NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	92		Excitement	6.0 [616]		MVP	Reggie Evans (DEN): +6.5%
Denver Nuggets	104		Comeback	1.1 [977]		LVP	Yakhouba Diawara (DEN): -14.8%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ersan Ilyasova	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.01	0.02	10	62%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Ruben Patterson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.11	-0.04	0.02	21	60%	0.11	2	-0.06	6	50%	-0.04
Lynn Greer	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damir Markota	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	12	46%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	7	44%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Brian Skinner	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
David Noel	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	-0.02	15	26%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Charlie Bell	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	12	31%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Mo Williams	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	11	36%	-0.06	2	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.01	5	76%	0.11	2	-0.05	7	71%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.03	0.02	15	54%	0.08	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Linas Kleiza	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	8	69%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Julius Hodge	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	10	70%	-0.02
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	21	50%	0.07	4	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.02	0.05	20	54%	0.02	3	-0.06	8	100%	0.02
Yakhouba Diawara	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.14	-0.02	-0.02	5	0%	-0.07	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	1.6	32.5	16.2	26.6	2.7	33.4	140.1
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +31.5%

DEN +9.0%

DEN +12.4%

MIL -5.3%

DEN +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	DEN	NBA	MIL	DEN	NBA
this game	15.9	13.7	15.4	94.8	106.1	104.5
season	15.2	14.0		105.3	105.8
opponent	15.3	15.5		104.5	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.9	17.1	15.1	15.3	15.9
DEN	11.3	12.2	14.3	17.3	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lynn Greer	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-12	12	13.0	15.9	-2.90	31.0	13.5	17.49
Damir Markota	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-12	12	13.0	15.9	-2.90	31.0	13.5	17.49
Mo Williams	45	45	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	-10	8	17.1	14.8	2.36	11.9	15.2	-3.32
Andrew Bogut	53	57	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.16	-1	-11	10	15.6	16.2	-0.54	13.8	13.5	0.29
David Noel	37	37	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.12	-11	-1	-10	15.0	16.4	-1.36	15.1	12.8	2.29
Ersan Ilyasova	45	47	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.21	0	-12	12	16.0	15.8	0.21	14.7	12.7	2.00
Dan Gadzuric	34	31	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.02	-8	-4	-4	15.3	16.2	-0.88	12.0	14.5	-2.51
Brian Skinner	52	50	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.15	-3	-9	6	16.7	14.8	1.91	13.6	13.8	-0.25
Charlie Bell	75	75	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.16	-8	-4	-4	15.8	16.0	-0.11	13.5	14.2	-0.70
Ruben Patterson	77	80	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.07	-14	2	-16	15.8	16.0	-0.23	13.1	16.2	-3.11
Steve Blake	65	66	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.10	-13	1	-14	15.4	16.9	-1.55	14.5	12.0	2.55

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Camby	82	79	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.16	11	1	10	13.9	12.5	1.41	16.2	14.4	1.75
Earl Boykins	82	81	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.10	12	0	12	13.8	13.2	0.52	16.0	15.1	0.89
Linas Kleiza	55	57	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.06	15	-3	18	13.2	14.3	-1.19	15.3	16.7	-1.42
Allen Iverson	90	90	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.18	6	6	0	13.5	15.4	-1.84	15.8	16.6	-0.76
Reggie Evans	56	53	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.19	1	11	-10	14.9	12.0	2.90	15.3	16.5	-1.24
Julius Hodge	25	24	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.04	8	4	4	13.4	13.8	-0.33	15.4	16.0	-0.65
Yakhouba Diawara	47	46	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.18	0	12	-12	14.9	12.6	2.28	16.0	15.7	0.25
Eduardo Najera	20	21	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.07	7	5	2	11.3	14.3	-2.93	17.4	15.4	1.99
Nene	33	34	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.10	0	12	-12	12.0	14.6	-2.58	16.0	15.8	0.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.83,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.87,0.88,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 91, HOU 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.65,0.62,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.92,0.89,0.86,0.84,0.72,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.88,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.9,0.93,0.9,1,1	95.4%
UTA 80, MIN 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.76,0.76,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.85,0.91,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.82,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1	95.4%
MIN 92, LAL 97	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.71,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.88,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.87,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1	95.3%