NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	93		Excitement	8.6 [150]		MVP	Josh Smith (ATL): +24.6%
Atlanta Hawks	99		Comeback	3.5 [493]		LVP	Jamal Crawford (NYK): -52.0%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.05	0.08	-0.02	0.00	21	58%	0.14	3	-0.09	8	87%	0.01
Fred Jones	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.00	8	69%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	-0.00	-0.05	8	50%	0.01	1	0.03	2	50%	-0.01
David Lee	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.06	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Nate Robinson	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	6	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1	-0.02	-0.08	-0.01	14	39%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	2	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Jamal Crawford	-0.52	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.08,-0.15,-0.26,-0.4,-0.52	-0.09	-0.43	-0.00	24	39%	-0.27	2	-0.25	6	83%	0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Smith	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.09	0.17	0.01	19	61%	0.29	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Salim Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.03	3	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Solomon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	-0.05	0.01	14	62%	0.17	1	-0.14	4	100%	0.03
Mario West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.07	-0.03	22	43%	-0.02	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	4	60%	0.04	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18,-0.33,-0.17	-0.17	-0.05	-0.11	0.01	11	42%	0.03	2	-0.20	4	50%	-0.02
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.03	-0.13	0.02	8	41%	-0.09	1	-0.09	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	2.5	29.4	16.6	26.1	2.5	35.2	137.9
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +69.8%

NYK -1.2%

ATL +0.2%

NYK -19.3%

ATL +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	ATL	NBA	NYK	ATL	NBA
this game	15.5	14.7	15.4	96.9	104.2	105.7
season	15.7	15.4		103.1	104.2
opponent	15.7	15.2		107.2	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.4	15.9	15.8	14.9	15.5
ATL	15.2	14.7	13.6	15.1	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Jeffries	31	30	0.23	-0.73	0.95	0.08	5	-11	16	16.5	15.0	1.41	15.8	14.1	1.73
Nate Robinson	52	52	0.05	-0.55	0.61	0.11	-2	-4	2	14.7	16.4	-1.72	14.6	14.7	-0.17
Eddy Curry	40	41	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.10	-8	2	-10	16.4	14.9	1.50	14.6	14.7	-0.03
Zach Randolph	91	89	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.40	1	-7	8	15.3	19.8	-4.54	14.9	11.3	3.54
Fred Jones	57	56	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.39	-1	-5	4	15.0	16.2	-1.23	14.6	14.7	-0.11
David Lee	58	58	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.32	-5	-1	-4	15.5	15.6	-0.09	14.4	15.1	-0.70
Jamal Crawford	87	86	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.36	-8	2	-10	15.7	13.2	2.51	14.6	14.8	-0.14
Quentin Richardson	64	63	-0.78	0.28	-1.07	-0.43	-12	6	-18	15.6	15.2	0.38	14.2	15.6	-1.47

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Bibby	68	70	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.25	16	-10	26	14.6	14.9	-0.33	15.8	14.6	1.27
Marvin Williams	46	45	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.35	11	-5	16	13.7	15.6	-1.86	15.6	15.4	0.15
Joe Johnson	85	87	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.35	6	0	6	14.8	13.3	1.51	15.3	17.4	-2.15
Josh Smith	73	75	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.19	11	-5	16	14.4	15.4	-0.93	15.1	17.0	-1.92
Josh Childress	71	72	0.41	0.10	0.31	0.41	0	6	-6	14.7	14.4	0.37	15.1	16.8	-1.78
Al Horford	72	70	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.09	5	1	4	14.9	14.0	0.92	16.8	11.9	4.96
Mario West	1	2	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.06	-2	8	-10	26.0	14.5	11.47	2.5	15.8	-13.28
Solomon Jones	11	10	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.01	-3	9	-12	13.8	14.8	-0.94	17.1	15.3	1.79
Zaza Pachulia	25	25	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.09	-6	12	-18	15.7	14.3	1.45	14.4	15.9	-1.54
Salim Stoudamire	23	24	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	-0.00	-8	14	-22	14.7	14.6	0.06	15.4	15.5	-0.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.42,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.61,0.52,0.65,0.59,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.62,0.57,0.43,0.43,0.27,0.36,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.45,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 102, DET 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.6,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.46,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.57,0.52,0.38,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.55,0.55,0.33,0.58,1	91.7%
NJN 93, LAC 98	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.56,0.44,0.62,0.63,0.43,0.28,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.47,0.61,0.46,0.41,0.58,1	91.6%
NYK 93, BOS 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.62,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.62,0.69,0.78,0.82,0.78,0.74,0.62,0.61,0.47,0.59,0.41,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.58,1	91.2%