NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	99		Excitement	4.5 [959]		MVP	Marvin Williams (ATL): +24.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers	83		Comeback	1.0 [1126]		LVP	Christian Eyenga (CLE): -10.4%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marvin Williams	0.24	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.23	0.05	0.04	14	79%	0.27	2	-0.02	11	91%	0.02
Al Horford	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	-0.00	15	67%	0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.03	0.01	7	62%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kirk Hinrich	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.01	0.04	11	52%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Jason Collins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	60%	0.02	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	8	39%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Josh Smith	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.12	0.01	-0.06	16	34%	-0.01	2	-0.04	6	50%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.01	9	55%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	14	58%	0.11	3	-0.05	5	100%	0.01
Samardo Samuels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	6	53%	0.03	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Joey Graham	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Manny Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	11	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	11	40%	-0.04	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
JJ Hickson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	14	36%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luke Harangody	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	6	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Christian Eyenga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	6	23%	-0.08	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.6	1.8	27.1	15.6	27.3	2.4	30.6	126.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +44.5%

ATL +9.4%

CLE -2.6%

CLE -2.2%

ATL +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CLE	NBA	ATL	CLE	NBA
this game	15.5	15.0	15.5	104.2	88.3	105.7
season	16.5	15.1		104.0	100.8
opponent	15.4	15.5		110.2	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	12.9	14.9	17.1	17.4	15.5
CLE	14.3	16.4	13.4	16.1	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marvin Williams	85	84	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.02	20	-4	24	15.6	14.3	1.32	15.3	12.0	3.35
Jamal Crawford	66	65	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.08	12	4	8	15.5	15.4	0.05	14.8	15.4	-0.56
Al Horford	78	78	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.02	13	3	10	15.7	14.4	1.38	15.1	14.4	0.74
Kirk Hinrich	56	55	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.05	15	1	14	15.6	15.3	0.26	15.3	14.6	0.73
Josh Smith	78	76	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.08	8	8	0	15.4	16.0	-0.63	14.8	15.9	-1.11
Zaza Pachulia	38	38	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.03	5	11	-6	14.7	16.0	-1.29	14.1	15.6	-1.57
Jeff Teague	42	42	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	14	-12	15.4	15.5	-0.10	14.7	15.2	-0.45
Jason Collins	27	26	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	13	-10	15.3	15.6	-0.26	15.2	14.9	0.28
Damien Wilkins	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	15	-14	16.7	15.4	1.22	17.0	14.9	2.08
Hilton Armstrong	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	15	-14	17.5	15.4	2.06	17.0	14.9	2.08

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Samardo Samuels	46	46	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.23	8	-24	32	13.3	16.6	-3.30	15.2	15.8	-0.56
Joey Graham	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-15	14	17.0	14.9	2.08	16.7	15.4	1.22
Manny Harris	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-15	14	17.0	14.9	2.08	16.7	15.4	1.22
Luke Harangody	44	43	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-15	14	14.4	15.5	-1.05	14.6	16.2	-1.61
Daniel Gibson	51	53	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.10	-2	-14	12	14.8	15.2	-0.45	15.4	15.6	-0.16
Alonzo Gee	52	52	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.13	-1	-15	14	14.7	15.3	-0.58	15.3	15.7	-0.39
Baron Davis	47	48	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.08	-5	-11	6	14.3	15.7	-1.47	15.0	16.0	-0.98
Ramon Sessions	44	44	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.02	-10	-6	-4	15.6	14.4	1.22	15.9	15.1	0.83
Christian Eyenga	34	34	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.03	-10	-6	-4	15.3	14.8	0.48	15.4	15.5	-0.07
Anthony Parker	48	48	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.17	-18	2	-20	15.1	14.8	0.32	15.7	15.3	0.45
JJ Hickson	50	52	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.07	-15	-1	-14	15.5	14.4	1.05	16.2	14.6	1.61
Ryan Hollins	48	49	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	0.20	-24	8	-32	16.6	13.3	3.30	15.8	15.2	0.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.28,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.18,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.23,0.15,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 93, BOS 72	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.33,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.26,0.18,0.19,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%
CHA 118, NYK 110	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.38,0.44,0.33,0.37,0.25,0.2,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.22,0.14,0.16,0.31,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.22,0.16,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.0%
NJN 91, TOR 72	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.27,0.18,0.14,0.18,0.2,0.17,0.21,0.24,0.29,0.24,0.21,0.14,0.18,0.13,0.1,0.17,0.08,0.1,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%