NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	92		Excitement	4.8 [885]		MVP	Richard Hamilton (DET): +15.5%
Detroit Pistons	102		Comeback	1.8 [819]		LVP	JJ Hickson (CLE): -12.7%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	-0.01	17	55%	0.07	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.00
Anthony Parker	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.00	0.04	7	79%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.03	7	69%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Mo Williams	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.02	-0.05	14	44%	0.02	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Daniel Gibson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	13	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Joey Graham	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	4	20%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jawad Williams	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	6	21%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
JJ Hickson	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	5	-0.14	4	25%	-0.04

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.15	0.03	0.02	17	73%	0.20	3	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.03	-0.02	14	65%	0.16	3	-0.02	9	89%	0.03
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.01	0.03	14	61%	0.09	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.03
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	9	45%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Austin Daye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	14	43%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	7	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	1.8	32.2	17.6	25.3	2.4	34.9	136.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +21.5%

DET +15.4%

CLE -0.7%

DET +10.9%

DET +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	DET	NBA	CLE	DET	NBA
this game	14.6	16.8	15.5	98.9	112.1	105.7
season	15.1	16.7		100.8	106.4
opponent	15.2	15.4		110.1	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.8	16.5	14.8	12.4	14.6
DET	20.2	15.5	14.5	17.1	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Hollins	26	25	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.12	7	-17	24	13.5	15.0	-1.43	18.0	16.3	1.77
Ramon Sessions	28	27	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.08	5	-15	20	12.4	15.5	-3.06	17.6	16.4	1.24
Jawad Williams	45	42	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.02	-5	-5	0	14.0	15.1	-1.10	17.2	16.3	0.89
Daniel Gibson	53	50	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.20	2	-12	14	13.9	15.5	-1.63	17.1	16.3	0.85
JJ Hickson	32	32	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.00	-5	-5	0	15.3	14.2	1.08	16.5	16.9	-0.45
Antawn Jamison	61	59	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.21	-5	-5	0	14.2	15.3	-1.08	16.9	16.5	0.45
Joey Graham	35	36	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.07	-10	0	-10	16.3	13.5	2.75	15.4	17.7	-2.27
Anthony Parker	53	54	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.16	-7	-3	-4	14.6	14.5	0.12	16.9	16.5	0.46
Mo Williams	65	64	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.13	-15	5	-20	15.5	12.4	3.06	16.4	17.6	-1.24
Anderson Varejao	67	66	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.09	-17	7	-24	15.0	13.5	1.43	16.3	18.0	-1.77

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Stuckey	77	78	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.12	18	-8	26	16.8	16.4	0.39	14.9	13.1	1.79
Tayshaun Prince	57	59	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.14	23	-13	36	16.3	17.5	-1.14	15.5	13.0	2.52
Ben Wallace	44	45	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.02	18	-8	26	16.2	17.3	-1.07	16.5	12.8	3.72
Ben Gordon	60	62	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.15	8	2	6	15.4	19.3	-3.89	15.0	13.7	1.24
Richard Hamilton	67	68	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.16	6	4	2	16.7	17.0	-0.33	14.2	15.4	-1.19
Charlie Villanueva	43	46	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.17	0	10	-10	17.3	16.2	1.08	13.5	15.6	-2.16
Tracy McGrady	35	36	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.14	-4	14	-18	16.9	16.7	0.16	13.8	15.1	-1.25
Greg Monroe	47	47	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.24	-8	18	-26	17.3	16.2	1.07	13.0	16.2	-3.17
Austin Daye	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	16	-22	18.0	16.7	1.30	9.5	14.8	-5.30
Jason Maxiell	21	20	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.02	-5	15	-20	20.2	15.7	4.46	14.8	14.5	0.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.97,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 85, CHA 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.68,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.3%
TOR 104, HOU 113	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.63,0.63,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.86,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.3%
VAN 82, MIL 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.87,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%