NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	93		Excitement	10.0 [57]		MVP	Stephen Jackson (ATL): +26.4%
Atlanta Hawks	94		Comeback	3.7 [432]		LVP	Devean George (LAL): -38.2%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kareem Rush	0.17	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.17,0.17	0.01	0.16	0.00	11	54%	0.21	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.05
Derek Fisher	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	-0.00	7	47%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Rick Fox	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	4	57%	0.01	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Horace Grant	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	5	40%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0,0	0.04	-0.04	0.00	4	87%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.03,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	20	52%	0.03	4	-0.10	4	25%	-0.06
Gary Payton	-0.30	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.09,0,0,-0.3	-0.03	-0.26	0.01	21	51%	-0.21	3	-0.09	3	33%	-0.08
Devean George	-0.38	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.38	-0.13	-0.25	-0.00	8	15%	-0.38	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.11

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.01,0.01,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.02	0.20	-0.05	13	55%	0.34	1	-0.07	5	100%	0.05
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.03	-0.01	9	68%	0.16	1	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Crawford	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0.09,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	15	41%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hiram Fuller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	13	50%	0.01	1	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	6	50%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mamadou N'diaye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.23,-0.19	-0.19	-0.08	-0.12	-0.00	21	47%	0.06	3	-0.25	7	86%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.3	28.4	15.8	25.4	1.8	34.1	133.0
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +42.2%

ATL +31.6%

ATL +3.3%

LAL -21.6%

LAL -5.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	ATL	NBA	LAL	ATL	NBA
this game	16.2	15.8	15.7	104.5	103.3	100.5
season	15.4	15.3		102.8	98.2
opponent	15.5	15.6		103.0	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.5	18.2	15.0	15.4	16.2
ATL	14.8	18.7	17.0	13.4	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryon Russell	7	8	0.12	-0.62	0.75	0.03	3	-4	7	15.0	16.3	-1.28	20.4	15.4	4.99
Kareem Rush	67	66	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.02	2	-3	5	15.6	17.9	-2.24	16.4	14.4	2.02
Slava Medvedenko	33	33	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.00	0	-1	1	16.4	16.1	0.29	17.3	15.0	2.32
Horace Grant	20	22	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.02	-5	4	-9	16.5	16.1	0.48	14.5	16.3	-1.81
Devean George	44	45	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.04	-7	6	-13	16.0	16.3	-0.27	14.7	16.9	-2.20
Gary Payton	74	75	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.51	5	-6	11	16.0	17.1	-1.15	15.9	15.3	0.62
Shaquille O'Neal	69	69	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.49	4	-5	9	16.1	16.5	-0.48	16.3	14.5	1.81
Rick Fox	35	35	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.42	1	-2	3	16.7	15.8	0.88	16.0	15.7	0.24
Luke Walton	56	58	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.47	-1	0	-1	16.1	16.4	-0.29	15.0	17.3	-2.32
Derek Fisher	40	44	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.49	-7	6	-13	17.3	15.2	2.13	15.0	16.6	-1.60

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bob Sura	52	50	0.95	-0.45	1.40	0.57	13	-12	25	15.2	16.6	-1.34	16.8	15.3	1.51
Wesley Person	58	55	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.45	4	-3	7	15.3	16.7	-1.42	16.1	16.3	-0.23
Joel Przybilla	66	67	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.50	0	1	-1	16.1	15.0	1.08	16.3	15.9	0.42
Jason Terry	75	74	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.52	-4	5	-9	16.0	15.1	0.85	15.6	18.8	-3.15
Stephen Jackson	53	54	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.50	-5	6	-11	15.5	16.3	-0.84	15.9	16.6	-0.65
Jacque Vaughn	14	13	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.05	5	-4	9	14.6	16.0	-1.40	17.8	15.9	1.86
Hiram Fuller	10	10	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	0	1	15.4	15.9	-0.48	16.7	16.1	0.59
Mamadou N'diaye	16	11	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.09	0	1	-1	15.6	15.9	-0.32	16.7	16.1	0.62
Chris Crawford	71	72	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.07	-2	3	-5	16.3	14.3	1.95	16.3	15.7	0.59
Boris Diaw	40	39	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.06	-7	8	-15	16.9	15.0	1.87	15.6	16.6	-1.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.63,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.52,0.7,0.42,0.51,0.64,0.71,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.55,0.27,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 104, MIL 106	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.57,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.59,0.54,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.58,1	90.1%
IND 104, CLE 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.53,0.59,0.72,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.79,0.71,0.6,0.69,0.79,0.68,0.58,1	90.0%
SAS 98, MIL 102	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.44,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.64,0.75,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.43,0.53,0.52,0.71,0.7,0.76,0.72,0.61,0.55,0.78,0.58,1	89.8%