NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	94		Excitement	4.5 [558]		MVP	Chris Mullin (IND): +15.4%
Miami Heat	89		Comeback	1.1 [288]		LVP	Dale Davis (IND): -9.8%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Mullin	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.11	0.04	-0.01	9	81%	0.17	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Mark Jackson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	8	81%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rik Smits	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	10	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05	-0.02	0.02	-0.05	7	56%	0.07	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Sam Perkins	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Austin Croshere	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.01	0.01	9	61%	0.02	1	-0.03	10	50%	-0.05
Reggie Miller	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.01	-0.04	12	39%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.05
Jalen Rose	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07	-0.11	-0.01	-0.04	10	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Dale Davis	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.01	-0.03	5	54%	0.01	6	-0.11	3	33%	-0.01

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.03	7	68%	0.03	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.01	0.03	12	62%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Duane Causwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	57%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Alonzo Mourning	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Blue Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Dan Majerle	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	8	40%	-0.02	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01
Tim Hardaway	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0.01	24	53%	0.02	3	-0.06	5	80%	0.00
Mark Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	10	45%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Keith Askins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	2.4	27.4	15.7	23.2	2.4	33.6	126.6
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +40.6%

IND +5.3%

IND +8.0%

MIA -1.5%

MIA -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	MIA	NBA	IND	MIA	NBA
this game	15.7	16.6	15.8	105.6	100.0	99.6
season	16.4	16.6		105.4	101.3
opponent	16.7	16.0		96.8	101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.5	18.0	15.7	15.8	15.7
MIA	19.2	16.2	15.7	15.5	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Miller	70	70	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.33	7	-2	9	15.3	17.5	-2.20	16.2	18.1	-1.82
Travis Best	44	44	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.27	2	3	-1	16.9	14.6	2.26	15.8	17.4	-1.54
Rik Smits	34	35	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.01	11	-6	17	14.0	16.8	-2.77	18.3	15.5	2.84
Dale Davis	68	67	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.44	-6	11	-17	14.9	18.3	-3.39	16.1	18.3	-2.20
Chris Mullin	52	53	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.06	6	-1	7	14.8	17.1	-2.34	17.8	14.9	2.90
Antonio Davis	57	57	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.33	-4	9	-13	16.7	14.1	2.62	15.4	18.7	-3.28
Sam Perkins	19	19	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.05	9	-4	13	18.8	14.9	3.94	18.9	16.0	2.89
Mark Jackson	45	45	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.09	3	2	1	14.6	16.9	-2.26	17.4	15.8	1.54
Jalen Rose	50	49	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.36	-7	12	-19	16.8	14.3	2.51	15.5	18.0	-2.51
Austin Croshere	6	6	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.05	4	1	3	20.5	15.4	5.10	20.0	16.4	3.63

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Strickland	15	15	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.08	-1	-4	3	17.3	16.5	0.86	17.2	15.4	1.75
Duane Causwell	13	12	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.02	-5	0	-5	18.4	16.3	2.07	15.8	15.7	0.11
Blue Edwards	15	15	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.03	-5	0	-5	14.7	17.0	-2.27	17.1	15.5	1.59
Clar. Weatherspoon	59	60	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.44	9	-14	23	15.3	19.1	-3.79	16.6	13.9	2.79
Alonzo Mourning	20	21	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.08	-9	4	-13	19.5	15.8	3.78	14.0	16.3	-2.34
Dan Majerle	72	72	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.39	6	-11	17	16.4	17.6	-1.20	15.3	17.6	-2.28
Terry Porter	66	66	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.37	3	-8	11	15.9	18.8	-2.92	16.6	13.4	3.17
Keith Askins	29	29	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.09	-14	9	-23	19.6	15.2	4.45	14.4	16.4	-2.02
P.J. Brown	77	77	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.31	-4	-1	-3	16.2	19.2	-2.95	15.7	16.2	-0.49
Tim Hardaway	79	78	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.29	-5	0	-5	16.9	14.5	2.39	15.3	19.2	-3.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.4,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.39,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.23,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 93, BOS 72	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.33,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.26,0.18,0.19,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
NJN 105, UTA 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
CLE 120, LAL 108	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.32,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.28,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.23,0.25,0.19,0.09,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%