NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	83		Excitement	8.0 [234]		MVP	Antawn Jamison (WAS): +6.0%
Oklahoma City Thunder	88		Comeback	2.3 [599]		LVP	Nick Young (WAS): -50.0%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.13,0.06	0.13	-0.06	0.01	20	58%	0.06	0	0.00	10	90%	0.04
Darius Songaila	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.00	11	54%	0.09	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.04
Dominic McGuire	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.06	-0.00	4	33%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	0.01
Andray Blatche	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	12	54%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
JaVale McGee	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Javaris Crittenton	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.08	0.00	-0.08	0.00	2	67%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Mike James	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	10	30%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	-0.50	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.16,-0.2,-0.26,-0.34,-0.5,-0.5	-0.13	-0.37	0.00	13	28%	-0.27	2	-0.23	3	67%	-0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Weaver	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.07	-0.00	11	46%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.03
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.05	0.00	2	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	5	100%	0.17	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.02	0.02	0.08	-0.04	0.02	14	60%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,0.01	0.01	-0.10	0.11	0.00	14	39%	0.12	3	-0.11	3	0%	-0.05
Robert Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	60%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.06	0.00	14	54%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	8	44%	0.04	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.7	26.5	15.5	26.4	2.7	32.2	129.8
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +85.6%

WAS -24.9%

WAS -4.8%

WAS -4.0%

WAS -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	OKC	NBA	WAS	OKC	NBA
this game	17.2	16.1	15.5	96.5	101.1	106.4
season	15.9	14.9		103.5	100.5
opponent	15.1	15.2		106.6	111.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.1	17.3	16.7	18.6	17.2
OKC	15.2	14.8	21.2	14.1	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JaVale McGee	22	22	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.01	0	-5	5	16.7	17.3	-0.62	15.6	16.3	-0.64
Nick Young	34	34	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.11	4	-9	13	17.5	17.0	0.57	15.6	16.4	-0.82
Darius Songaila	54	55	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.11	1	-6	7	17.1	17.3	-0.15	16.6	15.3	1.27
Juan Dixon	17	18	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.03	-9	4	-13	18.8	16.8	1.97	15.1	16.4	-1.27
Javaris Crittenton	41	42	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.12	-6	1	-7	16.9	17.4	-0.54	16.3	15.9	0.42
Dominic McGuire	69	71	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.39	1	-6	7	17.3	16.8	0.45	15.4	19.2	-3.84
Mike James	54	53	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.35	-4	-1	-3	16.8	17.8	-1.00	16.8	15.1	1.73
Andray Blatche	62	64	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.29	-6	1	-7	17.5	16.3	1.24	16.7	14.6	2.05
Antawn Jamison	77	76	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.43	-6	1	-7	16.9	19.6	-2.65	16.0	17.0	-1.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Weaver	64	63	0.98	-0.48	1.46	0.42	19	-14	33	15.1	19.0	-3.98	17.2	17.0	0.19
Nick Collison	64	64	0.88	-0.38	1.25	0.41	16	-11	27	15.9	16.7	-0.85	17.1	17.4	-0.24
Nenad Krstic	60	58	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.41	7	-2	9	15.1	18.4	-3.27	17.2	17.2	-0.04
Thabo Sefolosha	71	70	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.45	4	1	3	16.2	15.7	0.45	16.5	20.1	-3.53
Russell Westbrook	60	59	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.24	-2	7	-9	16.7	14.7	1.99	16.8	18.0	-1.19
Earl Watson	41	41	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.07	0	5	-5	15.2	16.9	-1.74	18.2	16.2	2.02
Robert Swift	27	28	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	-0.06	-2	7	-9	18.4	15.1	3.27	17.2	17.2	0.04
Damien Wilkins	25	25	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.02	-6	11	-17	18.6	15.1	3.49	18.0	16.8	1.20
Malik Rose	23	22	-0.38	0.88	-1.25	-0.05	-11	16	-27	16.7	15.9	0.85	17.4	17.1	0.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.69,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.57,0.52,0.42,0.3,0.4,0.54,0.68,0.63,0.32,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 92, SAS 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.63,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.71,0.75,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.72,0.58,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.47,0.31,0.35,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.68,0.73,1	91.0%
SAS 92, TOR 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.76,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.52,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.21,0.33,0.53,0.62,0.71,0.55,0.74,1	90.6%
NYK 93, ATL 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.42,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.61,0.52,0.65,0.59,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.62,0.57,0.43,0.43,0.27,0.36,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.45,0.58,1	90.5%