NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	80		Excitement	5.5 [737]		MVP	Karl-Anthony Towns (MIN): +9.7%
Minnesota Timberwolves	94		Comeback	1.0 [958]		LVP	Rodney Hood (UTA): -13.2%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trey Lyles	0.07	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	5	80%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.01	9	61%	0.06	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Jeff Withey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	10	52%	0.02	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02
Chris Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	5	30%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.18,-0.16,-0.11,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	18	57%	0.06	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.01
Joe Ingles	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elijah Millsap	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Raul Neto	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	-0.03	6	17%	-0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.01	0.01	7	44%	0.00	5	-0.13	2	0%	-0.03
Rodney Hood	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13	-0.15	-0.01	-0.03	13	20%	-0.11	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.01	-0.00	16	62%	0.17	3	-0.08	8	62%	-0.04
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.03	0.01	5	80%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.02	5	80%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	7	63%	0.06	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Shabazz Muhammad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.04	-0.01	17	40%	0.01	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.02
Adreian Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.00	0.03	4	62%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nemanja Bjelica	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	0.06	6	56%	-0.01	3	-0.10	6	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.4	29.4	14.8	28.2	2.6	33.5	136.0
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +30.5%

UTA -2.7%

MIN +1.3%

MIN +16.6%

MIN +4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	MIN	NBA	UTA	MIN	NBA
this game	16.1	15.7	14.9	88.9	103.3	105.1
season	16.3	14.8		104.6	104.8
opponent	15.0	15.0		108.4	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	19.0	14.9	15.5	15.2	16.1
MIN	13.2	13.9	17.2	19.1	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elijah Millsap	12	12	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.07	5	-19	24	13.8	16.4	-2.62	15.5	15.8	-0.26
Trey Lyles	33	33	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.03	-3	-11	8	17.8	15.1	2.62	15.2	16.1	-0.90
Trey Burke	71	70	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.13	-2	-12	10	15.4	18.9	-3.54	15.7	15.8	-0.11
Chris Johnson	31	31	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.01	-7	-7	0	16.8	15.7	1.03	16.7	15.2	1.54
Joe Ingles	36	37	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.03	-8	-6	-2	15.0	16.8	-1.83	13.0	17.6	-4.64
Rodney Hood	64	65	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.07	-12	-2	-10	17.0	14.0	3.01	15.4	16.5	-1.14
Raul Neto	19	21	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.04	-12	-2	-10	18.9	15.4	3.54	15.8	15.7	0.11
Trevor Booker	67	68	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.10	-8	-6	-2	15.4	18.2	-2.84	15.6	16.2	-0.66
Gordon Hayward	67	68	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.07	-12	-2	-10	15.4	18.0	-2.55	16.0	14.8	1.20
Jeff Withey	50	50	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.12	-11	-3	-8	16.7	15.4	1.26	17.8	13.2	4.60

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ricky Rubio	65	67	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.05	14	0	14	16.3	14.2	2.15	16.1	16.2	-0.10
Andrew Wiggins	77	76	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.09	9	5	4	16.1	13.9	2.12	16.0	16.8	-0.81
Karl-Anthony Towns	57	58	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.06	9	5	4	17.0	13.6	3.36	16.2	15.9	0.35
Tayshaun Prince	43	44	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.04	12	2	10	16.9	14.7	2.20	17.2	15.0	2.25
Gorgui Dieng	51	51	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.05	9	5	4	14.6	17.1	-2.50	15.6	16.8	-1.18
Kevin Garnett	30	30	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.09	12	2	10	17.6	14.8	2.75	17.8	15.2	2.60
Shabazz Muhammad	38	36	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.12	3	11	-8	15.7	15.8	-0.07	15.0	16.8	-1.79
Zach LaVine	24	24	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.01	4	10	-6	12.7	16.8	-4.15	16.0	16.1	-0.14
Nemanja Bjelica	12	12	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.00	4	10	-6	12.0	16.3	-4.29	12.9	16.6	-3.67
Tyus Jones	26	23	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	14	-14	14.2	16.3	-2.15	16.2	16.1	0.10
Adreian Payne	32	29	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.16	-6	20	-26	14.9	16.2	-1.26	16.3	16.0	0.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.76,0.76,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.85,0.91,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.82,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 92, LAL 97	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.71,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.88,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.87,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1	95.7%
MIL 92, DEN 104	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.83,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.87,0.88,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.98,1,1	95.4%
ATL 95, NYK 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.73,0.8,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.87,0.81,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.89,0.91,1,1	95.4%