NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	85		Excitement	5.1 [802]		MVP	Gerald Wallace (CHA): +17.8%
Charlotte Bobcats	100		Comeback	1.9 [716]		LVP	Tyrus Thomas (CHI): -14.5%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Gordon	0.03	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	18	51%	0.07	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
P.J. Brown	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	8	50%	0.01	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.01
Adrian Griffin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Viktor Khryapa	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Allen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	7	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	21	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Sweetney	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	4	30%	-0.03	1	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	3	37%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	3	50%	-0.03	3	-0.05	4	25%	-0.05
Kirk Hinrich	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	11	50%	-0.02	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Tyrus Thomas	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.03	0.01	9	20%	-0.11	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.17	0.04	0.04	20	68%	0.26	3	-0.08	7	86%	0.03
Matt Carroll	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.01	0.01	10	77%	0.14	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	10	58%	0.06	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Primoz Brezec	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Morrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.02	-0.03	11	55%	0.11	4	-0.11	7	86%	0.02
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter Herrmann	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	0.00	-0.01	9	33%	-0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.0	30.0	17.6	22.9	2.0	33.3	134.0
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +58.9%

CHA +9.6%

CHI -10.9%

CHI -8.9%

CHA +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	CHA	NBA	CHI	CHA	NBA
this game	14.7	16.6	15.4	92.4	108.7	104.5
season	14.5	15.7		103.1	101.7
opponent	15.0	15.9		105.6	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	13.6	14.9	17.2	13.2	14.7
CHA	15.8	16.4	14.8	19.5	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adrian Griffin	4	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-14	13	8.5	15.0	-6.48	16.4	16.6	-0.22
Viktor Khryapa	4	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-14	13	8.5	15.0	-6.48	16.4	16.6	-0.22
Malik Allen	9	9	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.03	-2	-13	11	9.6	15.3	-5.70	16.1	16.7	-0.55
Michael Sweetney	11	12	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.08	-5	-10	5	11.8	15.1	-3.27	16.7	16.6	0.07
Thabo Sefolosha	34	34	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.02	-5	-10	5	13.4	15.5	-2.08	17.6	16.0	1.60
Ben Wallace	52	53	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.14	-2	-13	11	15.5	13.7	1.81	16.2	17.2	-0.95
Tyrus Thomas	36	35	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.06	-9	-6	-3	15.0	14.5	0.55	17.8	15.9	1.92
Chris Duhon	50	48	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.03	-9	-6	-3	15.1	14.2	0.89	18.0	15.1	2.91
P.J. Brown	40	40	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.09	-9	-6	-3	15.9	13.8	2.13	14.7	18.1	-3.42
Ben Gordon	66	67	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.16	-7	-8	1	15.0	14.0	0.97	16.9	15.9	0.95
Luol Deng	83	82	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.12	-10	-5	-5	15.0	11.9	3.11	16.6	16.4	0.23
Kirk Hinrich	71	70	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.02	-15	0	-15	14.8	14.3	0.47	15.8	19.2	-3.44

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Emeka Okafor	79	78	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.11	20	-5	25	16.7	16.0	0.71	14.9	13.4	1.58
Gerald Wallace	85	85	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.04	15	0	15	16.7	15.7	0.97	14.9	12.4	2.45
Raymond Felton	79	79	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.06	10	5	5	16.1	19.8	-3.77	14.3	16.8	-2.50
Matt Carroll	61	62	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.01	11	4	7	15.7	18.4	-2.63	14.4	15.3	-0.95
Adam Morrison	56	55	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.02	10	5	5	18.1	14.2	3.92	14.4	15.1	-0.69
Jeff McInnis	20	20	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.00	8	7	1	18.0	16.2	1.78	15.0	14.6	0.39
Walter Herrmann	33	34	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.14	3	12	-9	17.6	16.1	1.51	14.9	14.6	0.30
Jake Voskuhl	33	32	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	12	-9	14.3	17.9	-3.55	15.8	14.1	1.66
Primoz Brezec	11	12	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.11	-2	17	-19	16.9	16.6	0.34	14.7	14.7	-0.03
Ryan Hollins	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	18	-21	19.3	16.5	2.82	8.3	14.9	-6.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.68,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 85, MIA 106	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.47,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.59,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.74,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.87,0.81,0.85,0.93,0.96,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.95,1,1,1,1	96.1%
CLE 92, DET 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.97,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.3%
LAL 85, OKC 100	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.84,0.77,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	95.2%