NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	100		Excitement	9.5 [89]		MVP	Darrick Martin (LAC): +39.4%
Los Angeles Clippers	102		Comeback	18.8 [58]		LVP	Eric Piatkowski (LAC): -20.2%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hersey Hawkins	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.36,0.36,0.22	0.12	0.10	-0.00	14	75%	0.39	2	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shawn Kemp	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.03	0.01	13	60%	0.07	4	-0.10	17	71%	-0.04
Gary Payton	-0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.09,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.01	18	52%	0.03	3	-0.06	6	67%	-0.06
Terry Cummings	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,-0.12	0.03	-0.17	-0.02	5	64%	-0.12	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.24
Detlef Schrempf	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	12	53%	0.05	6	-0.20	6	100%	0.05
David Wingate	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.09	-0.08	0.00	4	10%	-0.14	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.24,0.18,0.26,0.39	0.39	0.10	0.29	0.00	21	62%	0.42	1	-0.03	8	100%	0.16
Malik Sealy	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.00	0.12	-0.01	13	62%	0.27	3	-0.13	8	87%	0.03
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.05	0.00	8	61%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	-0.00	6	57%	0.04	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Dwayne Schintzius	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Loy Vaught	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	7	39%	-0.11	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.08
Rodney Rogers	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.16	-0.01	-0.02	5	33%	-0.03	6	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.07	-0.14	-0.00	14	48%	-0.03	3	-0.17	5	40%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	36.5	1.8	28.0	15.8	27.4	2.4	40.1	152.0
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA -14.0%

LAC +46.7%

LAC +10.0%

LAC +2.2%

LAC +5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	LAC	NBA	SEA	LAC	NBA
this game	13.9	15.6	15.6	104.2	103.0	104.4
season	14.9	15.8		108.9	102.9
opponent	15.1	16.2		105.8	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	11.4	15.0	14.3	15.2	13.9
LAC	14.2	14.4	17.0	17.5	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jim McIlvaine	41	42	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.06	7	-9	16	12.6	14.8	-2.21	15.4	15.8	-0.36
Hersey Hawkins	67	68	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.33	8	-10	18	13.2	15.4	-2.25	15.3	16.4	-1.14
Detlef Schrempf	80	83	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.38	9	-11	20	13.8	14.1	-0.30	15.2	17.7	-2.52
Shawn Kemp	81	83	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.37	8	-10	18	13.4	16.7	-3.31	15.6	15.9	-0.36
Terry Cummings	18	19	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.10	-7	5	-12	16.2	13.3	2.89	17.8	15.1	2.66
Eric Snow	28	29	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.00	-13	11	-24	14.6	13.6	1.03	16.0	15.5	0.47
David Wingate	30	31	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.13	-11	9	-20	16.0	12.9	3.04	16.6	15.2	1.42
Gary Payton	88	92	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.47	-1	-1	0	13.7	15.7	-2.05	15.7	15.4	0.22
Sam Perkins	47	48	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.38	-10	8	-18	14.6	13.2	1.37	15.4	15.8	-0.43

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brent Barry	49	48	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.42	15	-13	28	15.8	15.4	0.40	14.7	13.0	1.67
Eric Piatkowski	59	57	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.37	13	-11	24	15.7	15.6	0.10	14.9	12.4	2.42
Malik Sealy	68	66	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.53	-2	4	-6	15.6	15.8	-0.20	13.5	14.8	-1.35
Bo Outlaw	65	65	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.01	12	-10	22	16.3	14.4	1.95	14.6	12.5	2.10
Dwayne Schintzius	25	23	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.05	12	-10	22	13.9	16.2	-2.35	15.0	13.5	1.48
Darrick Martin	89	86	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.31	-7	9	-16	15.5	16.7	-1.18	13.5	16.8	-3.27
Lorenzen Wright	74	72	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.45	-13	15	-28	15.8	15.2	0.64	13.4	15.4	-2.00
Loy Vaught	31	30	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.10	-6	8	-14	15.6	15.6	-0.03	13.0	14.3	-1.32
Rodney Rogers	35	33	-0.31	0.81	-1.13	0.10	-14	16	-30	15.4	15.8	-0.37	12.5	14.6	-2.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.66,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.71,0.68,0.79,0.89,0.78,0.55,0.79,0.22,0.26,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 97, SAC 100	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.58,0.68,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.75,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.68,0.83,0.81,0.67,0.76,0.55,0.45,0.16,1	90.3%
LAL 93, ATL 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.63,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.52,0.7,0.42,0.51,0.64,0.71,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.55,0.27,1	89.4%
NYK 103, DAL 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.79,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.54,0.61,0.72,0.23,0.58,1	89.1%