NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	92		Excitement	8.1 [218]		MVP	Mehmet Okur (UTA): +21.8%
Toronto Raptors	88		Comeback	1.8 [604]		LVP	T.J. Ford (TOR): -22.7%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mehmet Okur	0.22	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.10	0.14	0.02	9	72%	0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0.20	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.01,0.2	0.03	0.17	-0.00	15	59%	0.30	4	-0.10	7	86%	0.07
Gordan Giricek	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.06	-0.00	7	57%	0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.04	0.01	11	41%	0.02	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Jarron Collins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
CJ Miles	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jason Hart	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	24	43%	-0.01	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.01	-0.00	6	42%	0.06	5	-0.18	7	86%	0.03

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Parker	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.14	0.05	0.02	11	79%	0.19	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jamario Moon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.06	-0.01	11	62%	0.15	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Bosh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.03,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.07	-0.00	12	50%	0.13	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	9	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	7	43%	0.03	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.16	-0.05	-0.00	11	9%	-0.17	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Ford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.15,-0.2,-0.23,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.3,-0.23	-0.23	-0.11	-0.11	0.01	17	36%	-0.11	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	1.5	30.8	15.0	22.1	1.7	34.0	127.2
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +16.4%

UTA +29.9%

TOR -4.3%

UTA +10.7%

TOR -2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	TOR	NBA	UTA	TOR	NBA
this game	15.8	14.4	15.4	95.8	92.6	105.7
season	15.5	15.6		111.2	108.5
opponent	15.7	15.0		105.6	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.4	15.4	15.0	16.2	15.8
TOR	14.2	15.3	15.7	12.6	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrei Kirilenko	81	80	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.39	6	-2	8	15.5	17.1	-1.63	14.5	13.9	0.62
Carlos Boozer	75	72	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.44	1	3	-2	15.3	17.3	-1.95	14.4	14.5	-0.12
Gordan Giricek	34	33	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.05	10	-6	16	15.1	16.1	-0.95	15.7	13.7	2.00
Jason Hart	14	15	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.01	10	-6	16	14.8	15.9	-1.14	15.5	14.2	1.36
Mehmet Okur	61	61	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.34	-3	7	-10	16.1	15.2	0.88	14.2	14.6	-0.40
Jarron Collins	28	29	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.03	7	-3	10	16.1	15.6	0.44	14.9	14.2	0.78
Deron Williams	82	80	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.37	-6	10	-16	15.9	14.8	1.14	14.2	15.5	-1.36
Paul Millsap	26	27	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.00	5	-1	6	16.4	15.5	0.91	14.0	14.5	-0.54
Ronnie Brewer	77	77	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.32	-8	12	-20	16.3	13.6	2.72	13.7	17.2	-3.49
CJ Miles	2	1	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.05	-2	6	-8	9.0	15.9	-6.90	20.0	14.3	5.67

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasho Nesterovic	39	39	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-4	4	14.6	14.3	0.30	15.8	15.7	0.10
T.J. Ford	64	64	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.34	9	-13	22	14.3	14.6	-0.28	16.2	14.8	1.42
Chris Bosh	64	64	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.37	8	-12	20	13.8	15.6	-1.77	16.1	15.0	1.14
Anthony Parker	61	60	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.30	5	-9	14	14.0	15.1	-1.04	16.5	14.5	1.97
Jamario Moon	65	65	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.31	4	-8	12	14.4	14.3	0.18	16.6	14.0	2.60
Carlos Delfino	34	35	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.05	-7	3	-10	14.6	14.3	0.31	14.3	16.6	-2.32
Jason Kapono	33	36	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.10	-7	3	-10	14.9	14.1	0.75	14.2	16.7	-2.42
Andrea Bargnani	30	30	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.04	-13	9	-22	15.0	14.1	0.89	16.0	15.7	0.35
Jose Calderon	31	32	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.04	-13	9	-22	14.6	14.3	0.28	14.8	16.2	-1.42
Kris Humphries	54	55	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.34	-6	2	-8	14.5	14.2	0.34	15.3	16.4	-1.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.21,0.29,0.37,0.3,0.24,0.18,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.17,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 86, MIA 74	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.27,0.3,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.1,0.1,0.01,0,0,0	92.3%
LAL 88, CHI 81	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.48,0.45,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.27,0.28,0.19,0.16,0.03,0.02,0	92.1%
HOU 100, MEM 95	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.52,0.53,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.37,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.25,0.23,0.31,0.35,0.47,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.16,0	92.0%