NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	97		Excitement	4.3 [926]		MVP	Terrell Brandon (MIN): +19.9%
Minnesota Timberwolves	100		Comeback	1.3 [832]		LVP	Corliss Williamson (TOR): -7.3%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alvin Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.07	0.01	0.04	9	75%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Antonio Davis	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.00	0.03	10	70%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Kornel David	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dell Curry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.04	11	57%	-0.00	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.03
Charles Oakley	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	12	42%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	-0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	31	47%	0.03	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.01
Corliss Williamson	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terrell Brandon	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.12	0.05	-0.03	15	75%	0.22	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	11	68%	0.07	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.01	-0.03	11	69%	0.11	4	-0.07	10	80%	0.01
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	16	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
LaPhonso Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.04	4	50%	0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	6	42%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
William Avery	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	56%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Dean Garrett	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	7	14%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.4	24.9	20.0	25.0	1.8	40.0	136.4
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +33.3%

MIN +5.0%

MIN +2.1%

MIN +6.7%

MIN +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	MIN	NBA	TOR	MIN	NBA
this game	15.8	14.7	15.5	102.1	106.4	100.9
season	15.8	15.0		103.7	102.9
opponent	15.9	15.4		101.7	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	16.3	16.1	19.3	12.3	15.8
MIN	13.0	16.6	14.3	14.9	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dell Curry	12	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-4	5	14.8	15.9	-1.08	18.5	14.1	4.37
Kornel David	18	17	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-3	3	15.8	15.8	-0.00	17.5	14.1	3.39
Alvin Williams	44	44	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.49	13	-16	29	13.3	17.9	-4.63	15.9	13.6	2.33
Kevin Willis	19	19	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.03	-6	3	-9	15.5	15.9	-0.38	16.5	14.2	2.23
Morris Peterson	48	47	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.36	5	-8	13	13.1	18.5	-5.41	15.7	13.7	1.98
Corliss Williamson	42	42	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.02	-8	5	-13	19.0	13.2	5.82	13.2	15.9	-2.71
Antonio Davis	77	78	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.41	1	-4	5	15.9	15.2	0.69	14.4	16.2	-1.88
Charles Oakley	76	74	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.38	-1	-2	1	15.7	16.0	-0.28	13.9	17.5	-3.57
Mark Jackson	53	52	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.05	-16	13	-29	17.6	13.5	4.13	13.6	16.0	-2.37
Vince Carter	86	85	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.40	-4	1	-5	16.0	14.0	1.97	14.4	17.9	-3.54

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terrell Brandon	74	75	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.24	12	-9	21	14.1	16.9	-2.81	16.0	15.0	0.99
Kevin Garnett	74	77	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.38	1	2	-1	14.4	15.9	-1.60	15.7	16.1	-0.41
Chauncey Billups	58	60	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.33	1	2	-1	14.2	15.4	-1.22	16.1	15.2	0.87
Rasho Nesterovic	39	37	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.01	12	-9	21	14.2	15.0	-0.79	16.4	15.4	1.03
Sam Mitchell	22	21	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.06	13	-10	23	12.4	15.4	-2.98	15.8	15.8	0.04
LaPhonso Ellis	52	52	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.41	-6	9	-15	15.6	13.6	2.02	13.8	18.1	-4.27
Wally Szczerbiak	72	74	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.48	-10	13	-23	15.4	12.4	2.98	15.8	15.8	-0.04
Anthony Peeler	36	35	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.08	2	1	1	15.4	14.2	1.22	15.2	16.1	-0.87
Dean Garrett	23	24	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.04	-1	4	-5	14.5	14.7	-0.22	19.2	14.6	4.64
William Avery	20	20	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.17	-9	12	-21	16.9	14.1	2.81	15.0	16.0	-0.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.73,0.66,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.87,0.79,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 97, SAS 112	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.71,0.77,0.87,0.82,0.81,0.83,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.75,0.75,0.85,0.8,0.79,0.87,0.81,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.3%
DEN 92, NOH 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.87,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.89,0.86,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	95.3%
ATL 95, NYK 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.73,0.8,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.87,0.81,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.89,0.91,1,1	95.3%