NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	89		Excitement	6.5 [464]		MVP	Chuck Person (SAS): +12.2%
Washington Wizards	79		Comeback	2.0 [345]		LVP	David Robinson (SAS): -17.7%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chuck Person	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.05	0.04	8	87%	0.15	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0.10	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.00	0.05	-0.05	19	61%	0.23	4	-0.14	8	50%	-0.06
Monty Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.02	0.00	4	60%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Geary	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Perdue	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	4	60%	0.04	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Avery Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	10	60%	0.07	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Sean Elliott	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.00	2	20%	-0.03	4	-0.10	1	100%	0.00
David Robinson	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.12,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.18,-0.18,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.21,-0.18,-0.18	-0.13	-0.04	0.01	24	39%	-0.13	2	-0.04	8	87%	0.04

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Webber	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	28	48%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harvey Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	9	35%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tim Legler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ledell Eackles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	4	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.17,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.01	-0.00	23	41%	-0.02	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.03
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	11	52%	0.01	3	-0.10	9	89%	0.03
Terry Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	2	37%	-0.03	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	4	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	1.8	26.8	15.8	23.2	3.3	28.7	126.6
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +57.5%

SAS +0.5%

SAS +4.7%

WAS -12.8%

SAS +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	WAS	NBA	SAS	WAS	NBA
this game	16.9	14.8	15.6	98.9	85.9	102.5
season	15.9	15.1		100.9	102.8
opponent	15.6	15.9		102.2	97.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	15.3	15.5	18.5	19.0	16.9
WAS	11.3	17.2	13.7	17.9	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chuck Person	56	61	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.14	21	-11	32	17.4	16.1	1.25	16.0	12.4	3.61
Tim Duncan	79	83	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.22	12	-2	14	17.0	16.4	0.64	15.0	12.7	2.31
David Robinson	83	85	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.26	2	8	-6	17.2	14.1	3.01	14.4	18.6	-4.14
Reggie Geary	8	9	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.06	7	3	4	18.0	16.8	1.18	13.0	14.9	-1.94
Monty Williams	43	42	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.03	10	0	10	16.4	17.4	-1.05	14.4	15.0	-0.59
Avery Johnson	82	83	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.14	3	7	-4	16.8	18.0	-1.18	14.9	13.0	1.94
Will Perdue	16	14	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.05	8	2	6	15.3	17.3	-1.96	17.3	14.3	2.99
Jaren Jackson	49	51	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.18	0	10	-10	17.1	16.7	0.44	15.0	14.5	0.47
Sean Elliott	34	32	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.11	-13	23	-36	16.6	17.1	-0.58	11.7	16.4	-4.74

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Wallace	4	4	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.03	1	-11	12	13.5	14.8	-1.31	17.7	16.9	0.87
Harvey Grant	8	7	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-11	12	12.7	14.9	-2.19	15.0	17.1	-2.08
Tim Legler	4	4	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.07	-1	-9	8	9.5	15.0	-5.49	24.7	16.6	8.19
Calbert Cheaney	72	69	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.12	-1	-9	8	14.5	15.6	-1.15	16.7	17.7	-1.03
Chris Whitney	6	6	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	-5	0	12.5	14.9	-2.41	19.2	16.8	2.40
Ledell Eackles	19	19	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.01	-8	-2	-6	18.6	13.7	4.89	15.3	17.4	-2.10
Terry Davis	62	62	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.25	0	-10	10	15.3	13.6	1.76	17.0	16.7	0.25
Rod Strickland	86	84	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.14	-5	-5	0	14.9	12.5	2.41	16.8	19.2	-2.40
Juwan Howard	81	81	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.13	-8	-2	-6	15.0	12.9	2.09	17.3	13.6	3.74
Tracy Murray	30	27	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.02	-14	4	-18	13.2	15.5	-2.35	15.8	17.4	-1.58
Chris Webber	88	87	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.23	-10	0	-10	14.5	20.2	-5.75	17.2	9.7	7.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.57,0.58,0.49,0.63,0.6,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.37,0.4,0.3,0.27,0.38,0.28,0.19,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.19,0.37,0.14,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 111, POR 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.42,0.3,0.25,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.21,0.15,0.07,0.25,0.28,0.32,0.16,0	92.9%
MEM 99, SAC 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.17,0.19,0.1,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.06,0,0	92.3%
MIN 93, DEN 83	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.37,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.15,0.24,0.1,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.25,0.11,0.02,0,0	92.1%