NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	95		Excitement	5.2 [760]		MVP	Allan Houston (NYK): +13.9%
New York Knicks	99		Comeback	1.1 [1064]		LVP	Glenn Robinson (ATL): -11.4%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ira Newble	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	7	69%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Theo Ratliff	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.02	9	56%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dan Dickau	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	15	47%	0.00	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Alan Henderson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	3	50%	-0.04	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Dion Glover	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	15	47%	0.00	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Jason Terry	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08	0.02	-0.03	0.07	16	64%	0.02	4	-0.10	10	100%	0.07
Glenn Robinson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	7	39%	-0.04	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allan Houston	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.04	0.11	0.01	24	59%	0.24	4	-0.10	1	100%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	6	73%	0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	19	55%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	7	57%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	12	58%	0.06	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.03	-0.02	10	37%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.5	25.4	19.4	22.8	2.0	27.2	121.5
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +48.4%

ATL -19.4%

NYK +3.9%

NYK +10.7%

NYK +6.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	NYK	NBA	ATL	NYK	NBA
this game	13.3	16.6	15.5	99.0	102.1	101.6
season	15.1	15.6		99.5	102.6
opponent	15.5	15.7		104.0	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	12.8	15.2	14.8	10.2	13.3
NYK	15.3	14.8	17.2	19.0	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alan Henderson	32	32	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.11	2	-6	8	12.7	13.6	-0.92	14.6	17.5	-2.98
Dan Dickau	12	13	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.02	-1	-3	2	15.1	13.0	2.07	15.8	16.7	-0.91
Glenn Robinson	61	60	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.32	1	-5	6	12.9	13.9	-1.01	16.7	16.4	0.29
Ira Newble	69	72	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.27	-1	-3	2	12.7	14.8	-2.10	16.6	16.4	0.16
Dion Glover	76	77	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.27	-3	-1	-2	13.8	11.3	2.43	16.1	18.2	-2.13
Theo Ratliff	71	73	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.32	-4	0	-4	13.1	13.7	-0.55	17.2	14.7	2.51
Jason Terry	84	84	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.36	-3	-1	-2	13.0	15.1	-2.07	16.7	15.8	0.91
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	75	74	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.24	-11	7	-18	14.0	10.7	3.33	17.1	14.7	2.44

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kurt Thomas	70	68	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.32	5	-1	6	16.9	15.6	1.39	12.8	14.3	-1.48
Charlie Ward	64	63	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.39	1	3	-2	16.7	16.3	0.34	13.3	13.2	0.04
Allan Houston	86	85	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.33	3	1	2	16.7	15.3	1.45	13.1	14.9	-1.85
Latrell Sprewell	88	86	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.44	-1	5	-6	16.8	14.2	2.57	12.9	16.7	-3.83
Clar. Weatherspoon	53	53	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.24	5	-1	6	17.7	15.2	2.52	13.4	13.1	0.28
Travis Knight	20	21	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.00	6	-2	8	14.8	17.0	-2.21	15.8	12.6	3.19
Shandon Anderson	36	36	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.09	1	3	-2	15.4	17.2	-1.86	13.9	12.9	1.03
Howard Eisley	33	33	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	1	2	16.3	16.7	-0.34	13.2	13.3	-0.04
Michael Doleac	35	35	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.11	-3	7	-10	15.3	17.3	-2.03	13.3	13.3	-0.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.73,0.8,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.87,0.81,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.89,0.91,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 92, LAL 97	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.71,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.88,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.87,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1	95.8%
UTA 80, MIN 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.76,0.76,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.85,0.91,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.82,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1	95.4%
DET 85, CHH 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.77,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.87,0.95,0.93,0.89,0.96,1	95.3%