NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	85		Excitement	5.1 [771]		MVP	Glen Rice (CHH): +14.6%
Charlotte Hornets	90		Comeback	1.4 [724]		LVP	Anthony Mason (CHH): -14.9%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scot Pollard	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Malik Sealy	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Grant Long	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	5	57%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Don Reid	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bison Dele	-0.06	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.03	0.03	20	55%	0.07	5	-0.13	9	78%	-0.01
Lindsey Hunter	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	18	44%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.00	-0.00	14	49%	-0.02	4	-0.09	11	64%	-0.03
Joe Dumars	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.14	-0.08	-0.05	0.01	9	25%	-0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glen Rice	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.07	0.01	16	64%	0.17	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Bobby Phills	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	-0.03	8	68%	0.09	3	-0.05	6	67%	-0.00
Matt Geiger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.01	-0.01	11	68%	0.07	2	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	2	40%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Tony Farmer	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
B.J. Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Beck	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	2	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	6	56%	0.03	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.01
David Wesley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.01	0.00	12	40%	-0.05	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.00
Anthony Mason	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.17	-0.01	-0.03	5	35%	-0.06	5	-0.09	7	57%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	1.8	25.0	12.6	26.9	1.8	39.6	128.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +46.6%

DET -7.4%

CHH +4.0%

CHH +3.5%

CHH +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	CHH	NBA	DET	CHH	NBA
this game	16.0	15.3	15.6	92.4	97.8	102.5
season	15.9	15.7		102.8	104.0
opponent	15.9	15.9		102.6	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	17.3	16.0	14.9	15.7	16.0
CHH	14.0	15.3	16.4	15.6	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron McKie	21	21	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.08	0	-5	5	18.3	15.3	3.08	13.7	15.8	-2.18
Malik Sealy	37	41	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.11	-2	-3	1	16.8	15.4	1.34	14.9	15.7	-0.80
Scot Pollard	22	22	-0.19	-0.32	0.13	-0.01	-6	1	-7	16.4	15.8	0.54	15.7	15.2	0.50
Grant Long	41	40	-0.25	-0.26	0.01	-0.25	0	-5	5	15.8	16.1	-0.23	16.3	14.6	1.73
Don Reid	45	44	-0.28	-0.23	-0.05	-0.01	-9	4	-13	16.2	15.7	0.43	14.6	16.0	-1.36
Bison Dele	75	76	-0.30	-0.21	-0.09	-0.39	3	-8	11	15.8	16.8	-0.99	15.5	14.6	0.95
Grant Hill	71	70	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.42	3	-8	11	15.7	16.9	-1.23	15.9	13.5	2.43
Joe Dumars	73	71	-0.42	-0.09	-0.33	-0.27	-5	0	-5	15.5	17.8	-2.31	15.3	15.6	-0.29
Lindsey Hunter	75	75	-0.52	0.01	-0.53	-0.25	-9	4	-13	15.6	17.4	-1.79	15.2	16.0	-0.80

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glen Rice	83	81	0.53	-0.02	0.55	0.29	8	-3	11	15.6	13.3	2.23	15.8	17.1	-1.29
David Wesley	70	67	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.22	10	-5	15	15.9	13.6	2.25	16.4	14.7	1.75
Anthony Mason	81	82	0.49	0.02	0.47	0.31	6	-1	7	15.2	16.1	-0.84	15.7	17.8	-2.07
Bobby Phills	69	67	0.49	0.02	0.47	0.19	10	-5	15	15.8	14.1	1.62	16.4	14.7	1.75
Vlade Divac	47	45	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.03	14	-9	23	13.8	17.0	-3.15	16.8	15.1	1.65
Dell Curry	28	30	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.15	-3	8	-11	14.5	15.7	-1.22	15.7	16.1	-0.38
Matt Geiger	45	47	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.33	-9	14	-23	17.0	13.8	3.15	15.1	16.8	-1.65
B.J. Armstrong	14	15	0.04	0.47	-0.44	0.04	0	5	-5	13.6	15.7	-2.10	13.9	16.4	-2.50
J.R. Reid	11	10	0.02	0.49	-0.47	0.05	-1	6	-7	16.1	15.2	0.84	17.8	15.7	2.07
Corey Beck	8	10	-0.04	0.55	-0.59	0.10	-5	10	-15	13.7	15.5	-1.75	15.9	16.0	-0.06
Tony Farmer	4	6	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.08	-5	10	-15	9.7	15.6	-5.85	14.0	16.1	-2.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.77,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.87,0.95,0.93,0.89,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 88, SAS 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.75,0.72,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.95,1	95.7%
SAS 96, MIN 106	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.76,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
ATL 95, NYK 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.73,0.8,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.87,0.81,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.89,0.91,1,1	95.3%