NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	104		Excitement	4.4 [582]		MVP	Michael Dickerson (HOU): +26.8%
Houston Rockets	113		Comeback	2.0 [598]		LVP	John Wallace (TOR): -7.4%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dee Brown	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.02	9	56%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0.06	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.12	-0.01	0.05	20	73%	0.15	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.01
Alvin Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Thomas	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.00	0.03	6	71%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tracy McGrady	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.00	0.05	10	71%	0.03	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Sean Marks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.03	-0.02	7	35%	-0.00	1	-0.00	3	67%	0.04
Michael Stewart	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.01	16	47%	-0.02	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.05
John Wallace	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	10	32%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Dickerson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.00	15	87%	0.30	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.20	0.04	0.05	12	93%	0.24	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	9	60%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brent Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	7	59%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.04	-0.07	15	53%	0.01	5	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Charles Barkley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	11	55%	-0.01	4	-0.04	7	57%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.5	25.5	16.5	27.4	2.4	26.2	125.3
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +55.5%

TOR -7.1%

HOU +5.1%

TOR -5.0%

HOU +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	HOU	NBA	TOR	HOU	NBA
this game	15.9	17.4	15.8	120.9	129.9	99.6
season	15.6	16.0		99.0	103.1
opponent	15.6	15.9		100.8	101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.0	15.9	18.3	14.4	15.9
HOU	15.6	18.4	16.8	19.0	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Thomas	40	41	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.28	13	-22	35	14.9	16.7	-1.72	16.9	17.8	-0.92
Tracy McGrady	41	43	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.18	5	-14	19	14.3	17.3	-2.93	17.2	17.6	-0.36
Michael Stewart	23	24	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.01	-6	-3	-3	16.4	15.7	0.71	18.0	17.2	0.87
Alvin Williams	35	35	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.21	-1	-8	7	16.7	15.3	1.37	17.8	17.1	0.69
John Wallace	34	34	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.10	-6	-3	-3	16.2	15.7	0.55	18.4	16.8	1.54
Charles Oakley	64	64	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.06	-9	0	-9	16.0	15.5	0.56	17.1	18.2	-1.09
Dee Brown	43	43	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.04	-13	4	-17	15.7	16.1	-0.44	17.2	17.6	-0.45
Vince Carter	77	78	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.15	-7	-2	-5	15.8	16.9	-1.14	17.1	20.4	-3.38
Sean Marks	9	8	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.02	-14	5	-19	20.1	15.4	4.73	13.6	17.8	-4.17
Doug Christie	64	65	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.26	-7	-2	-5	16.2	15.0	1.17	18.2	15.0	3.17

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Barkley	71	71	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.15	18	-9	27	17.9	15.4	2.42	16.1	14.7	1.46
Cuttino Mobley	68	67	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.28	12	-3	15	18.3	14.3	3.96	16.8	12.7	4.09
Michael Dickerson	87	86	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.24	9	0	9	17.4	0.0	17.41	15.9	0.0	15.87
Scottie Pippen	78	77	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.27	1	8	-7	16.9	21.8	-4.87	15.4	19.7	-4.24
Hakeem Olajuwon	47	46	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.02	7	2	5	16.8	18.1	-1.36	16.0	15.7	0.37
Othella Harrington	56	55	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.30	-7	16	-23	17.4	17.5	-0.11	15.4	16.7	-1.31
Brent Price	28	28	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.08	5	4	1	16.7	17.7	-1.03	14.9	16.3	-1.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.63,0.63,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.86,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 89, SAS 110	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.74,0.78,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
CLE 92, DET 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.97,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.3%
SAC 93, OKC 108	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.73,0.8,0.77,0.84,0.86,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%