NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	118		Excitement	4.9 [681]		MVP	Gerald Henderson (CHA): +16.2%
New York Knicks	110		Comeback	1.1 [478]		LVP	Toney Douglas (NYK): -15.4%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Henderson	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.15	0.03	0.02	13	80%	0.18	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14	0.14	0.00	0.01	15	90%	0.22	5	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Byron Mullens	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.13	0.02	0.01	8	80%	0.14	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
DJ White	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.00	8	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	4	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Brown	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	-0.03	-0.00	-0.04	3	44%	0.01	2	-0.00	3	67%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	12	43%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
D.J. Augustin	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0.03	14	41%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.01
Kemba Walker	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	0.03	8	44%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.01	-0.00	10	82%	0.18	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.12	0.01	0.04	19	58%	0.08	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Henry Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	75%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	-0.02	0.04	4	85%	0.07	2	-0.07	5	60%	-0.01
Josh Harrellson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Renaldo Balkman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.12	24	59%	0.00	4	-0.07	6	100%	0.01
Landry Fields	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	5	42%	-0.01	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.03
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.04	-0.01	17	38%	-0.05	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.7	30.4	16.3	26.7	1.0	36.0	134.3
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +17.6%

CHA +8.4%

CHA +4.9%

CHA +18.9%

CHA +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	NYK	NBA	CHA	NYK	NBA
this game	16.1	12.5	15.6	118.0	107.8	102.8
season	16.3	14.9		94.1	102.3
opponent	15.7	15.0		100.2	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	16.5	16.2	15.6	16.1	16.1
NYK	13.0	12.6	12.6	11.7	12.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Boris Diaw	82	84	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.19	10	-2	12	16.3	15.1	1.27	12.5	12.2	0.35
Derrick Brown	53	54	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.27	3	5	-2	16.4	15.8	0.55	12.4	12.5	-0.01
Matt Carroll	18	20	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.04	12	-4	16	16.9	15.9	0.96	15.4	11.7	3.67
D.J. Augustin	69	70	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.14	5	3	2	15.8	16.7	-0.84	12.1	13.1	-0.98
DJ White	70	71	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.19	3	5	-2	15.6	17.3	-1.71	12.0	13.6	-1.62
Byron Mullens	39	41	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.13	5	3	2	16.6	15.8	0.76	13.1	12.0	1.16
Kemba Walker	31	32	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.13	3	5	-2	16.7	15.8	0.84	13.1	12.1	0.98
Gerald Henderson	82	82	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.31	-4	12	-16	15.9	16.9	-0.96	11.7	15.4	-3.67
Corey Maggette	47	48	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.00	5	3	2	15.8	16.4	-0.55	12.5	12.4	0.01
Bismack Biyombo	9	8	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.01	-2	10	-12	16.0	16.1	-0.11	12.6	12.4	0.19

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Harrellson	7	7	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.01	-1	-7	6	14.3	12.3	1.97	17.4	16.0	1.43
Henry Walker	38	37	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.27	5	-13	18	11.3	13.1	-1.81	14.5	17.0	-2.56
Renaldo Balkman	25	23	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.02	-4	-4	0	13.0	12.3	0.78	16.3	16.0	0.27
Iman Shumpert	60	58	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.21	1	-9	10	12.6	12.2	0.44	17.5	14.1	3.42
Carmelo Anthony	75	73	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.22	-3	-5	2	12.2	13.1	-0.95	16.0	16.4	-0.47
Amar'e Stoudemire	88	88	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.30	-2	-6	4	12.0	15.4	-3.45	16.0	17.2	-1.21
Toney Douglas	81	82	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.21	-6	-2	-4	12.4	12.7	-0.33	16.2	15.5	0.73
Tyson Chandler	84	82	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.20	-9	1	-10	12.6	11.7	0.95	16.1	16.2	-0.08
Landry Fields	52	50	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	0.11	-21	13	-34	13.5	11.3	2.22	15.6	16.6	-1.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.38,0.44,0.33,0.37,0.25,0.2,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.22,0.14,0.16,0.31,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.22,0.16,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 99, CLE 83	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.28,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.18,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.23,0.15,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
CHA 105, CHI 92	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.29,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.03,0,0,0	94.8%
MIN 97, CLE 83	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.29,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.05,0.07,0.15,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%