Bradley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.00367%0.0110.0000%0.00
Danny Fortson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.00-0.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Eduardo Najera00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Travis Best00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Michael Finley0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.00425%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Marquis Daniels0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.100.010.011744%-0.033-0.07560%-0.04
Antoine Walker0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.09-0.020.011050%0.025-0.14250%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.22.629.317.525.32.329.3133.6
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +41.9%
DAL +9.1%
CLE -4.8%
DAL +4.7%
CLE -1.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCLEDALNBACLEDALNBA
this game14.513.915.7107.9123.5100.5
season15.714.699.8109.2
opponent15.615.5105.0102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CLE13.312.216.716.214.5
DAL12.415.414.013.713.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Eric Williams10110.07-0.570.64-0.054-212516.014.41.6413.213.9-0.75
DeSagana Diop77-0.00-0.500.500.06-2-151316.314.41.8915.313.71.54
Kedrick Brown65-0.10-0.400.310.05-5-12710.814.8-3.9214.813.81.00
Mateen Cleaves4848-0.15-0.350.200.08-8-9113.815.2-1.4014.813.01.73
Ira Newble2324-0.16-0.340.180.19-12-5-714.114.6-0.5115.613.32.32
Dajuan Wagner1617-0.17-0.330.170.07-8-9116.214.22.0512.014.2-2.22
Kevin Ollie4545-0.18-0.320.14-0.09-3-141115.214.01.1413.514.1-0.61
Tony Battie2423-0.24-0.260.030.11-12-5-712.815.1-2.2213.813.9-0.03
Lee Nailon8585-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.14-7-10314.813.21.5913.515.8-2.29
Carlos Boozer7475-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.05-10-7-314.714.00.6713.714.2-0.50
LeBron James8890-0.40-0.10-0.31-0.11-10-7-314.613.80.8713.715.1-1.39
Zydrunas Ilgauskas7980-0.49-0.01-0.47-0.13-12-5-714.315.5-1.1914.013.40.62

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Josh Howard80790.75-0.251.00-0.1029-124113.415.4-1.9315.112.42.70
Dirk Nowitzki91900.59-0.090.670.0319-22113.913.40.5514.514.7-0.23
Marquis Daniels78780.370.130.250.02125714.013.50.5215.212.13.16
Antawn Jamison44450.360.140.210.06107313.414.2-0.8213.815.1-1.23
Shawn Bradley30320.250.250.010.14413-913.014.2-1.1614.614.50.06
Steve Nash77740.250.250.01-0.10125714.013.40.5514.015.9-1.81
Danny Fortson13130.090.41-0.32-0.03413-915.813.62.2811.515.0-3.43
Antoine Walker66630.090.41-0.33-0.12710-313.813.9-0.1014.913.90.97
Eduardo Najera440.000.50-0.500.00017-1712.713.9-1.1518.714.44.40
Travis Best550.000.50-0.500.00017-1714.013.80.1516.614.42.18
Michael Finley2222-0.250.75-1.000.10-1229-4115.413.41.9312.415.1-2.70


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.48,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.69,0.63,0.68,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 82, NYK 900.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.87,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,194.9%
DET 88, GSW 1010.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.9,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,194.8%
PHI 94, IND 1110.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1,194.8%