NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	108		Excitement	4.9 [831]		MVP	Nick Van Exel (DAL): +15.6%
Dallas Mavericks	119		Comeback	1.1 [1043]		LVP	Olumide Oyedeji (SEA): -5.7%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Desmond Mason	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.03	-0.04	14	64%	0.09	1	0.03	11	100%	0.06
Shammond Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	8	69%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Randy Livingston	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	60%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Art Long	0.00	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	7	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	33%	-0.02
Brent Barry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	12	48%	0.01	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
Rashard Lewis	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	12	57%	-0.00	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.01
Predrag Drobnjak	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.00	4	44%	-0.01	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Gary Payton	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	0.02	-0.03	0.04	19	56%	0.01	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Olumide Oyedeji	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.05	0.07	-0.03	12	65%	0.19	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	4	92%	0.12	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.03
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.14	-0.02	0.05	14	79%	0.12	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Steve Nash	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	19	53%	0.06	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.01
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	9	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	46%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	13	54%	0.02	3	-0.04	9	67%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	1.8	31.5	16.4	22.0	2.5	27.3	125.5
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +48.1%

SEA -4.1%

DAL +2.5%

SEA -2.1%

DAL +5.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	DAL	NBA	SEA	DAL	NBA
this game	15.3	15.8	15.6	117.4	128.0	102.3
season	16.0	14.8		106.3	109.6
opponent	15.5	15.8		105.8	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	16.0	14.9	14.9	15.5	15.3
DAL	14.0	16.4	14.5	18.8	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Randy Livingston	9	8	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.07	4	-15	19	15.6	15.3	0.27	14.4	16.0	-1.58
Olumide Oyedeji	9	10	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-9	7	18.8	14.9	3.84	18.2	15.5	2.67
Shammond Williams	53	54	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.22	0	-11	11	15.7	14.8	0.90	17.3	13.7	3.57
Predrag Drobnjak	30	30	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.16	-2	-9	7	16.5	14.7	1.81	15.6	15.9	-0.27
Art Long	46	45	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.00	-9	-2	-7	15.0	15.6	-0.63	14.6	17.0	-2.44
Rashard Lewis	76	76	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.15	-6	-5	-1	15.3	15.5	-0.22	15.1	19.2	-4.18
Desmond Mason	82	84	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.15	-10	-1	-9	15.1	17.1	-2.00	16.1	13.3	2.75
Gary Payton	77	80	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.05	-14	3	-17	15.0	17.1	-2.17	15.9	15.5	0.41
Brent Barry	78	78	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.11	-16	5	-21	15.0	17.3	-2.32	15.8	15.8	0.02

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	82	81	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.03	15	-4	19	15.9	15.3	0.62	15.0	17.4	-2.33
Steve Nash	74	73	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.16	8	3	5	15.4	17.5	-2.08	14.8	17.2	-2.39
Adrian Griffin	37	37	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.09	10	1	9	15.9	15.8	0.12	17.9	13.6	4.36
Michael Finley	73	71	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.01	12	-1	13	16.1	14.7	1.42	15.0	16.4	-1.38
Johnny Newman	57	55	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.05	14	-3	17	16.0	15.6	0.43	15.5	15.0	0.57
Raef LaFrentz	51	52	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.21	3	8	-5	14.5	17.4	-2.89	15.2	15.5	-0.33
Nick Van Exel	45	45	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.19	2	9	-7	17.5	14.2	3.32	16.0	14.7	1.34
Greg Buckner	20	20	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.09	0	11	-11	15.3	15.9	-0.60	14.3	15.6	-1.30
Eduardo Najera	26	26	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.16	-9	20	-29	15.4	16.0	-0.55	14.1	15.8	-1.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.65,0.72,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.85,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 78, LAC 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.7,0.69,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.77,0.83,0.78,0.77,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.78,0.87,0.85,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.72,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.99,0.96,0.97,0.97,1,1	95.0%
NYK 73, MIA 83	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.83,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.77,0.8,0.68,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.86,0.95,0.95,0.99,1,0.99,1,1	94.9%
NJN 85, UTA 97	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.69,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.85,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.86,0.86,0.81,0.75,0.85,0.87,0.79,0.83,0.95,0.89,0.92,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%