NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	111		Excitement	7.4 [332]		MVP	Peja Stojakovic (SAC): +21.2%
Portland Trail Blazers	101		Comeback	2.6 [180]		LVP	Scottie Pippen (POR): -13.8%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.21,0.21	0.09	0.13	0.01	12	74%	0.27	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Jason Williams	0.09	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.01	0.02	5	120%	0.14	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.01	6	69%	0.11	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Jon Barry	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	3	89%	0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Bobby Jackson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	5	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Scot Pollard	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.03	8	45%	-0.00	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Doug Christie	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	9	55%	0.05	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Chris Webber	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.1,-0.07	-0.08	0.01	0.00	28	53%	0.12	6	-0.18	8	50%	-0.05

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.05	-0.02	17	62%	0.20	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0.09,0.12,0.1	0.10	-0.02	0.10	-0.01	18	60%	0.25	5	-0.15	6	67%	0.03
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	15	58%	0.12	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.03
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.02	0.00	8	76%	0.10	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Dale Davis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	5	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.04	-0.09	0.01	9	78%	0.11	3	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	6	15%	-0.09	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.5	26.5	18.6	25.1	2.5	38.4	137.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +11.3%

SAC +5.6%

SAC +15.8%

SAC +16.3%

SAC +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	POR	NBA	SAC	POR	NBA
this game	14.4	16.1	15.5	118.1	106.3	100.9
season	14.4	15.8		103.1	103.9
opponent	15.8	15.5		100.3	97.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.1	14.5	14.3	15.7	14.4
POR	15.7	16.1	16.3	16.3	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hedo Turkoglu	52	52	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.21	12	-2	14	14.0	14.8	-0.81	15.6	16.7	-1.04
Peja Stojakovic	74	75	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.19	9	1	8	14.6	13.6	0.97	16.4	14.9	1.53
Chris Webber	93	93	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.23	6	4	2	14.4	13.0	1.38	16.0	20.0	-3.98
Doug Christie	76	77	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.18	6	4	2	14.2	15.2	-1.00	16.4	14.8	1.57
Scot Pollard	22	24	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.10	8	2	6	16.3	13.8	2.49	15.5	16.3	-0.87
Vlade Divac	70	71	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.19	2	8	-6	14.2	14.7	-0.47	16.6	14.5	2.15
Bobby Jackson	24	24	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.13	12	-2	14	13.7	14.6	-0.88	15.0	16.5	-1.42
Jon Barry	18	18	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.03	4	6	-2	15.2	14.2	1.00	14.8	16.4	-1.57
Jason Williams	41	41	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	0.04	-9	19	-28	14.0	14.7	-0.68	16.4	15.9	0.46

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Stoudamire	63	63	0.25	-0.75	0.99	0.07	6	-16	22	16.1	16.1	0.02	13.5	16.2	-2.73
Shawn Kemp	13	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.03	1	-11	12	14.9	16.3	-1.37	13.7	14.5	-0.80
Greg Anthony	12	11	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.00	-2	-8	6	12.9	16.6	-3.65	14.3	14.4	-0.10
Bonzi Wells	61	62	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.22	5	-15	20	16.6	15.3	1.26	15.0	13.2	1.73
Rasheed Wallace	89	89	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.13	-4	-6	2	16.0	17.3	-1.31	14.1	18.8	-4.69
Dale Davis	19	17	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.01	-11	1	-12	17.3	15.8	1.45	15.6	14.1	1.50
Stacey Augmon	46	44	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.10	-9	-1	-8	16.4	15.9	0.51	14.8	14.0	0.77
Arvydas Sabonis	69	70	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.25	-6	-4	-2	16.1	16.1	0.04	14.5	14.0	0.54
Scottie Pippen	47	45	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.15	-14	4	-18	16.4	15.8	0.63	14.0	14.7	-0.78
Steven Smith	56	57	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.22	-16	6	-22	15.8	16.5	-0.73	14.7	13.8	0.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.42,0.3,0.25,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.21,0.15,0.07,0.25,0.28,0.32,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 89, WAS 79	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.57,0.58,0.49,0.63,0.6,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.37,0.4,0.3,0.27,0.38,0.28,0.19,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.19,0.37,0.14,0.01,0	92.9%
UTA 92, TOR 88	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.21,0.29,0.37,0.3,0.24,0.18,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.17,0	91.6%
DEN 90, CHI 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.46,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.34,0.4,0.49,0.42,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.52,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.23,0.26,0.15,0.09,0.19,0.29,0.22,0.16,0	91.6%