NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	92		Excitement	5.0 [667]		MVP	Matt Barnes (LAL): +15.2%
Los Angeles Lakers	97		Comeback	1.1 [934]		LVP	Nikola Pekovic (MIN): -13.3%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	-0.01	24	52%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Wayne Ellington	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	45%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Derrick Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02	0.06	-0.01	0.07	9	67%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	4	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	0.06	12	44%	-0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.01	0.03	10	40%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Pekovic	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	0.00	18	42%	-0.04	3	-0.10	12	67%	-0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.15	0.02	0.02	9	85%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	20	60%	0.17	4	-0.09	7	71%	-0.01
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.01	0.03	13	53%	0.03	1	-0.03	6	83%	-0.01
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.03	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	9	30%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Andrew Goudelock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	13	44%	0.01	3	-0.05	8	87%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.4	25.5	16.3	26.5	2.5	35.6	133.2
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +44.6%

LAL +1.5%

LAL +0.6%

LAL +3.3%

MIN -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	LAL	NBA	MIN	LAL	NBA
this game	15.2	14.8	15.6	95.8	101.0	102.8
season	15.3	16.2		102.6	103.8
opponent	15.1	15.1		103.5	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.2	14.4	17.2	14.2	15.2
LAL	14.2	16.2	14.2	14.6	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Martell Webster	68	67	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.36	5	-10	15	15.1	15.5	-0.38	14.4	15.7	-1.27
Anthony Tolliver	46	48	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.27	1	-6	7	13.9	16.4	-2.43	15.4	14.2	1.19
Wayne Ellington	34	33	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.04	-7	2	-9	15.8	14.9	0.88	15.3	14.5	0.81
Luke Ridnour	62	63	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.31	2	-7	9	14.9	15.8	-0.88	14.5	15.3	-0.81
Jose Juan Barea	37	37	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.07	-6	1	-7	14.9	15.4	-0.50	13.8	15.5	-1.70
Kevin Love	75	75	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.32	2	-7	9	15.1	15.4	-0.23	14.6	15.6	-0.98
Derrick Williams	37	37	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.07	-8	3	-11	15.4	15.1	0.34	15.0	14.7	0.37
Wesley Johnson	44	44	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.04	-9	4	-13	16.2	14.3	1.94	14.3	15.2	-0.85
Nikola Pekovic	77	76	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.29	-5	0	-5	15.5	13.8	1.76	15.6	11.6	4.04

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Bynum	76	78	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.12	15	-10	25	15.1	13.5	1.58	15.4	14.1	1.34
Kobe Bryant	77	76	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.33	4	1	3	14.6	15.6	-1.03	15.2	15.3	-0.19
Pau Gasol	65	63	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.28	1	4	-3	14.4	15.7	-1.29	15.4	14.9	0.49
Ramon Sessions	38	40	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.05	8	-3	11	15.0	14.7	0.37	15.5	14.9	0.60
Matt Barnes	41	42	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.09	6	-1	7	13.6	15.7	-2.12	15.0	15.3	-0.31
Metta World Peace	58	57	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.38	-5	10	-15	14.9	14.6	0.37	14.8	15.8	-1.01
Steve Blake	58	56	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.30	-3	8	-11	14.7	15.0	-0.37	14.9	15.5	-0.60
Troy Murphy	31	33	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	3	-1	14.8	14.8	0.05	15.5	15.0	0.48
Andrew Goudelock	19	20	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.02	1	4	-3	15.6	14.6	1.03	15.3	15.2	0.19
Josh McRoberts	17	15	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.13	-4	9	-13	17.3	14.3	3.03	14.5	15.3	-0.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.71,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.88,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.87,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 95, NYK 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.73,0.8,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.87,0.81,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.89,0.91,1,1	95.8%
UTA 80, MIN 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.76,0.76,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.85,0.91,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.82,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1	95.7%
MIL 92, DEN 104	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.83,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.87,0.88,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.98,1,1	95.3%