inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 85 Excitement5.0 [664] MVPUdonis Haslem (MIA): +11.5%
Miami Heat 106 Comeback1.7 [807] LVPJason Terry (DAL): -16.4%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Vince Carter0.070,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.010.01779%0.091-0.0200%0.00
Lamar Odom0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.010.01686%0.122-0.052100%0.01
Brandan Wright0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.000.01861%0.0500.00250%-0.02
Delonte West0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.000.003100%0.062-0.0310%0.00
Brian Cardinal0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Yi Jianlian0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ian Mahinmi-0.010,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.020.01646%-0.0100.0010%-0.02
Dirk Nowitzki-0.040,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.02-0.040.031956%0.043-0.087100%0.03
Rodrigue Beaubois-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.07-0.01-0.0420%-0.022-0.0300%0.00
Jason Kidd-0.050,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.020.00837%-0.051-0.0000%0.00
Shawn Marion-0.070,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.01-0.00729%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Jason Terry-0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.02-0.021015%-0.103-0.0700%0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.070.050.011067%0.141-0.024100%0.01
Shane Battier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.01-0.00475%0.0600.0000%0.00
Ronny Turiaf0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.010.001100%0.0500.002100%0.01
Joel Anthony0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.02-0.000.000100%0.051-0.034100%0.03
Mario Chalmers0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.020.021150%0.031-0.022100%0.01
Norris Cole0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01956%0.042-0.0400%0.00
Juwan Howard00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
James Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dexter Pittman00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Chris Bosh0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.020.000.051751%0.022-0.05367%-0.01
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.020.011152%0.012-0.04967%0.00
LeBron James0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.01-0.020.041654%0.033-0.083100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.12.829.419.430.42.835.3145.2
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +16.5%
MIA +13.6%
MIA +18.9%
DAL -1.3%
MIA +2.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALMIANBADALMIANBA
this game16.615.315.694.4116.5102.8
season15.515.5101.6105.6
opponent15.815.598.8100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL16.018.516.415.516.6
MIA16.013.617.114.515.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Vince Carter34350.12-0.620.75-0.056-273316.316.8-0.5017.313.93.40
Rodrigue Beaubois26270.03-0.530.570.06-1-201915.317.1-1.7916.814.62.17
Yi Jianlian550.00-0.500.500.09-3-18159.617.0-7.3921.014.96.08
Brian Cardinal56-0.00-0.500.500.15-5-16119.617.0-7.3919.515.04.55
Delonte West1717-0.07-0.430.360.19-9-12315.216.9-1.6614.515.4-0.96
Ian Mahinmi3537-0.17-0.330.170.13-10-11115.517.2-1.6916.414.51.90
Dirk Nowitzki6667-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.03-9-12316.616.6-0.0614.617.0-2.43
Brandan Wright5554-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.01-11-10-117.215.51.6914.516.4-1.90
Lamar Odom4242-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.01-12-9-318.215.13.1114.615.8-1.22
Shawn Marion5051-0.42-0.08-0.350.02-15-6-916.416.7-0.3115.115.4-0.26
Jason Kidd5657-0.44-0.06-0.390.02-16-5-1116.716.40.3114.816.0-1.15
Jason Terry5957-0.560.06-0.610.03-20-1-1917.714.43.3414.316.9-2.55

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dwyane Wade60580.64-0.140.77-0.2430-93914.616.5-1.9717.215.51.72
Chris Bosh59580.53-0.030.57-0.2326-53115.115.6-0.4817.115.61.58
Mario Chalmers53520.420.080.33-0.2623-22516.313.82.4216.017.4-1.46
LeBron James71690.280.220.060.01912-315.016.1-1.1515.918.9-2.97
Udonis Haslem55550.250.250.01-0.01912-314.716.1-1.4716.716.30.43
Ronny Turiaf34350.190.31-0.120.22-122-2314.515.7-1.2017.016.30.74
Norris Cole43430.080.42-0.330.05120-1914.715.8-1.1016.516.6-0.13
Shane Battier41430.080.42-0.330.17-324-2715.315.20.0318.514.83.66
Joel Anthony26250.020.48-0.45-0.03219-1716.314.81.5316.216.7-0.47
Juwan Howard550.000.50-0.50-0.09318-1521.014.96.089.617.0-7.39
James Jones550.000.50-0.50-0.09318-1521.014.96.089.617.0-7.39
Dexter Pittman320.000.50-0.50-0.09318-1518.715.13.539.516.7-7.24


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.47,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.59,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.74,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.87,0.81,0.85,0.93,0.96,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.95,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 85, CHA 1000.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.68,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,196.1%
CLE 92, DET 1020.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.97,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,195.1%
UTA 85, NOH 920.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.99,194.8%