NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	85		Excitement	4.3 [931]		MVP	Danny Manning (UTA): +12.0%
Utah Jazz	97		Comeback	1.0 [1198]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (NJN): -13.0%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lucious Harris	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	7	57%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Newman	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Eschmeyer	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	2	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Soumaila Samake	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Kevin Ollie	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	6	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kenyon Martin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	11	52%	-0.00	2	-0.04	7	71%	0.01
Sherman Douglas	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	5	64%	0.02	2	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
Kendall Gill	-0.07	0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	-0.04	14	47%	-0.02	3	-0.05	12	92%	0.04
Stephon Marbury	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.02	0.02	19	51%	0.00	6	-0.13	3	100%	0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.03	0.01	7	86%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	5	71%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	11	69%	0.10	3	-0.07	7	86%	0.01
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.04	10	48%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.00
John Stockton	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	77%	0.06	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Benoit	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.01	2	87%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Bryon Russell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	37%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
John Starks	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.15	-0.00	-0.07	14	30%	-0.04	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	2.4	32.4	15.4	26.4	2.3	28.5	132.3
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +46.1%

NJN -1.6%

NJN -2.2%

UTA +7.1%

UTA +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	UTA	NBA	NJN	UTA	NBA
this game	15.5	15.6	15.5	91.4	105.4	100.9
season	15.5	16.0		97.8	105.3
opponent	15.5	15.1		100.5	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.6	17.1	15.7	14.8	15.5
UTA	16.1	13.6	14.3	18.8	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sherman Douglas	9	9	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.07	3	-15	18	15.4	15.5	-0.10	22.3	14.9	7.47
Soumaila Samake	12	13	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	-8	4	19.1	15.0	4.07	15.2	15.7	-0.52
Kevin Ollie	12	13	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	-8	4	19.1	15.0	4.07	15.2	15.7	-0.52
Kendall Gill	65	65	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-9	6	14.4	18.1	-3.68	15.1	16.9	-1.77
Aaron Williams	62	61	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.25	3	-15	18	15.3	15.9	-0.60	16.6	13.7	2.90
Kenyon Martin	72	69	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-9	6	14.6	18.9	-4.29	15.0	17.5	-2.57
Johnny Newman	40	39	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.00	-8	-4	-4	16.5	14.8	1.73	18.2	13.7	4.53
Stephen Jackson	53	53	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.15	-4	-8	4	14.8	16.5	-1.73	13.7	18.2	-4.53
Lucious Harris	28	27	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.07	-9	-3	-6	18.1	14.4	3.68	16.9	15.1	1.77
Stephon Marbury	72	70	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.06	-11	-1	-10	15.0	17.5	-2.57	14.8	18.1	-3.28
Evan Eschmeyer	40	41	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	0.08	-20	8	-28	16.5	14.8	1.73	15.4	15.8	-0.42

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Stockton	54	55	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.07	19	-7	26	14.1	17.8	-3.69	15.9	15.0	0.86
Donyell Marshall	39	38	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.08	11	1	10	16.3	15.1	1.23	17.4	14.3	3.14
Greg Ostertag	30	31	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.01	12	0	12	16.0	15.4	0.65	18.2	14.2	4.03
Danny Manning	28	26	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.01	11	1	10	16.4	15.3	1.09	17.8	14.6	3.20
John Starks	58	60	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.01	11	1	10	15.3	16.1	-0.87	14.9	16.6	-1.66
Olden Polynice	47	48	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.04	7	5	2	15.2	16.0	-0.87	15.1	16.0	-0.81
Quincy Lewis	20	20	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.04	6	6	0	17.9	15.0	2.94	19.2	14.5	4.67
Karl Malone	67	68	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.11	2	10	-8	15.4	16.2	-0.83	14.7	17.8	-3.15
Bryon Russell	53	55	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	11	-10	15.1	16.3	-1.23	14.3	17.4	-3.14
Jacque Vaughn	38	38	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.22	-7	19	-26	17.8	14.1	3.69	15.0	15.9	-0.86
DeShawn Stevenson	14	13	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.10	-5	17	-22	13.6	15.9	-2.31	12.6	16.0	-3.40
David Benoit	12	13	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.15	-8	20	-28	15.7	15.6	0.08	10.4	16.4	-5.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.69,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.85,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.86,0.86,0.81,0.75,0.85,0.87,0.79,0.83,0.95,0.89,0.92,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 71, SAS 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.8,0.76,0.86,0.84,0.75,0.78,0.9,0.92,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
SEA 108, DAL 119	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.65,0.72,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.85,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.9%
UTA 104, SAS 114	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.84,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.82,0.86,0.79,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.98,1,1	94.8%