inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 93 Excitement4.8 [837] MVPVince Carter (TOR): +3.3%
Boston Celtics 72 Comeback1.1 [817] LVPPaul Pierce (BOS): -14.7%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Vince Carter0.030,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.05-0.010.011957%0.041-0.00650%-0.03
Michael Stewart0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.01-0.00-0.02450%0.0100.00450%-0.01
Charles Oakley0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.050.000.041065%0.031-0.023100%0.02
Dell Curry-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00450%-0.0110.0000%0.00
Morris Peterson-0.020,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.02-0.010.021050%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Alvin Williams-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.000.001045%-0.021-0.012100%0.00
Antonio Davis-0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.000.00658%-0.011-0.021267%-0.02
Corliss Williamson-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.10-0.00-0.04417%-0.041-0.03450%0.00
Mark Jackson-0.140,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.08-0.050.01844%-0.034-0.1100%0.00

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Walter McCarty0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.000.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Chris Carr0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.000.00050%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Milt Palacio0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.01-0.02367%0.043-0.0800%0.00
Vitaly Potapenko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.00250%-0.0410.004100%0.00
Jerome Moiso0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.020.01533%-0.0600.002100%0.00
Antoine Walker0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.12-0.01-0.062641%-0.033-0.04425%-0.02
Bryant Stith0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.03-0.020.021141%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Randy Brown0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.011030%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Mark Blount0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.07-0.02-0.0110%-0.051-0.0420%-0.04
Eric Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.10-0.02-0.0267%-0.1100.00250%-0.01
Paul Pierce0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.14,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.12-0.04-0.011651%-0.017-0.14333%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.12.431.615.422.41.730.4128.0
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +24.9%
TOR +13.9%
BOS -14.8%
TOR +23.3%
TOR +2.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORBOSNBATORBOSNBA
this game15.816.215.5103.380.0100.9
season15.815.1103.799.7
opponent15.415.4101.8101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR15.614.218.915.215.8
BOS17.116.417.114.216.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Charles Oakley71720.54-0.040.58-0.1022-12316.712.64.0717.79.87.90
Vince Carter80800.500.000.49-0.1522-12316.213.03.2016.413.82.65
Morris Peterson52520.420.080.34-0.192102116.415.11.2817.014.92.09
Antonio Davis58580.320.180.140.09813-516.514.71.8016.914.82.04
Mark Jackson50490.240.26-0.020.09516-1117.214.22.9617.214.92.35
Alvin Williams63650.240.26-0.03-0.061011-114.918.1-3.1915.019.0-3.99
Michael Stewart32320.180.32-0.14-0.20138514.716.5-1.8014.816.9-2.04
Dell Curry25240.100.40-0.29-0.04516-1113.416.8-3.4414.116.9-2.83
Corliss Williamson1918-0.040.54-0.58-0.01-122-2312.616.7-4.079.817.7-7.90

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jerome Moiso18180.02-0.520.55-0.094-252914.116.7-2.5616.015.80.19
Eric Williams35350.00-0.500.500.09-3-181515.716.4-0.6815.516.1-0.54
Chris Carr12-0.00-0.500.49-0.031-222321.016.14.906.016.1-10.07
Walter McCarty1414-0.04-0.460.430.08-4-171313.116.7-3.5713.916.2-2.27
Milt Palacio3535-0.05-0.450.390.00-2-191714.517.2-2.7817.015.11.89
Vitaly Potapenko4443-0.24-0.260.02-0.03-7-14715.816.5-0.6216.515.31.23
Mark Blount4042-0.27-0.23-0.040.17-15-6-915.916.3-0.4215.016.6-1.54
Paul Pierce6767-0.40-0.10-0.310.24-221-2316.016.5-0.4916.015.30.67
Randy Brown5555-0.45-0.05-0.390.11-19-2-1717.214.52.7815.117.0-1.89
Antoine Walker7876-0.49-0.01-0.470.16-221-2316.911.25.7615.915.30.66
Bryant Stith6363-0.590.09-0.68-0.12-16-5-1117.113.93.1916.514.32.26


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.33,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.26,0.18,0.19,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 102, ATL 860.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.34,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.2,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.17,0.16,0.23,0.2,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.6%
IND 94, MIA 890.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.4,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.39,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.23,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.02,095.5%
ATL 99, CLE 830.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.28,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.18,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.23,0.15,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,095.2%