NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	103		Excitement	10.8 [44]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +73.0%
Dallas Mavericks	105		Comeback	3.3 [660]		LVP	Jerry Stackhouse (DAL): -29.0%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephon Marbury	0.17	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.31,0.48,0.17	0.12	0.04	-0.01	29	61%	0.49	5	-0.32	13	77%	-0.00
Nate Robinson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	7	71%	0.15	3	-0.11	7	71%	-0.00
Mardy Collins	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.09	0.12	-0.00	10	35%	0.11	3	-0.08	3	67%	0.01
Eddy Curry	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	12	59%	0.10	4	-0.10	5	60%	-0.05
Jerome James	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Renaldo Balkman	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	7	57%	0.07	3	-0.14	7	86%	0.01
Malik Rose	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	5	40%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.03	0.01	3	50%	0.02	4	-0.13	2	0%	-0.04

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.51,0.73	0.73	0.11	0.63	0.01	21	60%	0.78	2	-0.05	8	100%	0.21
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16	0.16	0.01	0.15	-0.00	13	47%	0.16	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.07
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	4	80%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Josh Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.08	-0.04	0.02	13	59%	0.05	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.01
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	6	42%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	7	47%	0.02	4	-0.11	5	100%	0.04
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.14,-0.14,-0.29	-0.29	0.00	-0.27	0.03	9	63%	-0.04	5	-0.25	12	92%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	1.5	33.1	15.8	35.3	2.4	38.0	153.0
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK -33.6%

DAL +38.9%

NYK -2.6%

DAL +48.1%

NYK -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	DAL	NBA	NYK	DAL	NBA
this game	14.5	15.3	15.4	107.3	108.2	104.5
season	15.7	16.3		103.7	108.7
opponent	15.2	15.4		102.3	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.2	14.4	12.6	17.4	14.5
DAL	17.1	14.4	14.1	16.1	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome James	19	18	0.10	-0.60	0.69	0.01	3	-5	8	13.5	14.8	-1.24	14.4	15.5	-1.07
Channing Frye	42	44	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.02	3	-5	8	15.0	14.1	0.94	15.6	15.1	0.45
Jared Jeffries	38	39	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.14	-4	2	-6	13.2	15.4	-2.13	15.0	15.5	-0.49
Malik Rose	40	42	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.03	-4	2	-6	16.0	13.4	2.62	17.1	14.0	3.09
Mardy Collins	71	72	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.44	6	-8	14	14.3	15.2	-0.97	14.5	17.6	-3.07
Renaldo Balkman	63	64	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.44	4	-6	10	14.8	14.0	0.75	15.3	15.3	0.07
Stephon Marbury	82	82	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.42	-1	-1	0	13.9	18.0	-4.07	15.1	16.7	-1.67
Nate Robinson	66	65	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.32	-6	4	-10	14.7	14.1	0.56	15.4	15.1	0.29
Eddy Curry	59	59	-1.01	0.51	-1.51	-0.68	-11	9	-20	14.9	13.9	1.02	15.5	15.0	0.57

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Buckner	19	18	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.47	7	-5	12	13.9	15.7	-1.71	15.9	14.2	1.68
Josh Howard	71	69	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.45	6	-4	10	15.6	14.4	1.22	14.6	14.4	0.16
Devin Harris	60	60	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.34	7	-5	12	15.9	14.4	1.57	13.9	15.6	-1.66
Dirk Nowitzki	68	68	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.48	2	0	2	15.0	16.0	-1.02	14.3	15.0	-0.73
Jason Terry	71	73	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.43	-2	4	-6	15.4	15.2	0.23	14.5	14.7	-0.29
Devean George	38	38	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.28	-3	5	-8	13.8	16.3	-2.43	14.5	14.5	0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	52	50	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.03	1	1	0	15.0	15.7	-0.65	14.2	14.9	-0.71
Austin Croshere	18	18	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	4	-6	15.9	15.2	0.77	16.1	14.2	1.96
DeSagana Diop	30	30	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.04	-6	8	-14	13.5	16.1	-2.63	14.5	14.5	0.02
Erick Dampier	58	56	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.22	0	2	-2	17.0	12.8	4.22	14.8	14.1	0.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.79,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.54,0.61,0.72,0.23,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 127, ATL 129	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.46,0.54,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.72,0.87,0.8,0.78,0.6,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.67,0.63,0.7,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.64,0.31,0.72,1	90.6%
WAS 83, OKC 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.69,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.57,0.52,0.42,0.3,0.4,0.54,0.68,0.63,0.32,0.58,1	90.2%
BOS 93, NJN 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.8,0.63,0.55,0.74,1	89.9%