NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	97		Excitement	8.9 [101]		MVP	Jason Williams (SAC): +20.1%
Sacramento Kings	100		Comeback	5.4 [301]		LVP	Chris Webber (SAC): -21.9%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.15,-0.12,0.07,0.07,0.05	-0.04	0.09	0.00	23	50%	0.13	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.03
Rasho Nesterovic	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	6	64%	0.07	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Sam Mitchell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Garrett	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	3	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Reggie Slater	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	4	33%	-0.05	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
LaPhonso Ellis	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.00	0.00	8	25%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Terrell Brandon	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16	-0.01	-0.15	-0.00	19	53%	-0.04	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	-0.16	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,-0.16	0.07	-0.23	0.01	14	68%	0.24	2	-0.41	3	100%	0.06
Anthony Peeler	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.06	-0.14	0.01	15	40%	-0.13	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Williams	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.11,-0.11,0.2	0.20	-0.12	0.30	-0.02	11	36%	0.32	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.01	0.02	13	80%	0.21	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
Lawrence Funderburke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	5	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	4	60%	0.04	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	11	46%	0.01	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.10	0.02	6	71%	0.00	3	-0.13	5	40%	-0.05
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.04	-0.19	-0.01	22	46%	-0.16	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	19.4	2.3	27.5	15.4	23.4	2.3	37.5	127.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +42.1%

MIN -19.6%

MIN -13.9%

SAC +41.0%

SAC +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	SAC	NBA	MIN	SAC	NBA
this game	16.2	13.6	15.5	100.0	104.2	100.9
season	15.0	14.4		102.9	103.1
opponent	15.5	15.9		97.8	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.2	18.0	17.4	16.6	16.2
SAC	14.5	11.2	13.9	14.7	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Slater	12	13	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.05	2	-5	7	20.7	15.6	5.04	13.7	13.6	0.13
Rasho Nesterovic	44	44	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.08	2	-5	7	14.1	18.0	-3.91	14.0	13.2	0.77
Dean Garrett	13	12	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.03	-4	1	-5	17.6	16.0	1.58	12.3	13.8	-1.43
Wally Szczerbiak	82	80	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.34	6	-9	15	16.3	16.1	0.13	13.6	13.4	0.25
Terrell Brandon	88	87	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.35	2	-5	7	16.1	17.9	-1.81	13.6	13.3	0.28
Chauncey Billups	30	30	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.00	-10	7	-17	17.8	15.6	2.25	11.5	14.5	-3.08
Sam Mitchell	15	16	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.08	-9	6	-15	16.1	16.3	-0.13	13.4	13.6	-0.25
Anthony Peeler	77	76	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.47	4	-7	11	15.6	18.5	-2.90	14.2	11.0	3.20
LaPhonso Ellis	47	47	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.31	-2	-1	-1	16.9	15.6	1.29	13.2	14.0	-0.77
Kevin Garnett	77	75	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.43	-6	3	-9	16.3	15.9	0.37	13.9	12.4	1.48

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Peja Stojakovic	70	69	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.41	3	0	3	14.1	12.2	1.91	15.4	18.2	-2.82
Vlade Divac	62	63	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.37	3	0	3	14.4	12.1	2.36	15.8	17.1	-1.39
Chris Webber	87	89	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.43	-2	5	-7	13.5	14.0	-0.46	16.4	14.9	1.50
Doug Christie	67	69	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.39	-3	6	-9	13.7	13.2	0.49	16.0	16.9	-0.96
Jason Williams	73	73	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.35	-4	7	-11	13.8	12.8	1.05	15.5	18.6	-3.16
Bobby Jackson	24	25	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.07	5	-2	7	12.4	14.0	-1.61	18.0	15.7	2.31
Jon Barry	29	28	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.02	6	-3	9	13.2	13.7	-0.49	16.9	16.0	0.96
Lawrence Funderburke	9	8	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.02	5	-2	7	14.0	13.5	0.46	14.9	16.4	-1.50
Scot Pollard	33	33	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.03	2	1	1	12.3	14.2	-1.90	17.6	15.5	2.06
Hedo Turkoglu	26	28	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	3	-3	12.2	14.1	-1.91	18.2	15.4	2.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.58,0.68,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.75,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.68,0.83,0.81,0.67,0.76,0.55,0.45,0.16,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 84, SAS 86	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.84,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.5,0.38,0.52,0.67,0.81,0.83,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.54,0.45,0.08,1	91.8%
MIA 107, LAL 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.61,0.68,0.78,0.69,0.7,0.63,0.48,0.5,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.76,0.87,0.89,0.78,0.81,0.63,0.67,0.42,1	90.7%
SEA 100, LAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.66,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.71,0.68,0.79,0.89,0.78,0.55,0.79,0.22,0.26,1	90.3%