NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	93		Excitement	9.5 [76]		MVP	Carmelo Anthony (NYK): +43.8%
Boston Celtics	96		Comeback	3.0 [549]		LVP	Henry Walker (NYK): -24.4%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony	0.44	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.25,0.44,0.44,0.44	0.21	0.21	-0.01	30	59%	0.46	1	-0.03	11	91%	0.05
Ronny Turiaf	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.03	-0.02	3	60%	0.06	1	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Anthony Carter	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04	0.02	-0.06	0.00	7	71%	0.31	2	-0.35	0	0%	0.00
Shawne Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	3	60%	0.01	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Landry Fields	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	40%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02
Toney Douglas	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.12,-0.12	-0.03	-0.07	0.01	16	41%	0.02	1	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.13	-0.01	-0.03	9	20%	-0.07	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Roger Mason Jr.	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.18	-0.01	-0.17	0.00	4	37%	-0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Henry Walker	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.17	-0.11	-0.04	11	8%	-0.21	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.17	0.08	0.01	8	100%	0.26	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.19,-0.19,-0.25,-0.25,-0.11,0.14	0.14	-0.10	0.23	-0.01	16	37%	0.25	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.07	-0.00	4	40%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.12,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.03	-0.04	18	51%	0.07	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.05
Nenad Krstic	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.06,0.11,0.06,0.12,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.02	23	57%	0.08	4	-0.09	7	57%	-0.03
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	8	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	3.0	31.3	18.5	30.9	2.5	38.6	152.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +38.1%

NYK -0.8%

NYK -33.6%

BOS +46.5%

NYK -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	BOS	NBA	NYK	BOS	NBA
this game	16.9	15.4	15.5	104.5	107.9	105.7
season	14.3	15.7		108.6	104.8
opponent	15.8	15.5		99.6	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.3	18.4	17.3	18.4	16.9
BOS	14.5	15.9	14.7	16.8	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Carter	16	14	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.01	0	-3	3	15.2	17.3	-2.07	16.9	15.1	1.80
Shawne Williams	43	40	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.10	1	-4	5	16.6	17.2	-0.61	15.5	15.3	0.15
Ronny Turiaf	43	43	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.09	-6	3	-9	17.3	16.7	0.60	14.6	16.2	-1.61
Amar'e Stoudemire	34	35	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.02	-6	3	-9	16.7	17.1	-0.43	14.9	15.8	-0.87
Henry Walker	58	58	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.48	10	-13	23	16.7	17.4	-0.63	16.2	13.9	2.27
Roger Mason Jr.	32	32	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.41	5	-8	13	17.2	16.8	0.48	15.5	15.4	0.08
Landry Fields	31	31	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.06	-13	10	-23	17.4	16.7	0.63	13.9	16.2	-2.27
Jared Jeffries	46	46	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.50	3	-6	9	16.7	17.3	-0.60	16.2	14.6	1.61
Toney Douglas	61	64	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.34	-4	1	-5	17.7	15.3	2.37	15.5	15.2	0.36
Carmelo Anthony	81	82	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.40	-5	2	-7	16.9	17.6	-0.75	15.2	17.4	-2.18

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	72	71	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.46	11	-8	19	14.8	17.8	-2.98	17.1	16.4	0.70
Paul Pierce	85	84	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.38	8	-5	13	15.0	24.2	-9.25	17.1	13.6	3.54
Rajon Rondo	80	78	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.37	8	-5	13	14.9	20.2	-5.35	17.4	13.9	3.46
Kevin Garnett	69	67	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.31	10	-7	17	14.7	17.8	-3.14	17.4	15.5	1.98
Jermaine O'Neal	41	39	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.04	10	-7	17	13.9	16.7	-2.85	16.9	16.9	0.01
Delonte West	27	32	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.23	-9	12	-21	18.1	14.3	3.82	14.3	18.4	-4.16
Glen Davis	47	46	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.24	-11	14	-25	17.0	13.6	3.40	17.8	16.0	1.87
Nenad Krstic	4	5	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.03	-5	8	-13	24.2	15.0	9.25	13.6	17.1	-3.54
Jeff Green	20	23	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.08	-7	10	-17	17.8	14.7	3.14	15.5	17.4	-1.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.62,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.62,0.69,0.78,0.82,0.78,0.74,0.62,0.61,0.47,0.59,0.41,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 97, SAS 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.4,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.71,0.85,0.77,0.68,0.62,0.7,0.79,0.67,0.63,0.53,0.46,0.55,0.75,0.55,0.43,0.73,1	91.3%
NYK 93, ATL 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.42,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.61,0.52,0.65,0.59,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.62,0.57,0.43,0.43,0.27,0.36,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.45,0.58,1	91.2%
MEM 102, DET 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.6,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.46,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.57,0.52,0.38,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.55,0.55,0.33,0.58,1	90.9%